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Benjamin
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Benjamin
@benjamin_brf
IR - Southeast Asia, US History; zastupca podtatranskeho Hegelianizmu; post-ironizmus
Slovak Republic Bergabung Aralık 2014
390 Mengikuti384 Pengikut
"Rozumiem, ze nech si kazdy robi so svojim telom co chce. Zijeme v slobodnom svete, ale..."
"PRECO SI PREBOHA STRIHATE VLASY TAK AKO SA TO MNE NEPACI?!!"
"Z mojho osobneho prieskumu su to vacsinou zeny, ktore sa (podla mna) identifikuju s labels, ktorymi pohrdam."
PANIKA!
VittoK@vittok
Rozumiem, že nech si každý robí so svojim telom čo chce. Žijeme v slobodnom svete, ale ženy čo ste tu, prosím, vysvetlite mi čo vedie činú ženu odstrihnúť si do rovna ofinu a spraviť si na hlave takýto masaker? Väčšinou sa tieto ženy identifikuju ako emancipované, sebavedomé, voľnomyšlienkarky s “artsy” myslením.
@benjamin_brf Prepáč už som bol degradovaný miestnym sofa warriors na úroveň rasistu. Tak som trochu touchy.
Benjamin me-retweet
There's an old saying in Schelling—I know it's in Hegel, probably in Schelling—that all great world-historic facts and personages appear, so to speak, twice. He forgot to add: the first time as... as... tragedy... the second time as... as... it's funny if it happens again
English
Benjamin me-retweet
In the past three years no country has contributed more to the erosion of the rules-based international order (both international law and international humanitarian law) than Israel, now they are at the receiving end of Iranian war crimes
This is why we all need to uphold the rules-based international order
𝐓𝐌𝐓@TMT_arabic
🚨 BREAKING Israel appeals to the United Nations Security Council, requesting an emergency session and accusing Iran of using banned cluster munitions.
English
Dalsie pokracovanie serie uplne normalnej a moralnej armady:
350 metrov delilo cely region od najvacsej enviromentalnej katastrofy, ktora by bola porovnatelna s incidentom vo Fukushime.
NEUTRINO@ETERNALPHYSICS
Satellite imagery from Airbus confirms a strike by Israel just 350 meters from the Bushehr nuclear reactor. The following simulation shows the devastating regional environmental impact resulting from reactor bombardment.
Benjamin me-retweet
@Marek_Kollar Myslel som to v kontexte pouzivania tychto konkretnych logik ako legitmnych strategii v zahranicnej politike. Zaroven si myslim, ze priestor na eskalaciu tu samozrejme existuje, napr. zasiahnutie fungujucej jadrovej elektrarne v niektorej z krajin zalivu. politico.eu/article/were-p…
Benjamin me-retweet
They have little choice. This is their dominant strategy, there’s a ladder of escalation, they’re gonna climb it, they’ve been telegraphing this, Israel knows their reaction function, doesn’t care and doesn’t want out, the Americans may care but can’t get out. Death spiral.
Mouin Rabbani@MouinRabbani
Iran’s strategy is simple and straightforward: continuously demonstrate that it is ready, willing, and able to act just as crazy and reckless as the United States and Israel, with similar disregard for the regional or global consequences, and see who blinks first.
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@Otras_Mozgu Konecne, aspon bude mat tento performativny historik priestor tu historiu aj realne vystudovat.
Benjamin me-retweet
US intelligence concluded that Iran was not rebuilding nuclear enrichment capacities destroyed last year by the United States and Israel, contradicting a key justification by President Donald Trump for his ongoing war.
u.afp.com/SL8j
English
Benjamin me-retweet
Priatelia, nepriatelia, všetci. Toto je dôležité. Prispejte na kultúru.
