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@BWM_AB

Retired professional. 40+ yrs trading stocks/bonds/commodities. There are old pilots and bold pilots, but no old, bold pilots. No advice-ideas that interest me

参加日 Ocak 2010
1.1K フォロー中1.1K フォロワー
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ArB
ArB@BWM_AB·
"In the world of business, bad news often surfaces serially: You see a cockroach in your kitchen; as the days go by, you meet his relatives." - Warren Buffett Cockroach Theory: There's never just one cockroach-the premise that when a company reveals bad news, more is yet to come
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ArB
ArB@BWM_AB·
The Gold Miners Bullish Percent Index(black line) recently hit a low of 3.45%--% of stocks that had point-and-figure buys. Last time $BPGDM was this low was fall of 2022 right before a rally started in $HUI (orange line). Time for a bounce? $GDX $HUI $GLD #GC_F
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Tom McClellan
Tom McClellan@McClellanOsc·
NYSE's McClellan A-D Oscillator as of March 12 is now as oversold as what we saw with the April 2025 tariff crash.
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Tom McClellan
Tom McClellan@McClellanOsc·
A Zweig Breadth Thrust is obviously not happening now, but Thursday's negative breadth provided the setup for one to potentially happen over the next 2 weeks. The first criterion is A/(A+D) going below 0.40, which marks an oversold condition to bounce from.
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ArB
ArB@BWM_AB·
#Cocoa formed a bullish engulfing candlestick on the weekly chart. Sideways/up intermediate term. Finally the bottom is in? $Cocoa #CC_F
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ArB@BWM_AB·
#Silver formed a second bearish engulfing candlestick on the weekly chart. Sideways/down intermediate term. $Silver #SI_F $SLV $SIL #Futures #Commodities $PSLV
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ArB@BWM_AB

#Silver formed a bearish engulfing candlestick on the weekly chart and a bearish shooting star candlestick on the monthly chart. Sideways/down intermediate term. $Silver #SI_F $SLV $SIL #Futures #Commodities

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ArB
ArB@BWM_AB·
After forming a bearish engulfing candlestick a few weeks ago and trading sideways, #Palladium has formed another bearish engulfing candlestick on the weekly chart. Sideways/down intermediate term. $Palladium #PA_F $PALL #Mining #Futures #Commodities
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ArB
ArB@BWM_AB·
#Platinum formed another bearish engulfing candlestick on the weekly chart after going sideways for a few weeks. Sideways/down intermediate term. $Platinum #PL_F $PPLT $PLAT #Futures #Commodities
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ArB
ArB@BWM_AB·
#Platinum formed a bearish engulfing candlestick on the weekly chart. Sideways/down intermediate term. $Platinum #PL_F $PPLT $PLAT #Futures #Commodities
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ArB@BWM_AB·
Opportunity on the long side? The boat is listing to the short side. #ZB_F #ZN_F $TLT
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter

The short US bond trade is very crowded: Short interest in the popular Treasury bond-tracking ETF, $TLT, is up to a record 150.5 million shares. This is 10 TIMES above levels seen in March 2023, which stood at ~15 million shares. Short interest has TRIPLED since 2024 despite the $TLT price remaining flat over this period. Long-term Treasuries have been in a bear market for nearly 6 years now. Since April 2020, $TLT has declined -40%, with the biggest drawdown reaching -47% in October 2023. Long-term bonds are more hated than ever.

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ArB
ArB@BWM_AB·
#RBOB Gasoline continues to rally after breaking out of the bullish declining wedge and forming a bullish hammer candlestick last week. $UGA #Futures #Commodities #OOTT #RB_F
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ArB
ArB@BWM_AB·
#Gasoline formed a bullish hammer candlestick several days ago and then broke out of a bullish declining wedge formation today. Sometimes the signals for crude oil appear in the derivatives. #RB_F $UGA #RBOB
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Richard Bernstein Advisors
Richard Bernstein Advisors@RBAdvisors·
Any #Fed member who isn’t concerned about the clear upward trend in secular #inflation expectations probably isn’t focusing on data.
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ArB
ArB@BWM_AB·
#Copper formed a bearish engulfing candlestick on the daily chart and a bearish shooting star candlestick on the monthly chart. Sideways/down intermediate term. $Copper #HG_F $CPER $COPX #Futures #Commodities
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ArB
ArB@BWM_AB·
#Silver formed a bearish engulfing candlestick on the weekly chart and a bearish shooting star candlestick on the monthly chart. Sideways/down intermediate term. $Silver #SI_F $SLV $SIL #Futures #Commodities
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ArB
ArB@BWM_AB·
#GOLD formed a bearish shooting star candlestick on the weekly and monthly charts. Sideways/down intermediate term. $GOLD #GC_F $IAU $GLD #Futures #Commodities
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Tom McClellan
Tom McClellan@McClellanOsc·
As noted in both my Daily Edition and my twice monthly newsletter, the small "non-reportable" traders in the weekly COT Report have been aggressively positioned for gold to go higher. The market usually likes to punish these small specs, and is doing so today. mcoscillator.com/market_reports/
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ArB
ArB@BWM_AB·
#Copper has pulled back since forming the bearish shooting star candlestick on the daily chart. $Copper #HG_F #Futures $CPER $COPX
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ArB@BWM_AB·
30-yr #TreasuryBond breaking out of a 3 month downtrend. #ZB_F $TLT #ZN_F Long-term Treasury bond rates to fall?
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