hir
2.7K posts

hir
@mohammadbabaal2
فعال در حوزه کریپتو و تحلیل بر اساس الیوت فعال در حوزه انرژی و صادرات محصولات نفتی (پالایشگاهی& پتروشیمی) به سراسر دنیا دریایی عاشق رستورانداری
参加日 Haziran 2021
409 フォロー中85 フォロワー

@saif_aldareei The bad luck of us Iranians is that we are neighbors with Arabs. Those who only care about money and nothing else.. Arabs have only one god and that is money.. They calculate everything based on income.. If the Arabs had any sense, they wouldn't be auctioning oil at this price.
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How on earth did they pull this off?
Iran lost its Supreme Leader, thousands of generals and clerics, most of its navy, its nuclear program, and hundreds of billions of dollars… with millions of its people living in poverty.
Yet somehow, they still managed to convince their followers — and even some Arab traitors — that they ‘won.’
Mind-blowing levels of brainwashing.
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Completely agree with President Trump’s analysis that Iran’s capability to generate another October 7 or continue to be the largest state sponsor of terrorism on the planet has been massively degraded.
To those who say Iran is stronger now than before, that is an insult to the American military and it is delusional thinking because the Iranian economy is in shambles.
Mr. President, continue to try to find a diplomatic solution to Iran’s nuclear ambitions and other issues that have plagued the world since 1979. The day diplomacy is off the table will present America and our allies with some very stark choices. In the meantime, as we pursue diplomacy, make it crystal clear that Israel will not have to tolerate being attacked by Iranian proxies who cause parts of Israel to be uninhabitable.
Pray for peace.
Rapid Response 47@RapidResponse47
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@thehill Are you wrong? Vance removed Trump and his family from politics forever.. He even destroyed Trump's family business.. Is Trump a dead man without the Jews?? He can't fight the New York Jewish lobby because Zion controls the entire American economy.. Damn them
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Vance ‘not at all’ concerned Trump will make him the fall guy on Iran
thehill.com/homenews/59302…
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@RpsAgainstTrump No one can match Trump in terms of stupidity and dirty deeds. Also, America has never had a vice president with such an illiterate ass.
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@MykhailoRohoza This poor girl is just a plaything for stupid people.
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🚨Elon Musk Just Declared All-Out War on George Soros — Vows to Crush the Globalist Puppet Master:
“He spends half his fortune rigging elections and bankrolling professional protesters & rioters. It’s about time someone showed this guy how powerless he really is.”
We know the truth — Soros and his machine have been tearing America apart for years. Finally, a fighter with real power is stepping up.
Do you want Elon to expose and dismantle the Soros network?
A. YES
B. NO
Repost if you’re with Trump and Elon on this! 🇺🇸