Aby nám tu nakoniec nehral už len John Cage 4'33"
donio.sk/kultura-potreb…
@econoirsk Autorova argumentacia ma velmi vela medzier. Dobre to zhrnul byvaly sef timu pre Iran pod Obamom.
x.com/ilangoldenberg…
Ilan Goldenberg@ilangoldenberg
This article is compelling and smart. I’ve seen it forwarded around a lot. Let’s walk through why it’s wrong. 1. The author argues that Iran’s military infrastructure especially its drones and missiles are being systematically taken apart. True. But in the aftermath who is going to keep it that way? After the 12 day war Israel and Trump declared Iran’s capacity to make war “obliterated” and set back for a generation. Less than a year later they went back to war because of how quickly Iran was rebuilding. This campaign is much more comprehensive, but the same problem still applies. How to avoid being stuck in the aftermath in a “mow the lawn” scenario where the US has to expend tremendous assets that could be directed elsewhere in the world - especially towards the Indopacific. And where the region operates at a new unstable normal where all previous taboos on military action are off. 2. He argues that the nuclear infrastructure had to be disassembled because one president after another had just let Iran’s nuclear program grow. Not true. Obama had managed to dramatically and verifiably reduce Iran’s nuclear capacity through the JCPOA. Trump killed that. 3. He argues Iran is self harming by stopping its own oil from going through the Strait of Hormuz. This was always an assumption before the war, but they’ve managed to shut down the Strait for everyone else while still exporting 1 million bbls per day of their own stuff. That makes this much more sustainable. 4. He Argues that Iran’s proxy networks are dramatically weakened. True, but also as we’ve learned from previous conflicts they will regenerate and it’s impossible to root them out with a military strategy alone if there is no political follow up to create a better alternative. That is why Israel is on the verge of a major campaign in Lebanon only a year and a half after supposedly setting back Hezbollah for a generation. These fights are costly Pyrrhic victories that will just need to be fought again and again and again unless there is a political strategy to consolidate victory which both Israel and the US have failed at since October 7th. 5. Finally, the author argues that we need to ignore the President’s own words about regime change and the Iranian people rising up and focus on what the military is doing. But that’s not how war works. War is fought to achieve a political objective. If there is no clear objective set out by the political leadership it’s impossible to translate battlefield victories into a consolidated win. By setting the bar at regime change Trump has made it extraordinarily hard for the US to be perceived as winning even if the military executes the plans. Perception is a big part of the battle in war. And again the costs are incredibly high. And as the author argues, the only way this works is if there is a plan to contain and keep Iran down in the aftermath. Do we have any faith in Trump to do that? Again that is going to be incredibly expensive and require a presence like what the US left in the Middle East after the first Gulf War to contain Saddam. That’s something we could afford in 1991 when the US was a unipolar power. But not in 2026 when we have a real competitor in China that we need to manage. aljazeera.com/amp/opinions/2…
Ja mám zatiaľ pocit, že ten Irán - to nebolo úplne premyslenuô - ale nič o tom vlastne neviem, tak si rád prečítam aj iný názor.
