Falsifier 🙃

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Falsifier 🙃

Falsifier 🙃

@PrefFalsifier

Married . Eastern European mindset

San Francisco, CA 参加日 Mart 2009
1.4K フォロー中791 フォロワー
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Falsifier 🙃
Falsifier 🙃@PrefFalsifier·
The worst trick social media ever played was convincing people that they matter
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Falsifier 🙃
Falsifier 🙃@PrefFalsifier·
I like the history legends theory that the plan is to start seizing Iranian tankers headed for China
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Sam 🇦🇺🇺🇦
Sam 🇦🇺🇺🇦@samstrades·
@TheShortBear you're a clueless low IQ simpleton, ending the war without completely smashing Iranian military capability to smithereens means you've lost and in a few years US will be back again to deal with much more radically emboldened Islamists it's insane how stupid you people are
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THE SHORT BEAR
THE SHORT BEAR@TheShortBear·
Israel is proactively attacking and keeping the USA in this fight. Israel could be looking to further escalate while Trump is looking for an exit, with a 48h deadline. The US wants peace and to bring the troops back but we keep on getting dragged back into the conflict. Stop the war! • Initial attack (escalation by Israel): On March 18, 2026, Israel struck Iran’s South Pars gas field (world’s largest, shared with Qatar) and the Asaluyeh processing hub. This damaged ~12% of Iran’s gas production, halted refinery output, and disrupted domestic supplies, marking a shift to economic/energy warfare. Israel acted (with some U.S. coordination/approval despite initial denials), targeting Iran’s economic lifeline. • Iran’s response (reactive retaliation): Iran quickly retaliated by launching missiles and drones at energy infrastructure in Gulf states (e.g., Qatar’s Ras Laffan LNG hub, causing major damage and output cuts; sites in Saudi Arabia, UAE, Kuwait). Iran also fired barrages at Israel (e.g., hitting refineries like Bazan in Haifa) and broadened threats. • Further Israeli escalation(proactive): On March 21 (during Nowruz), the U.S. and Israel struck Iran’s Natanz nuclear enrichment facility (no radiation leak reported). Israel also conducted additional strikes around Tehran. • Iran’s further retaliation (reactive): Iran responded with missile strikes on southern Israel (e.g., near Dimona nuclear center and Arad, injuring dozens+), U.S./allied bases, and continued Gulf energy attacks.
THE SHORT BEAR tweet media
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Falsifier 🙃
Falsifier 🙃@PrefFalsifier·
@hauchk No but I use them both for technical questions so they know what I do in general
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Falsifier 🙃
Falsifier 🙃@PrefFalsifier·
I try to use AI as therapy but then it (Gemini and ChatGPT) will be like “since you’re an engineer who works with X you know that …” Stop. It’s creepy and artificial
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Andrej Karpathy
Andrej Karpathy@karpathy·
Great questions! Starting backwards with (3), I'd hope AIs can feel like Rocky from Project Hail Mary (it's top of mind having seen it yesterday), like a partner and a teammate. As one small example that stuck with me recently, when Claude found the Sonos system on my LAN, it could have said something like "Successfully found the sonos server..." Instead it said something like "We're in!..." Small example, but I feel like there's a sense that we're trying to achieve something together, etc. Possibly others have their own versions. I still think it could be better, for example Rocky has his own distinct personality, opinions, quirks, I don't feel like AIs have these aspects, they feel a little too safe, and overall still a little bit too corporate. (2) No, the field is not being intentional enough, which ties to (1), I don't think personality requires new technology, I think it looks more like long SOUL.md files, possibly distilled into weights, and an organizational choice to install someone who really cares about this dimension and who drives it.
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Falsifier 🙃
Falsifier 🙃@PrefFalsifier·
As Yarvin says, we moderns are completely alien to previous generations
Josiah Lippincott@jlippincott_

