erbskii
493 posts


Who you got taking it all?
NBA on ESPN@ESPNNBA
The conference finals are set 🔒 One of these teams will lift up the Larry O'Brien trophy 🏆
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🔥 PROP OF THE DAY
D Fox O 15.5 points (-101)
We like De’Aaron Fox over 15.5 points tonight because the spot feels really solid for him. The numbers support it too, he’s hit this in 63% of comparable games, the matchup against Minnesota looks pretty neutral rather than tough, and the game environment should be average enough for him to get his usual workload. Fox is also expected to be in a stable starting role, and when you combine that with the fact that he’s averaging 15 field goal attempts per game this season, it feels like a spot where he can get to 16+ without needing anything crazy. Not a must-force play, but definitely one that looks playable at the current price.
📈 +43% EV | 72% win probability
📊 Season hit rate: 60%
🔥 Last 10 games: 90%
#Gambling𝕏 #SportsBetting #PlayerProps

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🔥 PROP OF THE DAY
Julius Randle O 5.5 rebounds (-167)
He’s been clearing this at a strong rate in comparable games, and the matchup with San Antonio doesn’t really scare us from a rebounding standpoint. Randle should have a steady starter workload, and with Minnesota expected to play a pretty normal pace, there’s enough opportunity here for him to pile up boards. The projection is also backed by his season-long rebounding chances, which makes this feel like a pretty clean value play rather than just a random lean. I’m definitely okay backing this one.
📈 +29% EV | 81% win probability
📊 Season hit rate: 69%
🔥 Last 10 games: 80%
#Gambling𝕏 #SportsBetting #PlayerProps

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X Contest
💸 3-PLAY GIVEAWAY
*Win $50 if the 3 plays hit today, simply RT 🔁, Like ♥️, and drop a Follow 🤝 before tip off!
👇 Plays
🏀 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander U 0.5 blocks (1.86)
🏀 Isiah Hartstein O 0.5 steals (1.45 )
🏀 Duncan Robinson O 3 assists (2.72)
Let’s ride 🤝
#Gambling𝕏 #NBA #giveaway #sportsbetting #playerprops



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@NoLimitGains Is it time to start buying bitcoin? When do we believe it will be?
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Two bettors:
Bettor A
Parlays 5 “safe” favorites.
Bettor B
Bets 2 +EV props
Who wins more and has the better long-term strategy?
#sportsbetting #Gambling𝕏 #Playerprops #NBAbets #MLBbets
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Two bettors:
Bettor A
Wins 65% of bets at 1.30 odds.
Bettor B
Wins 45% of bets at 2.20 odds.
Who makes more money?
#sportsbetting #NbaBets #PlayerProps #GamblingX
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💸 3-PLAY GIVEAWAY
*Win $50 if the 3 plays hit today, simply RT 🔁, Like ♥️, and drop a Follow 🤝 before tip off!
👇 Plays
🏀 Paolo Banchero O 5.5 assists (+108)
🏀 Donovan Mitchell O 4.5 rebounds(+122)
🏀 Jarret Allen O 2 blocks (+150)
Let’s ride 🤝
#Gambling𝕏 #NBA #giveaway #sportsbetting #playerprops
*(Choosing one winner per giveaway)
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💸 3-PLAY GIVEAWAY
*Win $50 if the 3 plays hit today, simply RT 🔁 this post and drop a follow 🤝 before tip off!
👇 Plays
🏀 Sengun U 1.5 blocks (-192)
🏀 Duren U 0.5 steals (+130)
🏀 Donovan Mitchell O 5 rebounds (+114)
Let’s ride 🤝
#Gambling𝕏 #NBA #giveaway #sportsbetting #playerprops
*(Choosing one winner per giveaway)
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💸 3-PLAY GIVEAWAY
*Win $50 if the 3 plays hit today, simply RT 🔁 this post and drop a follow 🤝 before tip off!
👇 Plays
🏀 Wendell Carter Jr U 8.5 rebounds (-139)
🏀 Cam Johnson U 0.5 blocks (-156)
🏀 Javonte Green O 5.5 points (-111)
Let’s ride 🤝
#Gambling𝕏 #NBA #giveaway #sportsbetting #playerprops
*(Choosing one winner per giveaway)
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HUGE opportunity in the NYK vs ATL game 🚨 🔨
Mikal Bridges 10+ pts is 1.8 on bet mgm
Average of major books is 1.6 and Betonline (typically sharp) is 1.4
Huge +EV edge. You’re welcome!
#knicks #hawks #nbaplayoffs


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A full cheat sheet for tonight’s NBA chaos 🧵👇
• ATL > CLE (Hawks need it, Cavs don’t)
• CHA > DET (Pistons locked → rest risk)
• WAS loss mode, MIA meh
• TOR + NYK both full go
• BOS locked, Pels resting everyone
• BKN + MIL = 🚨 tank vibes
• ORL > CHI (blowout risk)
• HOU trying, MIN coasting
• MEM vs UTA = tank-off 😂
• LAC vs POR = real game
• PHX cautious/rest, LAL B2B meh
• OKC resting, DEN might too
• DAL/SAS = minutes roulette
This time of year:
Minutes > projections
Motivation > matchups
Chaos > models
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11 NBA games means it’s the perfect day to win some NBA player props!
Check out the free LVLup Props research app to find and edge 👇🏼
#PlayerProps #nba #sportsbetting

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When it comes to prop research, the @LVLupProps app helps you find the highest value, quicker by giving you a starting point each night. Research smarter and try it for free 👇🏼
#PlayerProps #Gambling𝕏 #PlayerProp #sportsbetting #SportsGambling #NBABets
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