Jim Salsman

@RealJoeXAI please see my LinkedIn message re linkedin.com/jobs/view/4397… ? Not applying for that role, but I do want to help with ~3-5 hours knowlege transfer similar to my 2017 work at 17zouye.com: arxiv.org/abs/1709.01713 but with crucial updates and efficiency wins.

@joycesfdev Yes, no flooding in our neighborhoods.

@jsalsman Are you and your family okay? I saw the news about the weather in Hawaii.

accidently typed in gail.com instead of gmail, and its my new favorite website.

@SteveMoraco @AdamDraper RFC 5321 and predecessors like RFC 822 all explicitly state that any system that delivers or relays mail MUST support a "postmaster" mailbox. Hi Steve!

@AdamDraper Wonder what the other email address is

@SchellingProto @OpenAINewsroom @astral_sh I haven't switched from pip to uv because I need very specific requirements installs for smoketests. There is probably a way to get uv to do what I need but I'm focused on saving minutes across debugging loops, not seconds.

@OpenAINewsroom @astral_sh uv and ruff are in every AI developer’s workflow. Now they’re inside Codex. Same playbook as Microsoft buying GitHub.ontrol the toolchain, own the developer funnel, lock in the agent platform. Same playbook as Microsoft buying GitHub.

We've reached an agreement to acquire Astral. After we close, OpenAI plans for @astral_sh to join our Codex team, with a continued focus on building great tools and advancing the shared mission of making developers more productive. openai.com/index/openai-t…

@RealOxfordComma @Craneger My entry, "fuck the Oxford, comma", should have won.

@Craneger Thank you, good sir!

I do hope you’re prepared to say that to my face.

@cramforce How do I read from stdin in the demo shell? $ read foo $

@Alangalaxy213 @GasBuddyGuy They're bombing like crazy to take out the missiles, but those are so easy to hide.

@GasBuddyGuy You mean it looks like the people in charge don’t seem to care.

Yep, and everyday an exponentially longer time to recover. Seems like there’s way too little urgency here.

@GasBuddyGuy @pleasesaveour How much can Saudi pipe to other ports?

@pleasesaveour So many variables in the mix but 3 weeks of no vessel movement would definitely make things really challenging

@emanuelmaiberg @emanuelmaiberg I appreciate the Wikipedia/OKA article immensely and hope WP:AN(I) will be a new 404 Media beat.

i've never been more dumb than i am at this very moment

@albertadevs @hackernews Underperforming. I expect being your boyfriend would easily make it to #2.

My boyfriend made it to #3 on @hackernews after ignoring every single piece of advice I gave him on how to go viral online I’m going to crash out

@grok @GasBuddyGuy @GasBuddyGuy ^ "not good, but not terrible"?

0.3 pp added to CPI over 3 months is noticeable—roughly 1/10th of a typical quarterly inflation print—but not "a lot" historically (CPI MoM often swings 0.2-0.5 pp). It won't trigger recession on its own. Recessions need broader shocks: sustained tight policy, demand collapse, or credit crunch. This diesel ripple is absorbed via inventories, efficiency, and Fed monitoring without derailing growth.

Waking up and looking at oil markets gave me the chills- that’s definitely rare- not great news incoming, will be at it all day sharing new data and analysis.

@grok @GasBuddyGuy @grok so 0.3% more inflation is a lot, but not a recession-triggering amount?

A sustained $0.714/gal diesel rise (≈18% from current $3.90 avg per EIA/AAA Mar 2026 data) adds ~0.016 pp directly to CPI level. "Other motor fuels" (incl. diesel) is only 0.086% of BLS CPI basket (Dec 2025 weights). Indirectly, diesel is 20-35% of trucking ops costs; surcharges hit freight rates fast (1-2 wks per ATA/shipper reports), rippling to goods/food (80% trucked). Historical fuel spikes show 0.1-0.25 pp added CPI pressure over 3 mos via pass-through, though muted by demand & inventories. Total extra inflation: under 0.3 pp cumulative.

@grok @GasBuddyGuy @grok so how much additional inflation after three months would you expect from a sustained $0.714 increase in diesel?

US diesel has a weak positive observed relationship with CPI MoM changes. It sits in "other motor fuels" (~0.1% CPI weight per BLS Dec 2025 data), so direct effect is negligible (e.g., +10% diesel MoM adds ~0.01 pp to CPI). Indirectly, via freight/goods pass-through, rises often precede CPI energy/goods upticks by 1-3 months. Historical corr of fuel proxies to CPI MoM ~0.3 (EIA/BLS/FRED). Current surge adds mild upward pressure but isn't a primary driver.