The ability of the American regime to extract sacrifices from the population has declined dramatically over the last 80 years. You can see this in the declining casualty rates in American wars. Battle deaths by conflict: WWII: 291,557 Vietnam: 47,434 GWOT: 5,467 Iran War: 13 The American appetite for casualties abroad is decreasing by orders of magnitude over time. This reflects a serious decline in the legitimacy of the American state in the eyes of the citizenry. It is simply a fact that President Trump cannot command the sacrifices of blood and treasure tolerated by Americans in Iraq just 25 years ago. And George Bush could not have asked of Americans the sacrifices they were willing to make in Vietnam a generation earlier. President Trump has a lot of political capital but this reality is more fundamental than one man. The decline in legitimacy is connected to a steadily increasing loss of faith by Americans in the *goodness* of their government. They feel, rightly, that the institutions of power do not care for them, that the working of the state is not in their interest. This disconnect is not always aggressive. Many of these people are still patriots. They'll fly the flag and support Trump and talk about the Constitution. But they don't believe in the institutions any more. Not really. Propaganda that once worked on them no longer does. At best they'll tolerate it. But they don't really believe it, not in the same way. Take for example just the last 25 years: the disastrous wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, 2008 financial crisis, COVID lockdowns--the end result of all of these events has been a shattering of belief and a rise in outright hostility (but more frequently apathy) towards the state. The roots are deeper, too. It doesn't matter what happens in Iran. If Trump declares victory today and the Strait reopens tomorrow, the long term effect on the public will not be an increase in the appetite for Middle Eastern war or flag-waving jingoism. Ordinary Americans see these wars as something to be endured. They do not see them as existential conflicts or as worthy of meaningful sacrifice. To be honest, I think this decline is a good thing. The American state is not good for the American people and they know it. It extracts vast sums of money and blood only to work steadily against the interests of the people. I am not a reformer. I do not think this system can be made "based" or made to serve the good of the American people. It must be dismantled simply. This is the long term project towards which the American right and American conservatives should be oriented. The New Deal order, the dominant moral and political framework guiding the American state today, must be extirpated, root and branch.

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Xenocosmography
Xenocosmography@xenocosmography·
The ominous synchronization of machine intelligence explosion with global dysgenic tsunami still eludes explanation. Genre seems inescapably gothic, though.
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Falsifier 🙃
Falsifier 🙃@PrefFalsifier·
Or is this just a fake out before ground troops. Insane man theory
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Fractured Light
Fractured Light@FracturedLight0·
Tucker Carlson asks Prof Jiang Xueqin where Israel will be in a few years. “Israel has an ambition called the Greater Israel project. They believe their God Yahweh promised to their ancestor Abraham: all the land from the Nile in Egypt to the Euphrates.” “This war allows Israel to remake the Middle East in its own image.” “The main constraint to Israel achieving the Greater Israel project is not Iran, but America.”
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Elon Musk
Elon Musk@elonmusk·
Elon Musk tweet media
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Falsifier 🙃
Falsifier 🙃@PrefFalsifier·
@hauchk It’s hard to know what is in his head. On one hand he has talked about stopping Iran from getting nukes for decades (attacked Obama over it) On the other hand, he measures success by the stock market - this is the great hope
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Falsifier 🙃
Falsifier 🙃@PrefFalsifier·
I do think Trump will try to crash the market a bit more before TACO-ing Iranians still seem relatively restrained and deal-capable if Israel doesn’t get in the way
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Falsifier 🙃
Falsifier 🙃@PrefFalsifier·
@hauchk Not to mention Ukraine completely destroying nato in war games with FPV drones
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Falsifier 🙃
Falsifier 🙃@PrefFalsifier·
@hauchk Yea current meta in war is that drones are cheap and make it much easier to defend than previously. It’s like a 20k cruise missile. Eventually there may be countermeasures but for now very hard to subdue an enemy when these are around.
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Falsifier 🙃
Falsifier 🙃@PrefFalsifier·
I was hoping for Ukrainian defeat as a means of showing our establishment the limits of their military capabilities. A “Vietnam” without the blood and treasure. Proof the foreign policy establishment are retards Now I am sincerely hoping we don’t get that in Iran though we are on pace to a bit
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