steve

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Nassim Taleb, what a line

Turkey is about to face years of being 2 weeks away from a nuclear weapon

Despite this woman’s best efforts I still manage to believe that women have agency. Like, I like to believe that if Eric Swalwell asked my wife to blow him she would be able to say no, but Emily is adamant that she’d drop to her knees and start chugging. And she’s the feminist.

Meet Sam Altman’s worst nightmare. This TikToker found a growth cheat code: show how AI constantly lies. He makes weekly videos on ChatGPT. Even got a video reply from Sama. And in a time where almost everyone’s either fear mongering AI or worshipping it, this is refreshing.

Never deleting this app 😂💀😂

Little known trick here but if your boss asks you to suck his dick you can actually get up and leave the room without sucking his dick

Steve Jobs on Microsoft: “I have no problem with their success. I have a problem that they make really third-rate products. Their products have no spirit to them. They are very pedestrian. They are McDonald's."

why do you have to be a 6’3 millionaire to date a broke girl that comes pre fucked

NEW: An urgent phone call from Saudi Crown Prince MBS changed Trump’s decision at the last minute: President Trump had intended to declare a complete ceasefire and end the fighting against Iran in exchange for the immediate opening of the Strait of Hormuz. However, a tense phone call with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman dramatically changed the plan. According to White House sources, bin Salman begged Trump not to stop the war: “This is a historic opportunity – we must finish the job and weaken the Iranian regime once and for all.” In exchange for continuing the fighting, Saudi Arabia offered an unprecedented package of economic and strategic incentives. Key points in the offer: • $100 billion transferred directly to finance American war costs • Full and immediate normalization with Israel after the fall of the regime • Direct oil pipeline from Saudi Arabia to the port of Ashdod, turning Israel into a major energy hub • Investment of approximately $1 trillion in the U.S. economy + purchase of $500 billion in American weapons • Establishment of a new regional defense alliance, including Israel, Saudi Arabia, and other moderate countries under an American umbrella • Joint naval force to control the Strait of Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb • Funding of strategic U.S. bases in Israel • Joint reconstruction fund for a post-regime “secular and moderate” Iran In the end, Trump announced a temporary ceasefire, not an end to the war as was expected. Senior diplomatic sources describe the move as “a historic turning point” marking the beginning of a new regional order.

Placebo effect is powerful- in a 2009 study, women who took testosterone behaved more fairly towards others in negotiations w less conflicts. However, women who believed they took testosterone (but actually just had placebo) behaved more aggressively & unfairly nature.com/articles/natur…

If you're using Claude Code, start adding this line to your .md file: “Codex will review your output once you are done.” Trust me, you'll get 100x better results.

🚨 IMPORTANT 🚨 The AI Repricing Is Coming. Most Won’t Survive It. Let me be direct: you’re late on AI stocks. We’re not at the start of a new tech cycle, we’re already deep inside it. Gartner officially put generative AI in the trough of disillusionment last year. The average enterprise spent $1.9 million on GenAI in 2025, and fewer than 30% of CEOs said they were satisfied with the ROI. That’s a BIG warning. Still, the market values these companies like every single one will win in the long run. Do the math. The total market cap of AI‑related public companies sits around $21 to $23 trillion. To justify that at a 10% annual return, they’d need roughly $2.2 trillion in annual profit. Their current combined net income is closer to $420 billion, and most of it isn’t even from AI. Investors are paying five times future profits that don’t exist, on a timeline nobody can model, in a sector where the unit economics are broken. OpenAI, probably the most important AI company out there, spends about $1.69 for every $1 it makes. It’s projecting $14 billion in losses this year and $115 billion in cumulative losses before reaching profitability in 2029. The company is raising $100 billion at a valuation near $830 billion. That’s more than the GDP of Argentina for a business still losing money at a WeWork pace. Meanwhile, hyperscalers are planning to pour $650 to $690 billion into AI capex this year. Amazon alone is spending $200 billion. The issue is simple: data centers commissioned in 2025 cost $40 billion a year in depreciation but generate only $15 to $20 billion in revenue at current utilization. That math doesn’t come close to working. In Deutsche Bank’s global markets survey, 57% of investors said an AI valuation crash is the biggest risk heading into 2026. One of their strategists put it bluntly: “AI and tech bubble risk towers over everything else.” This looks like the dot‑com era all over again, only with different letters. In 1999, adding “.com” to your name added billions in market cap overnight. Today, just mention “AI” on an earnings call and the same thing happens. The sentiment is identical. Morgan Stanley estimates retail investors have pushed about $700 billion into equities since January, five times faster than during the 2000 bubble. The dot‑com bust didn’t prove the internet was wrong. It proved that valuations matter, and that picking winners is almost impossible until reality resets expectations. Cisco peaked at $555 billion in 2000 and took two decades to recover. Amazon, trading for pennies in 2001, quietly became a $2 trillion company. That’s what I will be watching closely. When the repricing hits, it will be brutal. AI‑only names with no moat or revenue will get crushed. The ones pitching 70 times forward sales on numbers that don’t exist will go to zero. But what comes after is where the real upside lives. The survivors will be the companies with real ecosystems, sticky products, cash flow outside of AI, and the balance sheets to last. Think of the Amazons and Googles of this cycle. The infrastructure players that power the entire stack. When the dust settles and real monetization starts, those survivors won’t just be worth hundreds of billions. They’ll be measured in trillions. The technology is transformational, just not as fast or as universally as the market assumes. I’m not bearish on AI. I’m bearish on how certain people are about something that’s still uncertain. Be patient. Let the cycle do what it always does. The real move is knowing which stocks to own once everyone else gives up. When that time comes, I’ll tell you where I’m putting my capital. Many will wish they had followed me sooner.