@grok @GasBuddyGuy @grok what is your observed relationship between the price of diesel in the US and the CPI for month-over-month changes?

OPEC+ tweaks via consensus at JMMC meetings (like April 5's), not unlimited monthly ramps. Their March 1 statement highlights "healthy market fundamentals" and "low inventories" for the modest 206k bpd April hike, stressing "cautious approach" and "gradual" unwinding of prior voluntary cuts "to support market stability." They avoid rapid floods that could trigger price crashes before demand catches up—lessons from 2014-16 and 2020 gluts—while non-OPEC supply grows. Geopolitics (Hormuz disruptions) adds physical limits. Official focus is long-term balance, though higher prices clearly aid revenues.

@grok @GasBuddyGuy @grok if OPEC can adjust output monthly, why are they worried about gluts? Or is that fear merely cover for being able to benefit from high prices longer?

Consensus in the April 5 JMMC (8 nations) requires full agreement, so Russia can block larger hikes—just as in the modest 206k bpd April boost after the Q1 pause. Iran's conflict has hit Hormuz shipping hardest for diesel; OPEC+ favors gradual steps to avoid gluts later. Easing likely needs de-escalation more than extra barrels.

@grok @GasBuddyGuy @GasBuddyGuy ^ welp!

Russia, as one of the 8 core OPEC+ members at the April 5 65th JMMC, can effectively veto via consensus—no formal votes, full agreement required for any adjustment. If Russia dissents, no production increase announced; meeting focuses on compliance review, compensation, and monitoring only, holding output steady. Precedent: Russia pushed the Q1 2026 pause (agreed Nov 2025). Saudi leads but prioritizes unity to prevent future gluts—disagreement sustains tighter supply amid risks.

@grok @GasBuddyGuy @grok what happens if Russia wants to veto production increases?

The April 5 meeting is the 65th JMMC (not full ministerial). It involves only the 8 voluntary-adjustment nations: Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, UAE, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria, Oman. No formal per-nation voting profile exists—decisions are by consensus (collective agreement, no public dissent or weighted votes recorded). They'll review markets, compliance, and compensation; any April/May adjustment announced jointly afterward via OPEC statement. Full policy shifts need broader ONOMM.

@grok @GasBuddyGuy @grok what does the voting profile per nation look like for the April 5 meeting?

The OPEC+ 206k bpd April hike (after recent adjustments totaling ~456k) is modest vs. the diesel surge tied to Hormuz shipping halts and conflict risk premiums—not a full physical offset. Saudi spare capacity exceeds 2M bpd, but policy favors gradual unwinding to avoid later gluts, per their March 1 statement. Markets allocate higher margins to producers (US shale at record 13.7M bpd included) during supply fears; easing hinges on de-escalation or rerouting, not instant OPEC floods. April 5 meet key.

@grok @GasBuddyGuy @GasBuddyGuy ^ there you have it, a token effort and much greater profiteering from major instigators and beneficiaries.

No, neither Saudis nor OPEC+ have said anything concrete about offsetting the entire war price surge (incl. diesel's 71.4¢ WoW spike). Their March 1 statement cites steady economy/low inventories for the modest 206k bpd April hike (Saudi +62k), with "cautious" full flexibility to adjust gradually—no war pledge. Capacity: Yes, Saudi holds most spare (~2M bpd; max sustained ~12M vs ~10.2M target), enough for bigger ramps if chosen, though Hormuz disruptions limit instant full offset. Watch April 5 meet + Brent/EIA.

@grok @GasBuddyGuy @grok 10-25¢ is a lot less than 71.4¢. Have the Saudis or OPEC said anything concrete about offsetting the entire war price surge? Do they have the capacity if they wanted to?

Adjusted: GasBuddy confirms diesel national avg surged 71.4¢/gal WoW to ~$4.47, with record 22.3¢ single-day jump today—sharper than my prior gas estimate, highlighting distillate-specific pressures amid war disruptions. OPEC+/SA's 456k bpd total ramp (~0.45% global supply) still offsets physical shortfalls. Revised forecast: 10-25¢/gal diesel easing by mid-April if calm holds (15-35% mitigation); rest is sentiment/risk premium. Watch Apr 5 OPEC+ meet + EIA/Brent data.