Michael Guimarin

Under scarcity it’s expensive to be poor and cheap to be rich. But under abundance it’s cheap to be poor and expensive to be rich. Complete inversion from what you know.

@AJA_Cortes Let’s go!

I will be at Reindustrialize next week with my cofounder Anyone that wants to meet while were there, send me a DM

@typesfast @datarade @BrianNorgard qwen3.6-35b-a3b-uncensored-hauhaucs-aggressive

@Guimarin @datarade @BrianNorgard Which one?

I have not talked to a single Bitcoiner who is rotating into the SpaceX, Anthropic, or OpenAI IPOs.

@AntiquaScientia Ireland looks like a toddler’s temper tantrum right now. We’ll see.

@Guimarin With Ireland happening now, much more or less likely do you predict political violence being needed elsewhere? Or does Ireland serve as warning instead of a catalyst?

“People not born in the US need to leave the country and reapply for citizenship. Those born to parents who were not citizens need to leave and reapply for citizenship.” My telemetry observatory caught this in the past month. It’s now a stable equilibrium point (shelling point) in the information environment. There is no left-wing counter argument to the above so it will grow/metastasize until one appears, it comes to dominate, or the system collapses. Given that I try and steel-man all points of view, I assess a greater than 50% probability (probably more like 80%) that it comes to dominate. The issue like other similar shelling points is “what exactly are you going to do about it?” These points are outside the paradigm and it’s hard to envision them reconciling without political violence.

@JoshuaLisec @elonmusk It’s going to be working class whites from the trades. They are breeding just fine. In the American South, and pockets all over the West in general.

@Guimarin @elonmusk Who do you suppose is the replacement class

Only by protesting REPEATEDLY and LOUDLY will there be any change!!

@JoshuaLisec @elonmusk No it’s more probable the elite go extinct and get replaced. My back of the envelope math shows that white conservatives are breeding above a 2.1 TFR across the west. Liberals and the elite (which is tiny) are rapidly going extinct.

@Guimarin @elonmusk You suppose nothing will happen, everything gets worse, Whites go extinct by 2100

@JoshuaLisec @elonmusk The issue is there isn’t one. Theres no such thing as the British elite, French elite, German elite, etc. They are all the same elite. And as such identify with their “trans-national” identity first and foremost, globalists.

@Guimarin @elonmusk What is their tipping point do you suppose

@genksky2 No no. The food gets zapped, not the people. It’s like shining a bright UV light on it.

Guy I know uses a particle accelerator to sterilize these larvae. The tech is awesome. 😂

@AJA_Cortes Back in the olden days we used to say the round you go public after is your grade. Google went out after their series A

What equity is left after 13 rounds?

@Alexfeinberg @BowTiedBull @marvinliao 100k is a bit much. Those stores lose like 10-20k/mo. We have one that sells only pillows, another one is a Ukrainian woman’s bookstore with ~50 books (must be seen to be believed), and a bunch of women’s rock stores. And every 1/5th space is still unoccupied.

@BowTiedBull @marvinliao Your e-com business does $1M per month? Who cares Your wife’s brick and mortar loses $100K per month? Now we’re talking

Other than house its really hard to justify visible status signal. At least a house you're in there half your life or more so its high utility This other stuff that loses money, nothing prestigious about it

@datarade @BrianNorgard I downloaded a new local model this weekend, and I don’t need anything else for non-coding tasks. It was incredible.

@BrianNorgard Here's a question I have for you ---- In 24-36 months, distillation and hardware gains will take everything down to a local model that runs on your laptop for 90% of high frequency relevant use cases. True or nah?

@JoshuaLisec @elonmusk No reason for the elite to get involved as yet.

@elonmusk If protests worked they would have. If violent protests worked they would have. If voting worked it also would have. None of these have. Revolutions only work when the elite get involved.

The psyop men fall for is, “You can have kids anytime.” While true, the other side of this coin is, “Every day you delay kids is a day you don’t get with your grandkids.”

@TMLutas Interesting counter point, thank you.

@Guimarin Tax me like a citizen, treat me like a citizen. You aren’t going to treat me like a citizen, don’t tax me like one. There is your emotional argument against the proposal. It’s not particularly left wing, but then again, neither am I. Richard Nixon bought me out of bondage.

>arrive at cnc party >ask the door girl if it's a machinery or sex party >she doesnt understand >pull out illustrated diagram explaining the difference between machinery and sex >she laughs and says “it's a good party sir” >go inside >it's a sex party

It’s a fancy math way for saying an equilibrium point existing in a state of dynamic and balanced tension. Think of it like a ball on a sheet, and where the ball is the sheet warps down. Nothing is easily climbing out of that depression and stuff that moves close by gets drawn down into it.

@guimarin Schelling point?

@TMLutas First, my suspicion from having folks like you in my own extended family is that many would be glad to redo the test. Regarding tax status, I don’t know. Right now this comes up in an emotional rather than solid policy context.

@guimarin I am a childhood naturalization. I can probably still pass the citizenship test cold, as can my family. For prudence sake, I might want to read through the questions to knock the dust off. What are the advocates proposing my tax status should be between now and when I ace this?

People demanding "proof" of election fraud are not understanding how crime works. I worked at Manhattan DA for over 2 years, one in Homicide. We never had video proof of the crime. We almost never had DNA. These are things that occur on CSI on TV, not in real life. And we still convicted people all the time. What we had was testimony and circumstantial evidence. Travel times, bank records, cell phone data, gate access codes. Motive, capability, benefit, time and place. Never direct proof. Of course the defendant always denied the crime, but there was enough evidence to show that one had to have occurred nonetheless. If what we have in the LA Mayoral election is a statistical anomaly that is beyond reasonable explanation with anything besides fraud, that is enough to prove a crime. This has been true since the beginning of Western Civlization.

@theonlyGBF If there’s an Overton window for acceptable political discourse. And there’s a bounded window for allowable political action. This point of view exists within one but not the other.

@guimarin Well if you dont stand up you fall for everything

@JoshuaLisec 😂

@guimarin Bro

This has been me. You?