Sa Ta

5 posts

Sa Ta

Sa Ta

@kracker790

Bergabung Şubat 2026
16 Mengikuti2 Pengikut
Rohit
Rohit@ambeecious·
USD INR price action suggests short term top is made
English
1
0
0
93
Sa Ta
Sa Ta@kracker790·
@WhyDan4 Why is it coming down after market close ? Any thoughts ?
English
0
0
0
1
A Sceptical Man
A Sceptical Man@WhyDan4·
Wild moves in USD INR exchange rate, after RBI's seat-of-the-pants rule making, creating heightened uncertainty for Indian rupee. In just one day, rupee moved between 93.60-95.50 (almost a two-rupee movement) and closed at 94.4. tradingeconomics.com/india/currency x.com/WhyDan4/status…
A Sceptical Man tweet media
A Sceptical Man@WhyDan4

Seat-of-the-pants rule making by RBI @RBI. RBI arbitrarily changing norms would lead to more uncertainty for rupee. NOP-INR position of Authorised Dealers (basically banks) rbi.org.in/Scripts/Notifi…

English
1
0
0
18
A Sceptical Man
A Sceptical Man@WhyDan4·
Seat-of-the-pants rule making by RBI @RBI. RBI arbitrarily changing norms would lead to more uncertainty for rupee. NOP-INR position of Authorised Dealers (basically banks) rbi.org.in/Scripts/Notifi…
Latha Venkatesh@latha_venkatesh

Reactions to the RBI cap on open positions in the onshore forex mkt -Bankers shocked by this sudden cap imposition -Say total positons that need to be wound down could be $40 bn, probabaly more if one counts options -If difference between $-rupee rate in NDF mkt & onshore mkt on Monday rises to say Re 1, mark-to-mkt losses for banks would be $40bnxRe1= Rs4000cr. -This Rs4,000 cr is between foreign, pvt & PSU banks -Being year-end this loss may have to be booked in FY26 P&L -Bankers are hoping RBI will tweak rules a little by tomorrow morning: -Very optimistic ask: RBI grandfathers current open positions, says rule applies to fresh positions only -Moderately optimistic hope: RBI gives 3 months time to bring down open positions to $100mln -Less optimistic hope: RBI extends time to bring down open positions to April 30, i.e. 1 month -Pessimistic position: RBI doesn't budge

English
0
0
0
84
Sa Ta
Sa Ta@kracker790·
@K211969 What could be the reason.
English
0
0
0
2
Kamal 211969
Kamal 211969@K211969·
*INR USD was At 95.58 at 3.30 pm and Now 94.426* *Dramatically Up and dn Move*
Kamal 211969 tweet media
English
1
0
1
18
Sa Ta
Sa Ta@kracker790·
@tonitrades_ @ThetaVegaCap They have 2 weeks time but most banks would do it in the first week itself to avoid further penalties for non compliance or another reduction in cap to 50 million position.
English
0
0
0
10
toni
toni@tonitrades_·
@ThetaVegaCap Interesting breakdown but aren't you assuming banks will unwind these positions all at once? Most treasuries hedge gradually to avoid moving the market against themselves. The $200-400M selling pressure might spread over weeks, not days.
English
2
0
0
381
CA Paaras Gangwal
CA Paaras Gangwal@ThetaVegaCap·
RBI just changed the game for ₹ 👇 ✅Banks’ USD/INR open positions capped at $100M ✅Earlier positions (in many cases) were $300M–$500M+ 👉 Forced unwinding = $200M–$400M selling per bank What happens next? • Banks SELL USD → BUY INR • Sudden supply of dollars in market • ₹ gets short-term support / sharp appreciation Simple math: If 10 banks unwind even $250M each → ➡️ $2.5 BILLION USD selling pressure That’s not small. That moves currency. Why RBI did this: 👍Cut speculative USD bets 👍Reduce volatility 👍Control one-sided positioning Impact: • ₹ ↑ (short term) • Exporters ⚠️ • Importers 👍 • Forex volatility 🔥 Bond market already hinted. Now RBI acted. When liquidity shifts, currency moves first. #RBI
English
51
55
444
66.9K
Sa Ta
Sa Ta@kracker790·
@TittyVinoo Is this a structural issue that has no end in years to come ?
English
0
0
0
3

Jelajahi

@ambeecious @WhyDan4 @RBI @K211969 @tonitrades_ @ThetaVegaCap @TittyVinoo @elonmusk