Napríklad od Muhanada Selooma (Assistant Professor of International Politics and Security at the Doha Institute) ⬇️
„Tento naratív (o hrubej chybe USA/Izraela) je však nesprávny. Nie preto, že náklady sú vymyslené, ale preto, že kritici merajú nesprávne veci. Zaznamenávajú cenu kampane, pričom ignorujú strategickú bilanciu.“
„Keď sa pozriete na to, čo sa skutočne stalo s hlavnými nástrojmi moci Iránu – jeho arzenálom balistických rakiet, jadrovou infraštruktúrou, protivzdušnou obranou, námorníctvom a architektúrou velenia proxy síl – obraz nie je obrazom zlyhania USA. Je to obraz systematického, postupného oslabovania hrozby, ktorú predchádzajúce vlády nechali rásť štyri desaťročia.“
„Keď zástupcovia spúšťajú odvetné útoky v celom regióne, nie je to dôkaz rozširujúcej sa siete; je to dôkaz vopred delegovanej právomoci reagovať, ktorú centralizovaný systém velenia aktivuje, keď predpokladá vlastné zničenie. Predbežné delegovanie je znakom zúfalstva, nie sily. Znamená to, že centrum už nedokáže koordinovať. Útoky budú pokračovať, ale budú čoraz menej koordinované, strategicky nekoherentné a politicky nákladné pre hostiteľské štáty, v ktorých tieto skupiny pôsobia.“
„Po sedemnástich dňoch je iránsky najvyšší vodca mŕtvy, jeho nástupca je údajne zranený a každý hlavný nástroj iránskej projekcie sily – rakety, jadrová infraštruktúra, protivzdušná obrana, námorníctvo, siete veliteľských zástupcov – bol oslabený tak, že sa v blízkej budúcnosti nedá obnoviť. Vykonanie kampane nebolo dokonalé, jej verejná komunikácia bola slabá a plánovanie po skončení konfliktu neúplné. Vojna nikdy nie je čistá. Ale stratégia – skutočná stratégia, meraná zníženými schopnosťami skôr než cyklami správ v káblových médiách – funguje.“
Hillel Neuer@HillelNeuer
I despise Al Jazeera. But this analysis by Exeter University professor Muhanad Seloom is worth reading: • “Two weeks into Operation Epic Fury, the dominant narrative has settled into a comfortable groove: The United States and Israel stumbled into a war without a plan. Iran is retaliating across the region. Oil prices are surging, and the world is facing another Middle Eastern quagmire. US senators have called it a blunder. Cable news has tallied the crises. Commentators have warned of a long war.” • “But this narrative is wrong. Not because the costs are imaginary, but because the critics are measuring the wrong things. They are cataloguing the price of the campaign while ignoring the strategic ledger.” • “When you look at what has actually happened to Iran’s principal instruments of power – its ballistic missile arsenal, its nuclear infrastructure, its air defences, its navy and its proxy command architecture – the picture is not one of US failure. It is one of systematic, phased degradation of a threat that previous administrations allowed to grow for four decades.” • “When proxies launch retaliatory attacks across the region, this is not evidence of an expanding network; it is evidence of predelegated response authority, which is what a centralised command system activates when it anticipates its own destruction. Predelegation is a sign of desperation, not strength. It means the centre can no longer coordinate. The attacks will continue, but they will become increasingly uncoordinated, strategically incoherent and politically costly for the host states where these groups operate.” • “Seventeen days in, Iran’s supreme leader is dead, his successor is reportedly wounded and every principal instrument of Iranian power projection – missiles, nuclear infrastructure, air defences, the navy, proxy command networks – has been degraded beyond near-term recovery. The campaign’s execution has been imperfect, its public communication poor and its post-conflict planning incomplete. War is never clean. But the strategy – the actual strategy, measured in degraded capabilities rather than cable news cycles – is working.” aljazeera.com/opinions/2026/…
@bigiman57 @econoirsk @BajzathJakub Teroristicke organizacie su ne-statni akteri, takze pokial sa medzicasom OSN nepremenovala na organizaciu spojenych ne-narodov, tak ne-statni akteri mozu od OSN nieco ziadat maximalne tak cez e-mail.
@benjamin_brf @econoirsk @BajzathJakub teraz ked sa tu akoze chytame za slovicka, nebol to iran ktory podporoval rozne hizbalahy hamasy a pod? ktore permenentne utocili na izrael. ti ziadali BROSN o nieco? takze sa to s kludom moze hodit na obranu
Benjamin me-retweet
The longer history goes on, the redder Fukuyama gets
Kein Mensch Kein Tier@KampfmitKette
"i swear I won't get political!" Me 3 drinks later:
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"Urobime to co sme urobili v Gaze"
Uplne normalna krajina.
Axios@axios
NEW: Israel is planning to significantly expand its ground operation in Lebanon axios.com/2026/03/14/isr…
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