Joster
767 posts

Joster
@josterWW
i love @Polymarket & @zscdao copywriter / push-up certified / Barça till I die


Retail math on Polymarket never fails to amaze me Look at this $16M market for military operations ending April 21 is trading at 49% April 30 is trading at 51% Look closely at the prices on the screenshot You can buy "Yes" for April 21 at 51¢ You can buy "Yes" for April 30 at the exact same 51¢ The crowd is buying the shorter duration and leaving 9 days of geopolitical optionality completely unpriced In what world does a 9-day window in an active conflict carry zero premium? If you are playing the "Yes" side and buying the April 21 contract you are just donating EV Take the free theta Buy April 30 instead Stop mispricing time



Monte Carlo Masters 2026 Semifinals 🎾 Jannik Sinner (2) vs Alexander Zverev (3) Polymarket odds 83% / 18% My prediction: Sinner will win Sinner leads the head-to-head 8-4 and has won the last 7 matches. He is the clear favorite. Both are in good shape in this tournament, but Jannik has a big goal. Sinner needs to reach the final and win it to take number 1 in the ATP ranking. Carlos Alcaraz (1) vs Valentin Vacherot (23) Polymarket odds 94% / 7% My prediction: Alcaraz will win World number 1 tennis player and defending champion versus a diligent but much less experienced player. Valentin is on his home ground, but today he doesn't have enough stamina and experience to reach the final. I’m expecting a straightforward win for Alcaraz. @PolymarketSport #ATP #MonteCarloMasters





BUNDESLIGA Bayern Munich vs St. Pauli 1910 How I want to make money on this match? > This is a game between an underdog and the Bundesliga leader, where Bayern are clear favorites > Bayern are on the verge of a historic milestone - 101 goals in a Bundesliga season (currently 100) > The last St. Pauli win vs Bayern was in 2002 at Millerntor - since then Bayern have won 10 of the last 11 H2Hs > St. Pauli are having one of their worst Bundesliga seasons ever (25 points), with only 25 goals scored (lowest in the league) I think Bayern should have no problems in this match, especially after how they beat Real Madrid Today I won't take risks and will go with BAYERN TO WIN at 69c Will Bayern break the record today?




LALIGA Barcelona FC vs RCD Espanyol Where is the value here? > Espanyol are fighting for European spots, but at home they’ve been solid - scoring consistently in their last 5 matches (5 goals), with Pere Milla as their main scorer > H2H: Barcelona have won 86 of 154 league meetings (285–172 in goals), including recent 3-1 at home and 2-0 away wins vs Espanyol > Espanyol are one of Barcelona's most frequent opponents, with 34 draws in the rivalry > In their last 5 matches, Espanyol have scored in every game, while Barcelona haven’t lost a derby since 2023 I don't see value in taking Barcelona to win at 72c today. I expect Flick to rotate heavily to prepare for a tough Champions League return leg vs Atletico That's why my prediction on @Polymarket is BTTS DYOR What do you think?






Possible profit +666% on a boxing event. What are the chances that the underdog will win? Tyson Fury vs Arslanbek Makhmudov 85% / 15% current odds at @Polymarket April 11, 2026 in London For Fury, this is an attempt to prove his form after almost a year and a half break and make a bright return to big-time sport. For Makhmudov, it is a chance to loudly declare himself and open the door to the top league. 🇬🇧 Tyson Fury “The Gypsy King” – great experience, huge dimensions, plasticity, battle tactics. Former WBC, WBO, IBO, WBA World Champion. Age: 37 Height: 206 cm Weight: 127 kg Arm swing: 216 cm Record: 34 victories, 24 by knockouts, 3 defeats Position in the world ranking: out of rating 🇷🇺 Arslanbek Makhmudov “Lion” – power, speed, impact force. Current champion according to WBA Inter-Continental in the heavyweight category. He won this title on October 11, 2025, defeating Dave Allen by unanimous decision. Age: 36 Height: 197 cm Weight: 120 kg Arm swing: 197 cm Record: 21 victories, 19 by knockouts, 2 defeats Position in the world ranking: 20 Both boxers can surprise; both have knockout power but gaps in defense. For most, Fury's victory is obvious, but he has already ended his boxing career 5 times and suffered two consecutive defeats to Alexander Usyk, where he showed his weaknesses. Makhmudov also lost, but he did not end his career and continued to work on himself. My choice is in favor of the underdog Makhmudov here. I want to see this sensation. I'm ready to risk a comfortable amount and make this prediction. Let’s see how it will be tomorrow👇 polymarket.com/event/boxing-t… @PolymarketSport #boxing #Polymarket





I'm in absolute shock right now. This @Polymarket trader "gfjoigfsjoigsjoi" put over $1.5 million on Arsenal to win. How is this even possible? I can't wrap my head around it. How do you not get scared betting such a huge amount of money? But if @Arsenal actually pulls it off and wins he'll be able to take home more than a million dollars in pure profit. And get this the man only has 6 predictions on his profile so far and every single one of them has been a winner. I'm definitely going to keep a close eye on him from now on. Profile: @gfjoigfsjoigsjoi?r=Kaito" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@gfjoigfsjoigs…














