COUNSEL

Most traders react. Professionals prepare. I focus on: • structure • key levels • risk discipline If you want noise, look elsewhere. If you want clarity, follow.

Price moves first. Narratives follow. By the time it “makes sense” the trade is gone.

@TicTocTick A 5% drop is noise. What matters is whether buyers show up. So far, they haven’t.

S&P500 is down about 5% in March. Not good . There are reasons to believe the brunt of selling has not even started.

@NoLimitGains Pressure is building. But markets don’t break when everyone sees it. They break when positioning can’t hold it.

Nobody can sell their house. Nobody can afford to buy one. Retail can barely afford groceries. Companies can’t afford to refinance their debt at current rates. $9 trillion of US debt rolls over this year. But sure, we’re good.

@NoLimitGains Sitting in cash is a position. Most don’t realize that. Patience is part of the strategy.

Everyone’s focused on what to buy tomorrow. Nobody talks about the power of sitting in cash and watching everything fall apart.​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​ Sit on your hands, enjoy your life, come back when the time is right.

@Barchart Everyone calls it manipulation. It’s policy. And policy is the trend.

More manipulation in the Japanese Yen market 🚨 They're gonna keep saving it aren't they?

@KobeissiLetter Uncertainty isn’t the risk. Repricing is. Energy doesn’t wait for clarity.

BREAKING: There remains "considerable uncertainty" over whether the US Naval escorts through the Strait of Hormuz promised by President Trump will be made available, per FT. Details include: 1. Trump is exploring plans to require ships escorted by the US Navy through the Strait of Hormuz to buy US government insurance 2. The plan would require ships to purchase US government’s insurance for hull, machinery, and cargo 3. The Development Finance Corporation is running the $20 billion insurance program 4. Current insurance premiums on a $100M ship traveling through Hormuz are up to a massive ~$5M Brent crude oil prices are now nearing $120/barrel.

@TicTocTick The edge wasn’t buying. It was not selling.

The old fox Warren knew this 3 years ago when he purchased most of Occidental at $37. This is foresight . I also gave Occidental’s at 38. Now 60. $oxy

Gold down $400 in a day. That’s not “normal.” That’s positioning getting unwound. When crowded trades break… they don’t drift. They move fast.

@TicTocTick Everyone’s calling for no floor. That’s usually where one forms. Emotion peaks at extremes. Price reacts.

Market was going up because it thought Trump was a pro growth, low taxes, no nonsense President. Instead what we got this 👇

200dma is where people get emotional. Not where they get paid. Reaction > level.

$SPY

@unusual_whales 67% struggling… But people still think the economy is “fine.” The disconnect is getting dangerous.

67% of Gen Z are struggling to pay for housing, compared with 53–54% of millennials and Gen Xers, and 36% of baby boomers, per Redfin.

BREAKING: Two killed in Israeli air strike on Adloun, southern Lebanon: Report 🔴 LIVE updates: aje.news/fs4nzb?update=…

@NoLimitGains This is bigger than gas. Energy moves → inflation Inflation moves → rates Rates move → the entire market People are watching stocks… Smart money is watching energy.

🚨 European natural gas prices up 32% this morning. TTF was at €53 yesterday. It spiked to €70 at open after two waves of Iranian strikes caused extensive damage at Ras Laffan in Qatar. The world’s largest LNG hub. QatarEnergy’s 77 million tonne per year export system is effectively shut. That’s 20% of global LNG supply offline. Europe was already walking in with gas storage at 27%. Lowest for this time of year since 2022. Asia is now bidding for every available cargo on the spot market. Ships heading to Europe are being rerouted east for higher bids. Europe keeps losing. HSBC said this week European gas prices will be 40% higher than previously forecast for all of 2026 and stay elevated into 2027. The European Commission is already talking about emergency price caps. This doesn’t look good. I’ll keep you updated as things develop. Follow with notifications, this is very important.

Most traders focus on direction. Smart money focuses on positioning. That’s the difference between reacting… and anticipating.

Most people don’t lose in the market because of bad entries. They lose because they can’t sit still. No patience. No discipline. No plan. The market rewards control, not activity. $SPY

@amitisinvesting Oil isn’t the story. Oil is the trigger. If this escalates, you’re not pricing energy… you’re pricing risk across everything. Watch bonds. Watch $SPY reaction.

TRUMP: - ISRAEL ATTACKED AN IRANIAN GAS FIELD OUT OF ANGER - NO MORE ATTACKS WILL BE DONE BY THEM Anything effecting oil prices is just not tolerable after the inflation print we got today. Trump knows that. He also seems upset.

The market doesn’t judge you. It reflects you. Your P&L is a mirror. Bad entries. Overtrading. Holding losers. Cutting winners. It’s all there. Fix the trader, not the market. Follow for clarity. $SPY