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@aj_inapi @ReynoldsCinco It's clear that you know nothing about Iran and are writing completely ignorantly.
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@ReynoldsCinco I haven't come across any reliable data. It looks like he has much support from the diaspora but in Iran, I don't think he does have a widespread support. I may be wrong but given his father's track record and him being in the West most of his life, that may be a hindrance
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ARM THE IRANIAN PEOPLE
Many are screaming, "Arm the Iranian people!"
But has anyone stopped to think through what happens if that goes wrong?
Too many people talk about regime change as if it's a Hollywood movie. The bad guys fall, the people rise up, freedom wins, and everyone lives happily ever after.
Reality is much uglier.
The Iranian regime has spent 47 years building a system specifically designed to survive internal uprisings.
Since the 1979 Iranian Revolution, the government has constructed a layered security apparatus consisting of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), estimated at roughly 190,000 personnel, supported by the Basij militia, which can mobilize hundreds of thousands more loyalists when required.
This is the same regime that survived major protest waves in:
2009 (Green Movement)
2019 (fuel price protests)
2022 ("Woman, Life, Freedom")
2025-2026 unrest
Across these waves, thousands of protesters have reportedly been killed, tens of thousands arrested, and countless others intimidated into silence.
Even after years of sanctions, economic pressure, protests, and military strikes, the regime's core internal security structure remains largely intact.
Now let's ask the million dollar question:
Who exactly are we arming?
Because the regime's opposition isn't a single unified movement.
There are monarchists supporting former Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi.
There are republicans.
There are secular democrats.
There are ethnic nationalist groups.
There are leftists.
There are regional factions.
Polls conducted by opposition-linked organizations have suggested that as many as 70% of Iranians oppose the current Islamic Republic, but opposing the regime is not the same thing as agreeing on what comes next.
Should Iran become:
A constitutional monarchy?
A secular republic?
A federal system?
Something else entirely?
There is no unified answer.
And that matters.
Because once weapons start flowing into a fragmented environment, history becomes a warning.
Libya - 2011
Muammar Gaddafi was overthrown after NATO-backed intervention.
The result?
Years of militia warfare, competing governments, ISIS expansion, human trafficking networks, and a country that still struggles with instability 15 years later.
Syria - 2011-Present
Foreign powers armed competing factions.
The result?
More than a decade of war, approximately 500,000 deaths, millions displaced, and entire cities destroyed.
Iraq - 2003 Onward
Regime change succeeded militarily.
The aftermath produced years of insurgency, sectarian violence, and instability that cost hundreds of thousands of lives.
Afghanistan - 2001-2021
Twenty years of intervention, nation-building, and military support ultimately ended with the Taliban returning to power.
History repeatedly shows that weapons can remove governments.
They do not automatically create stable replacements.
Iran is also not a homogeneous society.
The country includes:
Persians (~60%)
Azeris (~15-20%)
Kurds (~10%)
Baluchis
Arabs
Other minority groups
Many of the strongest anti-regime protests have occurred in minority regions along Iran's borders.
If central authority collapsed, the risks wouldn't simply be "freedom versus dictatorship."
The risks could include:
Ethnic conflict
Regional separatism
Proxy intervention by neighboring states
Refugee crises
Economic collapse
Competition over strategic infrastructure
Loose nuclear materials and facilities
The people shouting "arm the people" rarely discuss the day after.
Who governs 90 million people?
Who secures the borders?
Who protects nuclear facilities?
Who prevents revenge killings?
Who keeps the oil industry operating?
Who stabilizes the currency?
Who restores order?
Those are the questions that determine whether a revolution succeeds or collapses into chaos.
None of this is a defense of the Iranian regime.
The Iranian people have endured decades of repression, corruption, economic hardship, and political restrictions.
But wanting change and achieving stable change are two very different things.
Even Iran as a country itself has its own history of change in government structures.
History teaches a brutal lesson:
Revolutions are not won by guns alone.
They require leadership.
Organization.
Security force defections.
A credible replacement government.
And a realistic plan for Day One, Day Thirty, and Year One after the regime falls.
Without those ingredients, "arm the people" risks turning legitimate frustration into another Middle Eastern civil war.
The future of Iran belongs to the Iranian people.
But before anyone demands that outsiders start flooding Iran with weapons in 2026, they should answer one simple question:
If 90 million people are plunged into another Syria, Libya, or Iraq, who owns the consequences?
I know President Trump wouldn't want that to be is legacy.
Let's stop living in a fantasy world and come back to reality.

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Many ask why Iranians didn't pour into the streets when Trump called on them. Simple. They're a smart nation with long memories and deep scars. They probably thought, "We've seen this movie before. There might be a speech at the beginning and an exit halfway through." Just as many believe he left Israel halfway and then suggested everyone simply live next door to Hezbollah terrorists.
It's also quite a contrast that Trump and JD Vance insist on strict security checks for one illegal immigrant because of the risk that person might pose, yet ask the Middle East to trust and coexist with a regime that has spent decades repressing its people, fueling regional violence, killing Americans, and causing the deaths of countless Iranians and Arabs, all while accepting its deal with fewer checks than most airport security lines.
Deals may come and go. Trust is harder to rebuild. If you return one day, send someone else, because promises only matter when people believe you'll stay until the end.
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@GuntherEagleman If you knew that this terrorist group of Rajavi and Jafarzadeh has no value for the Iranian people, they are all bastards.. First you would have conducted a poll to understand how hated they are, like the lying Trump.. Damn the terrorist Rajavi.
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🚨 IRANIAN RESISTANCE LEADER PRAISES TRUMP’S DEAL WITH TEHRAN, “The Real War is Between Iran’s Regime and Its People!”
Even opponents of the Iranian regime are recognizing the strength of President Trump’s historic deal.
Alireza Jafarzadeh, Iranian resistance leader and former national security aide, is calling it out: The real fight is against the oppressive regime in Tehran.

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@GuntherEagleman You are really stupid and you are fooling yourselves. Jafarzadeh is a terrorist and a traitor to the Iranian people. They helped Saddam and killed thousands of their own Iranian compatriots. Then you call this bastard the leader of the Iranian resistance. The Mujahideen are terro
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Trump was told by ONLY ONE country at the G7 that this was the WORST DEAL EVER and not to sign the TRAP.
Watching JD Vance's interviews in the Middle East felt like accidentally tuning into Iranian state TV. People kept checking the screen to make sure it still said "Vice President of the United States" and not "Spokesman for Tehran."
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