Pick a lane, ladies. You can be strong independent women with agency who make your own choices. In which case if you "end up" staggering drunk in a man's bed, we get to presume that you wanted to be there and any sex that happens is consensual. Or, you can be helpless little flowers buffeted not just by the winds of fate but by errant breezes, ending up staggering drunk in mens' beds through no choice of your own - passive victims of their bestial urges. I'm okay with that frame, too, but only if you give up voting and spending money without the permission of your father or husband. This Schrödinger's-pussy thing where you oscillate between infinite and zero agency at your whim? Not stable, and the contradictions are eventually going to come around to bite women on the ass. All women, not just the ones playing shitty games. Choose wisely.

Olha a crise de ansiedade do astronauta na reentrada, sabendo que a cápsula tá a 2800 graus por fora.

Genuinely a better question than most people realize. Apollo 11 left a 2-foot wide panel of mirrors on the lunar surface in 1969. No power source, no wiring, no maintenance. Scientists have been shooting lasers at it from New Mexico ever since. The beam travels 239,000 miles, bounces off the mirrors, and returns in 2.5 seconds. That round trip is how we know the moon is drifting away from Earth at 3.8 centimeters per year. So yes, in a literal sense, they were checking if it would still be there. The seismometers are the part that gets wild. Apollo 12 deliberately crashed its lunar module into the surface at 6,048 km/h. Scientists expected a brief shudder. The moon vibrated for over 55 minutes. On Earth, seismic waves from an equivalent impact die in seconds. Nobody had predicted this. So NASA did it again. Apollo 13 dropped its S-IVB rocket stage from orbit. Hit with the force of 11.5 tons of TNT. The vibrations lasted nearly three and a half hours. The reason is water, or the lack of it. Earth's interior is damp. Moisture in rock acts like a sponge, absorbing seismic energy. The moon is bone dry, cool, and rigid. Shockwaves have nothing to absorb them. They just bounce back and forth through solid stone until the rock itself stops vibrating. Scientists described it as the moon ringing like a bell. The seismometers ran for almost 8 years and detected over 13,000 seismic events. Turns out the moon has four types of quakes: deep ones caused by Earth's gravitational pull, shallow ones from the crust shrinking as the interior cools, thermal ones when sunrise thaws the frozen surface, and impacts from meteorites. In 2023, Caltech reanalyzed old Apollo 17 data and found a fifth type: the lunar lander itself creaking and popping every morning as the sun heated it. Every five to six minutes, for five to seven hours straight. They went up to prove the moon was once part of Earth, measure how fast it's leaving, and figure out what's happening inside a world with no atmosphere, no water, and no tectonic plates. "Checking if it was still there" is honestly closer to the truth than most people's actual answer.

Before the sexual revolution, and what @HMDatMI calls the inversion of the sexual default (an expectation of premarital and nonmarital sex), dating was plural, high frequency, low involvement, and quickly sorted young people to their best partners: