Waves ❄️

Land doesn't vote final boss 💀

@stogachess @nnjpolitics Not realistic. Ocean, Cape May, and Salem counties are too red to overcome. Cumberland and Atlantic counties are not blue enough either

@nnjpolitics Dems can win here, Sherrill was facing headwinds (Murphy unpopular, redder for governor than federal) that congressional Ds won't face

The last time the current CD-2 voted for a Dem was in 2017 for Governor, when it voted for Murphy by 0.7. This result was likely a product of Van Drew (as a Democrat) winning LD-1 by 30 and Sweeney winning LD-3 by 17. Although, CD-7 voted Guadagno in '17 then Malinowski in '18

@AndrewJ132 @ZacharyDonnini New Jersey definitely doesn’t

@ZacharyDonnini You are saying that only three states have Hispanic majority districts by voting population? Obviously Texas, California, and Florida would have them, but I am pretty sure that New York and Arizona do as well in addition to New Mexico and New Jersey.

A little Thursday afternoon trivia: Many “majority-Hispanic” districts don’t have a majority of Hispanic voters. That’s because Hispanics are disproportionately (1) under 18, (2) non-citizens, and (3) less likely to vote even when eligible. So here’s the challenge: a) How many districts did my model estimate had a Hispanic majority among actual voters in the 2024 presidential election? b) Which three states were all of those districts located in? c) Which district outside those three states came closest to a Hispanic voter majority?

@tylerbowyer Why do you love data centers so much?

Democrats are freaking out today because Sandra Kennedy lost a Kamala +16 district by 16 points herself. A 32 point swing. They had planned on winning this in 2026 for many years, running the former Corp Comm chief as their ticket.

I wish Harris would win just so these depraved gamblers lose their money

@JonahA59 @davidslosttt And then down into North Carolina and Georgia

@davidslosttt Continue it to Richmond. They earned it last year.

Building this high speed rail line would be the best thing the US could do to increase its GDP

@lxeagle17 Low income

There are 3 major demographic groups that have seen the largest and most pronounced swing away from Donald Trump, when comparing 2024 margins to current approval. I'll give you two: Hispanic voters and young voters. What is the third?

@Ike_reviews1 @RyanGirdusky Why does that even matter lol it’s not like that advantage helped them win in 2016

@RyanGirdusky Nowhere near there numbers in 2016 they had 800k advantage

Democrats have been making a rebound in voter registration in Pennsylvania over the last few months. They’re still nowhere near their numbers from 2022 or 2020 but they’ve seen a bump

@Solayne_x Manchild. could’ve just taken it away

You think the father is wrong for this?

@chriswithans Nobody ever said that

The last time they said a Republican Senator was endangered in Maine during a midterm

@CTIronman Yeah, because registration famously determines elections.

Susan Collins datapoint In 2020 she overcame a 83K D registration deficit Now it’s 47K

@modmillenialMI @MalloryMcMorrow she’s not a millionaire you halfwit

Republicans want to cut your healthcare to pay for Trump’s war after they cut your healthcare to give billionaires a tax cut. Vote 'em out. axios.com/2026/03/30/gop…

@coming4castro did bush really win those east st louis districts?

@DataRepublican @tylerbowyer @Cernovich 😂 care to explain how?

@tylerbowyer @Cernovich RCV is an explicit component of their regime change plans.

Ranked Choice Voting is one of the worst Leftist ideas Republicans have allowed into Red States ever. Utah, Texas, North Carolina, South Carolina, Arizona & Georgia must ban it before the left uses it like it has in Alaska. The following states have already restricted or prohibited RCV after the resolution I wrote at the RNC passed unanimously calling it out for what it really is: Alabama, Arkansas, Florida, Idaho, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, South Dakota, Tennessee, West Virginia & Wyoming.

@elihugonion @FuryT2dot0 @prottencrotch @flackospalace obviously he would be referring to January 6th, 2021, what else would be so humorous about the date?

@FuryT2dot0 @prottencrotch @flackospalace like i said originally, he never said it was in 2021, you’re the one with the reading comprehension problem lmao

Account made on January 6th too you can’t make this shit up LMFAOOOO

@_JeanLannes you’re probably a republican. i can tell by these maps lmao

Despite some delay, I have finished my second edition of a nation-wide Congressional Map. This image shows the districts by margin according to the 2024 United States Presidential Election.

@Appalach_Ataman @Pattycakkkes777 @PaulSkallas At least cities are recovering with support and investment, WV doesn’t seem to be

@Pattycakkkes777 @PaulSkallas No worse than any downtown metropolitan area overrun with druggies, homeless and and gangs.

highest homeownership rate in the country. 80% of people in the state own their homes. 60% of them without mortgages. It resembles a southern european country in some ways. Inexpensive. mountainous terrain, shrinking population, hard for outsiders to integrate into the society. Tight knit clans.

@AdmiralChickyFA He’d lose in 2028 anyway

Even if Don Davis wins this year (Lean R), the NC legislature is just gonna redraw again in 2027 and put him in like a Trump+15 seat

@ThJefferson1819 @samshirazim Yes! Yes! I want a Democratic gerrymander. Vote YES!

@samshirazim VOTE NO 🗳 🚫

It’s pretty wild that Virginia is going to hit over 500K early votes by the end of this week And there is over 3 weeks left Plus most satellite locations have not yet opened up Could always slow down But much higher turnout than I had been expecting so far

@JenKiggans Vote YES to counterbalance North Carolina’s recently redrawn districts like this hideous one.

🇺🇸 VIRGINIA!! VOTE NO!! April 21 or vote early!! 🇺🇸

@ReidRevolution Look at this district in North Carolina that’s connected by a thread. If NC can gerrymander their maps, VA should be able to counterbalance them.

People draw maps like THIS for one reason: to unfairly force a win for their own side. You aren’t protecting Democracy when you rig the majority vote to silence the minority. Tell every corrupt politician in Virginia NO! Vote NO!