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Our new ASPI report 'The Party’s AI' is out now. It shows how China’s LLMs, vision models and “AI+” governance architecture are hard-coding censorship and control into the future of AI.
aspi.org.au/report/the-par…
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Fergus Ryan
59.9K posts
Fergus Ryan
@fryan
China analyst @ASPI_CTS 🦋 Find me: https://t.co/IY9NzQLRXD 📨 Anon tips/feedback: https://t.co/dVmp67cY6K 📱 Signal: fergus.99
参加日 Mayıs 2007
5.4K フォロー中27.2K フォロワー
The confidence with which people propose open-ended military pressure, as if escalation dynamics don’t exist, is mind-blowing.
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Trump: "We no longer 'need' or desire, the NATO Countries' assistance — WE NEVER DID! Likewise, Japan, Australia, or South Korea."
Glad that's settled then.
abc.net.au/news/2026-03-1…
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Victor Gao describes his 2024 debate with @mehdirhasan at London's Conway Hall as a "public lynching."
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Polymarket is courting Chinese users. But Beijing bans crypto, blocks the site, & treats unauthorised political speculation as a threat to social stability.
My latest on the collision and why the case for cracking down is more complicated than it looks.
redpacket.substack.com/p/prediction-m…
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Does anyone have a methodology for distinguishing genuine AI substitution from AI-washing in layoff announcements?
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Prediction market Polymarket is courting Chinese users.
That push could get sensitive fast if bets start pricing elite Chinese politics.
restofworld.org/2026/polymarke…
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Not naming names, but the “Taiwan will be invaded within 3 years” predictions have just hit my calendar.
Those who made them should reckon with that, if not publicly, then at least privately.
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Australia should probably just rip the bandaid and politely decline to join Trump’s Board of Peace.
Just get it over with.
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Can someone please make a Chrome extension that underlines anyone in the Epstein files while you’re reading the news, and lets you click through to a summary of their emails with him?
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Here's my take on this:
aspistrategist.org.au/too-casually-x…
中国人权-Human Rights in China@hrichina
Chinese search results on the X platform have been flooded with pornographic spam, making it impossible for citizens to access valid, real-time information. The images below depict the head of product at X, Nikita Bier, explaining that this "flood attack" is a blocking strategy that the Chinese government employs during sensitive periods of political turmoil. Bier further disclosed that the CCP controls 5 to 10 million X accounts and that this is a persistent problem that is difficult to eradicate.
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I'm quoted in a new piece on China’s use of foreign influencers, covering both paid CCP-linked activity & how the CCP amplifies unscripted content when it suits them.
Worth reading, even if you need to chuck it through a translator (it’s in Norwegian).
aftenposteninnsikt.no/asia/dr-mmen-o…
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When platforms allege state-level interference at a massive scale, “trust us” is not a transparency regime.
New piece for The Strategist on why that matters.
aspistrategist.org.au/too-casually-x…
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This might be the most China story I've seen all year.
Villagers paint a patriotic Tiananmen mural.
State media praises it.
Tourists arrive.
Officials panic.
….So they paint it over in blue.
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Al Jazeera reports Palestinian journalist Bisan Owda says TikTok permanently banned her account.
The article also notes TikTok's US CEO has described treating "Zionist" as hate speech in some contexts.
If that's shaping enforcement, it's troubling.
aljazeera.com/news/2026/1/29…
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What made Mark Carney’s speech land for me was not just his willingness to kill the sacred cow of the rules-based order, but his admission that it had always been partly a fiction anyway.
Anyone still mouthing its talking points now sounds not just naïve, but deeply unserious.
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Polymarket traders appear to think the US Supreme Court is unlikely to rule in favour of Trump’s use of tariffs.
polymarket.com/event/will-the…
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McDonald’s China put out an ad that borrowed so heavily from CCP propaganda aesthetics it accidentally became a razor-sharp parody, prompting the company to quietly delete it before anyone in the system decided it crossed a line. 🤡🥚🇨🇳
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