Otto Kässi

229 posts

Otto Kässi

Otto Kässi

@ottokassi

Lover. Also an economist. @EtlaNews.

Helsinki, Finland 参加日 Ağustos 2014
1.4K フォロー中623 フォロワー
Otto Kässi
Otto Kässi@ottokassi·
Snow's gone, but the scooter is still in the same place @BirdRide.
Otto Kässi@ottokassi

Hey @BirdRide there are at least a dozen of your scooters abandoned around Helsinki. Despite reports, you have not collected them. The scooter in the photo was reported to you 1 month ago via your website, and today it is in the same place. Please clean up after yourself thnx!

English
0
0
0
27
Otto Kässi
Otto Kässi@ottokassi·
Hey @BirdRide there are at least a dozen of your scooters abandoned around Helsinki. Despite reports, you have not collected them. The scooter in the photo was reported to you 1 month ago via your website, and today it is in the same place. Please clean up after yourself thnx!
Otto Kässi tweet media
English
0
0
4
114
Otto Kässi
Otto Kässi@ottokassi·
@heimbergecon Finland has a very broad conscription-based army. If you included the opportunity cost of conscripts' time spent in the army, you could add an additional 0.4-0.5pp. of GDP to the Finnish number even under very conservative assumptions. Even that would not quite make us Poland.
English
1
0
3
100
Philipp Heimberger
Philipp Heimberger@heimbergecon·
In 2024, military spending by European NATO members was strongly correlated with their distance from Moscow, yet Poland and Estonia spend far more on defence than their proximity alone would suggest.
Philipp Heimberger tweet media
English
4
22
48
6.9K
Otto Kässi
Otto Kässi@ottokassi·
@CallMarcus Yeah, I think this is accurate. You would not want to let the (even the current reasoning) llms loose on anything that with non-trivial stakes. Ofc, our evidence is based on ChatGPT launch, and the models have advanced in strides since then.
English
1
0
1
42
Marcus Westermark
Marcus Westermark@CallMarcus·
@ottokassi At least so far you need some subject matter expertise to frame your LLM input effectively. AI will create jobs for sure, but will they distribute even across industries and companies. There will be some that looses what they currently have.
English
1
0
0
44
Otto Kässi
Otto Kässi@ottokassi·
Domer❤️‍🔥@Domahhhh

Biggest current user on Polymarket is "Fredi9999" -- who is himself a curiosity. He is by far the largest holder of Trump shares, checking in at 7.2 million shares and counting. The user has a total of $6.4 million in positions, all of them on Trump. He also has a lot of cash ready to deploy, and brings in new cash on a regular basis. Couple of curiosities here. One is that this username doesn't exist on the internet. Seems designed to give the impression its some rando whale flinging cash around. Many such cases. But a lot of whales just make huge bets and move on. This person moves the price slightly and then uses limit orders to try to get as many shares as possible. Second is an outsized interest in betting on Pennsylvania, where he owns 2.3 million shares of Trump. Couple of possibilities here with this user: (1) it's a consortium of folks or (2) it's someone who is likely worth in excess of $100m given the cavalier bet sizing and endless bankroll. The current speculation among users is that the account may be affiliated with @elonmusk, and while I am not sure how seriously to take that idea -- it definitely seems stupid at first -- there's a couple more curiosities. The recent tweets around Trump and Pennsylvania about Polymarket (from his personal stenographer "Doge Designer") seem to be timed with large purchases by Fredi. Musk rallied with Trump in Pennsylvania, and has connections to Pennsylvania from his college days. The join date of the account was June 22nd, a few weeks before Elon officially endorsed Trump. BUT June 22nd roughly lines up to when I was told privately by someone in Republican circles that Elon was getting ready to endorse and donate a ton of money to get Trump elected. Two more things to mention: -I don't think this person(s) is trying to manipulate anything. The account seems designed to acquire a very large number of shares. It's a true believer. As a result of trying to buy that much, the user is going to end up moving the price. But i am not sure moving the price is the point. (I also don't think the price will have a single impact on the election) -If it's not Musk, it is definitely someone very similar to Musk. And someone very similar to Musk is probably a fan of Musk (so could explain the aforementioned bet timings). The user is a fervent and wealthy supporter, crypto & tech savvy, who wants to back up his belief that Trump will win with a lot of money.

0
1
3
2K
Osmo Soininvaara
Osmo Soininvaara@OsmoSoininvaara·
En tiedä mitä Yhdysvalloissa on tapahtunut, mutta Trump on ohittanut vedonlyöjien suosiossa Harrisin.
Suomi
186
15
236
76.4K
Otto Kässi がリツイート
Antti Ripatti
Antti Ripatti@anttiripatti·
@AJTanskanen Tein tuottolaskelman Klubiaskin kanteen. Harvalla interviolla on näin huikea tuotto.
Antti Ripatti tweet media
Suomi
5
20
104
3.8K
Otto Kässi がリツイート
EtlaNews
EtlaNews@EtlaNews·
Etla hakee tutkijaa/senioritutkijaa, hakuaikaa jäljellä vielä kuun loppuun👍 Lue lisää: etla.fi/ajankohtaista/…
Suomi
0
3
0
2.4K
Otto Kässi がリツイート
CLS
CLS@ChengleiSi·
Automating AI research is exciting! But can LLMs actually produce novel, expert-level research ideas? After a year-long study, we obtained the first statistically significant conclusion: LLM-generated ideas are more novel than ideas written by expert human researchers.
CLS tweet media
English
94
752
3.6K
1.1M
Otto Kässi がリツイート
Otto Kässi がリツイート
Petteri Günther
Petteri Günther@petterigunther·
"The data indicates that ChatGPT’s introduction has not uniformly decreased labor demand but rather redistributed it, leading to growth in some sectors and declines in others." - Hävittääkö tekoäly työtä? ChatGPT:n vaikutukset työvoiman kysyntään etla.fi/julkaisut/muis…
Petteri Günther@petterigunther

"Economists call this 'skills-biased technological change.'" - #Software is eating the software industry—and other entry-level white collar jobs may be next. (How generative #AI is changing the way developers work lnkd.in/dTHK_Vwy) lnkd.in/dfurJDPV

Suomi
0
1
0
167
Otto Kässi がリツイート
EtlaNews
EtlaNews@EtlaNews·
#Etla julkisti torstaina 6. kesäkuuta tuoreita tuloksia tekoälysovellus #ChatGPT:n vaikutuksista työn kysyntään verkon alustatyömarkkinoilla. Mukana tilaisuudessa Fabian Braesemann sekä @ottokassi 💡 Webinaarin tallenteen pääset katsomaan alta👇 etla.fi/ajankohtaista/…
Suomi
0
2
7
800
Otto Kässi がリツイート
EtlaNews
EtlaNews@EtlaNews·
#Etla Muistio: Hävittääkö tekoäly työtä? #ChatGPT:n vaikutukset työvoiman kysyntään. @ottokassi Muistiossa tarkastellaan tekstiä tuottavan tekoälyn (GenAI) työmarkkinavaikutuksia. Lue lisää👇etla.fi/julkaisut/muis…
Suomi
0
3
4
399