固定されたツイート
Tim Dingman
5.2K posts
@shreyasnsharma @Muennighoff 100%. In fact it would be strange *not* to see pass@k improvements at these values of k, as Yue et. al. also show.
You'd also need to show a graph of entropy imo if you want to disprove elicitation hypothesis
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@Muennighoff 16 and 4 might be too low to know for sure, right? The Yue et. al. experiments show base pass@k exceed RL only around k=256 (arxiv.org/pdf/2504.13837)
This is cool nonetheless
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One gem from Composer paper is that RL improved both pass@k & pass@1. Suggests RL does not just reweigh existing capabilities but also teaches new ones? 💎
Cursor@cursor_ai
We're releasing a technical report describing how Composer 2 was trained.
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@kalomaze Although there is a difference between "can recall this accurately" and "is currently salient"
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Just saw my first LLM-generated typo in years. GPT-5.4 xhigh (in Codex) called some modules "high-lelevance"
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@peterwildeford Once Nvidia releases Nemotron 3 Ultra I think it'll be worth tracking them. They're getting serious about commoditizing their complement
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Based on the data I see, I think:
- Anthropic🇺🇸/Google🇺🇸/OpenAI🇺🇸 all ~tied
- Meta🇺🇸 / xAI🇺🇸 each ~7mo behind
- Moonshot🇨🇳/- Deepseek🇨🇳 / zAI 🇨🇳 / Alibaba🇨🇳each ~9mo behind
- Mistral🇫🇷 ~1.5 years behind
- No other companies competitive
Ethan Mollick@emollick
Both xAI and Meta seem to be falling behind, based on the Grok 4.2 benchmarks and this reporting. Frontier AI models are really a three way race at this point.
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@distributionat Fittingly, "the mother of all x" was popularized by... Saddam Hussein, to describe the impending Gulf War in 1991 en.wiktionary.org/wiki/mother_of…
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@weeklytreeman @kalomaze Maybe not a coincidence Opus 1M is available in CC
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@weeklytreeman @kalomaze Hit a certain conversation length periodically and then summarize. Maybe if the conversation is confusing or you have to make notes for third parties. But not in natural conversation, even over many hours
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the funniest thing about claude compaction is that the agent can be constantly invoking a specific ssh alias for the entire transcript, your compaction instruction can mention "include knowledge of which ssh", and it will still... not include the ssh alias in the compaction...
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@weeklytreeman @kalomaze Humans don't summarize like that. Claude has always been more human
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@kalomaze summarization is openai coded. i can't quite put words to it, but it felt intuitive that anthropic does not care about claude doing it well
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@distributionat Convergent evolution with biological viruses
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That's not the crazy part, the crazy part is when models get distilled small enough that cyber-agents can copy themselves to compromised systems. Survive and spread is a *feature* for cyber-weapons. They will be *designed* to go autonomous. Hope we solve alignment by then!
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This year, coding agents will be deployed as offensive cyber weapons. They will autonomously execute cyber campaigns. Quantity has a quality all its own: the volume of hacks will be unprecedented. But also, automation means far more highly targeted attacks. Stuxnet-as-a-service!
Thomas H. Ptacek@tqbf
Nicholas Carlini at [un]prompted. If you know Carlini, you know this is a startling claim.
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@distributionat If history has ended, why does Francis Fukuyama look so old now?
Checkmate, liberal democrats
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Cancelled my ChatGPT subscription and uninstalled the app. Always liked Claude better anyway, even when it sucked
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@peterwildeford They have sucked ever since they got PredictIt pseudo-banned
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Kalshi could be a force for good in the world but instead they have decided to lean into the most evil part of themselves
As a regular Kalshi user this makes me very angry
(pro tip: You are not going to make $280/week predicting weather)
Nigel Eccles@nigeleccles
It is clear to me that @kalshi is going down the same path as Juul, and if they don’t pull back it is going to have the same conclusion. For those that don’t remember, Juul was one of a number of the main vaping brands in the 2010s. It took a product that had a social good (helping smokers quit) but then aggressively pushed it into a new market, non smokers and particularly kids. (See the similarity?) The backlash took time to build but when it did it was devastating for the company. I’ve worked in the online gaming industry for over 25 years, all over the world. This type of marketing is actually extremely rare in real money gaming. Firstly and most importantly it is rare because operators view it as highly unethical. It might surprise you that a lot of people in the gaming industry do actually care about things like underage and problem gambling. Secondly it is also rare because it doesn’t work. Do you think the teenagers in these ads are going to keep playing when they lose all their rent money? The only other company I can think of that pushed this type of advertising was Skillz who aggressively pushed the “second income” line. Check out their share price if want to see how that worked out for them.
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Why have I never seen it noted that Ilya is Russian for Elijah, the biblical prophet?
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there are two types of MoE understanders: people who think that DeepSeek is building off of the GPT4/Mixtral/Grok tech tree (coarse, softmax router, noncommittal by design) and people who recognize it as a distinct tech tree
"oldMoE" v. "neoMoE"
elie@eliebakouch
saying deepseek built moe on top of mixtral is nonsense, the deepseek moe paper came out just 3 days after mixtral paper was posted on arxiv also the mixtral paper has literally no detail about the training so "we released like everything that was needed to rebuild this kind of architecture" is also false, the paper just says "we use google gshard arch with simpler routing and moe every layer" and no detail on data, hyperparameters, training tokens, ablations ect.. the architecture that deepseek moe uses is actually different from gshard and more sparse (deepseek moe doesn't even cite mixtral in the paper, but gshard) not saying mixtral didn't have an impact on moe, but what is said in this interview is a bit rewriting the narrative to say "but look china/deepseek is also copying mistral!"
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south korea (of all countries) is coming out swinging?!
elie@eliebakouch
If you are wondering what is happening: last summer, the Ministry of Science of Korea created a program with 5 companies to train sovereign AI models and release them under a permissive license, so other South Korean companies can use them and hence expand their domestic AI ecosystem to recap we got: - SK Telecom: A(.)X-K1 519B total, 33B active - LG: K-EXAONE 236B total, 23B active - NC-AI: VAETKI 112B total, 10B active - Upstage: Solar-Open 102B total, 12B active - Naver: HyperCLOVAX-SEED-Think 32B Dense this is REALLY a big deal
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