Timo Jenzer
2.9K posts

Timo Jenzer
@Timo_Jenzer
Trader, Investor, Crypto & Finance Enthusiast | 🇨🇭
Probably on TradingView Bergabung Mart 2022
48 Mengikuti179 Pengikut

Read this slowly.
Nobody is telling you the real function of a market crash.
The consensus view is that volatility represents a market failure.
But it doesn’t.
In reality, it’s a feature designed for liquidity extraction.
The fundamental paradigm of how fortunes are made is about exploiting panic.
The truth? Every major drawdown, from the 57% crash in 2008 to the 34% drop in march 2020, was an engineered transfer of equity.
Capital moved from reactive weak hands to disciplined institutional strong hands.
Institutions have a luxury retail doesn't: Solvency.
They aren't trading with rent money, so they don't have a ruin point on a standard correction.
This liquidity buffer eliminates the emotional urge to capitulate.
Here’s the mechanism they exploit every single time:
1. THE BIOLOGICAL FLAW
Your brain is wired to fail in markets. When panic hits, your Amygdala screams "preserve capital," forcing you to sell at the exact moment risk premiums are most attractive. You crystallize losses at the bottom.
2. THE INSTITUTIONAL COUNTER-PARTY
The big desks don't rely on sentiment, they use valuation models. When you panic sell, you are desperate for liquidity. They step in and provide it, absorbing your assets at deep discounts.
3. THE LAG TRAP
Retail investors sit in cash waiting for the news to confirm it's safe. By the time the macro data looks good, the smart money has already driven the price up 30%. The optimal entry point has passed.
If you’re waiting for an all clear signal from the media, you’re already too late.
I’ve been tracking how the real money moves for the last 20 years.
Price action lies, but order flow doesn't.
The signal is in the dark pools and options gamma.
Maximum fear + Institutional buying = the bottom.
Don't overthink it. Just take the other side.
BUT HERE’S THE THING…
As of right now, the opposite is happening.
Institutional traders (insiders) are selling everything at record levels, while retail investors think everything will do a 100x from here.
I’ve been telling you for weeks, but I think a major correction is coming in the next few months.
This market is being artificially sustained. When it finally breaks, it won't be a small correction, because we’re simply delaying the inevitable.
As always, I promise to share all my moves publicly. I have an incredible track record and rarely miss.
When I start deploying significant capital again because I believe the market has bottomed, I will share it here for everyone to see.
Many people will regret not following me sooner.
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@KillaXBT Thank you killa, not a single soul makes such accurate trades publicly. Thank you ❤️
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$BTC
Patience... Acceptance back into range & its over.⌛️

Killa@KillaXBT
Quant messaged me this... $BTC
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🚨 UPDATES FROM THE LAST FEW HOURS:
– Iran’s state TV and radio just went off the air after their broadcasting building was struck.
– Massive explosions rocked central Tehran near the intelligence ministry.
– Netanyahu says strikes on Iran “will increase even more in the coming days.”
– Iran’s IRGC just announced the “most ferocious offensive operation” in the history of Iran’s armed forces is about to begin against Israel and US bases.
– 8 k*lled near Jerusalem after Iranian missiles hit Beit Shemesh. A building collapsed.
– Tehran residents are fleeing the capital. Authorities converted a major highway to one-way northbound to handle the traffic.
– Iran’s internet has been down for over 24 hours straight.
– 1,579 more flights canceled today. Dubai airport, 70% of flights gone. Virtually zero flight activity over Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Israel, Bahrain, UAE, and Qatar.
– OPEC+ just raised production by 206,000 barrels/day trying to get ahead of the oil shock.
– Gas is $2.98/gallon right now. Analysts say it could jump 50 cents if the Strait of Hormuz fully closes.
– Congress is planning a war powers vote this week. It won’t matter, not enough votes to override a veto.
– Trump spoke with leaders of Israel, Bahrain, and the UAE today.
– Secretary of State Rubio canceled his Monday trip to Israel.
– Oil futures open in hours.
– France is sending its most powerful ships to the region.
– 9 people k*lled in Karachi, Pakistan after protesters tried to storm the US Consulate.
– Pakistan-Afghanistan fighting escalating, Pakistan jets firing on Kabul, heaviest fighting in years between the two.
– UAE ordered ALL schools and universities to remote learning for 3 days.
– Israel says it destroyed ~200 Iranian missile launchers and knocked out HALF of Iran’s ballistic missile launchers.
– Trump told NBC “a large amount of leadership was killed, I don’t mean like two people.”
– Sen. Warner (top Dem on Intel Committee): “I saw no intelligence Iran was planning a preemptive strike.”
In my opinion, this is far from over.
This will impact the stock market tomorrow.
But don’t worry, I’ll keep you updated on everything as this develops.
Turn on notifications so you don’t miss any important updates.
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Compete for fun.
Compete for glory.
Compete for prizes.
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Timo Jenzer me-retweet

“Everyone is looking at the same thing.”
Who exactly is “everyone”?
There’s something important to understand here. People throw around the word “everyone” to sound insightful, like they’re outsmarting the crowd by second guessing what “the masses” are doing. In reality, 99% of what gets posted on this app is just noise.
Just because a scenario is widely discussed doesn’t automatically make it wrong. TA is TA. And hindsight is a b*tch. This cycle, everyone second guessed the obvious scenario and tried to outplay the market narrative, all of them were wrong. Why? Because they focused more on outsmarting the crowd than reading the chart.
Here’s the truth: I don’t care what anyone posts. Never have, never will. I care about my plan, my analysis, my observations. Everything else is background noise. It might come off as arrogant, but it’s not ego, it’s discipline. That’s basic trading fundamentals: stick to your plan.
So when you say “everyone is expecting the same thing,” you’re really talking about a tiny fraction of people on X, probably less than 5% of actual BTC volume. The real size operates quietly. Institutions, funds, advanced algos. they’re watching volume, liquidity, order flow, depth, risk/reward. They’re not scrolling timelines for validation.
They don’t care what you think. And neither should you. Avoid the noise. $BTC
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@KillaXBT People finally realising that you're one of those who actually know how to play
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@KillaXBT Thank you for actually knowing what you talk about and sharing it with us 🙏🏻
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