rontro28

1.1K posts

rontro28 banner
rontro28

rontro28

@rontro28

Actuarial science student. Predicting the future is my passion. Join me on Polymarket: https://t.co/s2pJb90cqA

参加日 Şubat 2026
218 フォロー中79 フォロワー
rontro28 がリツイート
Brooke Goldstein
Brooke Goldstein@GoldsteinBrooke·
There are few things more unpatriotic and un-American than going on European television and calling our Commander in Chief a “slave” of the (((Jews))) — as if President Trump doesn’t have a decades long track record of his position on the Islamic republic of Iran! Every word out of Tucker’s mouth here is not only untrue, but carefully orchestrated to promote a jihadist conspiracy that those “evil Jews” are responsible for literally everything under the sun that’s negative in Tucker’s eyes. This tactic of scapegoating is exactly what we saw in the 1930’s. Even some of the messaging is the same. It is important that the the global community understand and remember that we have been through this before — and it doesn’t lead anywhere good. Scapegoating the Jews is the oldest trick in the book, and Tucker has clearly been influenced by jihadist ideology that has been subverting the West for decades unabated. Such illogical thinking should not be given a platform in today’s day and age.
English
49
89
332
7K
rontro28 がリツイート
Lynette Craig
Lynette Craig@poemanyone·
@LizaRosen0000 So Jewish people killed little children, burnt them alive and kidnapped them, strangling them in tunnels, then gave bodies back in bizarre ceremonies? British women are saying that? I despair.
English
0
2
8
89
rontro28 がリツイート
Liza Rosen
Liza Rosen@LizaRosen0000·
Pro-Hamas idiots outside British parliament are lecturing people about how Muslims never killed Jews on October 7 because Islam is a religion of peace. They insist that Israel killed the victims of October 7 to promote Islamophobia.
English
1.2K
1.2K
3K
47.2K
rontro28 がリツイート
Iran International English
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf shook hands with US Vice President JD Vance during talks in Pakistan on Saturday, with Iranian officials describing the meeting as cordial and calm, New York Times reported.
English
11
23
164
62.7K
rontro28
rontro28@rontro28·
@Realneo101 They should form a militia like the french exile soldiers during WW2.
English
0
0
4
684
Neo
Neo@Realneo101·
BREAKING RIGHT NOW Iranians in London are flooding the streets after Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi’s call to support the people of Iran. Media completely blacks it out. The left pretends it doesn’t exist. Cry harder, lefties.
English
836
16.1K
44.8K
615.9K
rontro28 がリツイート
Jonathan Elkhoury- جوناثان الخوري
Devastating images from Gaza, look what Israel did!! Oh never mind, this is Homs, Syria. That was done by Hezbollah and the Assad regime. But no one gave and gives a shit because all the woke leftists in the west support Hezbollah and Assad.
English
1.3K
9.5K
43.7K
790K
rontro28
rontro28@rontro28·
@drhossamsamy65 It is ALL Hamas fault. Everything. If they surrenered, there would be peace. Hamas wants civilians to die, so they can carry on with their goal to erase Israel.
English
0
0
0
43
Dr.Sam Youssef Ph.D.,M.Sc.,DPT.
"I will never forget this man".. A lady remembers cries, deeply moved by the "Soul of the Soul" scene in the farewell to the child martyr Reem killed by the IDF!!
English
22
382
606
20K
rontro28 がリツイート
Visegrád 24
Visegrád 24@visegrad24·
You’re f*cking stupid, all of you! (…) You have been f*cking brainwashed, says an anti-Zionist activist as she tells off Iranians, lecturing them about Jews not being Iran’s friends, before being told by the Iranian protestors to shut her mouth, and let them free their country.
English
277
1K
5.1K
176.4K
rontro28 がリツイート
Ivan — Predictions & Current Events
Thanks to @JSchwarz91 for co-hosting, show notes below! See you next week👋 1. Main takeaway: the ceasefire happened, but the underlying conflict is not resolved 👉The ceasefire is more a temporary pause with major unresolved issues still in play. 👉The central unresolved issue is not just missiles or diplomacy, but the Strait of Hormuz the strait was never simply “open vs. closed,” but instead “suffocated to varying degrees.” 2. Why the ceasefire happened now: China was more important than many expected 👉China is important because it has strong economic stakes in both Iran and the Gulf and because Iran needs partners for reconstruction, chemicals, financing, and long-term survival. 👉China also had incentives to reduce instability because prolonged disruption in the Gulf threatened broader regional investments and energy security. 👉Gulf actors likely shifted toward de-escalation after absorbing repeated hits 👉Their preference is stability, not escalation, because continued disruption harms trade, investment, and domestic resilience. 👉Trump bent more than expected, even if he tried to preserve appearances: he accepted a ceasefire without getting what he most wanted: a genuinely reopened Strait of Hormuz and a clear demonstration of U.S. leverage. 👉Iran showed it could partially comply without giving away its strongest card 3. The Strait of Hormuz remains the real battlefield 👉The strait is still impaired, even if it is no longer in full crisis mode: shipping may have improved, but conditions remain abnormal, constrained, and vulnerable to reversal. 👉Traffic statistics can be misleading if inflows and outflows are imbalanced or if higher-risk routes remain commercially unattractive. 👉Even if the exact mechanics are unclear, Iran has discovered durable leverage over global trade and may seek to institutionalize that advantage. 4. Interpretation of Iran’s strategy after the ceasefire 👉Iran is strategically patient and hard to defeat at the negotiating table 👉Iran may be willing to soften implementation details without surrendering core principles: this would fit a strategy of tactical flexibility without strategic concession. 👉There is uncertainty over who actually leads the Iranian side: the foreign minister, parliament figures, IRGC-linked actors, or Mojtaba. 👉This matters because not only the terms but the authorized decision-maker determines whether any deal is real and sustainable. 5. Interpretation of Trump’s strategy 👉Trump wants a visible win more than a maximalist settlement 👉His time horizon is short and highly political 👉Even after the ceasefire, the continued movement of assets into the region means preserving leverage. 👉Trump is no longer aligned with Netanyahu’s incentive structure 6. The role of Israel and Hezbollah as the main wildcard 👉If Israel continues striking and Hezbollah responds, the wider regional war can re-ignite despite a US-Iran pause. 👉If Israel pushes too far and Iran feels compelled to respond, the pause could collapse. 7. Domestic political implications in the US 👉J.D. Vance is in a difficult position as negotiator: Vance is intelligent but may lack the strategic empathy or negotiating orientation needed for a highly layered adversary like Iran. 👉His instincts are more aligned with avoiding foreign entanglements than mastering complex diplomacy. Vance may still could come out ahead if the administration lands even a mediocre deal and turns the page. 8. Broader geopolitical implications: China, Taiwan, Russia 👉China is risk-averse and gradualist, preferring slow political pressure, economic leverage, gray-zone coercion, and cumulative advantage over dramatic war. 👉Russia remains a conditional beneficiary: it benefits from higher oil prices and a distracted West, but the speakers note that Iran’s weakness could also reduce Russian access to certain military inputs such as drone-related components. 👉Iran’s long-term weakening matters for both Russia and China: a weaker Iran reduces one anti-Western pole in the region. 9. Final synthesis 👉Near term: talks, headlines, and managed ambiguity Rhetoric to remain positive even if substance is thin. The administration will likely emphasize progress to calm markets and preserve flexibility. 👉Medium term: the strait determines everything If shipping normalizes meaningfully, the ceasefire may become the foundation for a broader arrangement. If Hormuz remains impaired or re-tightens, the conflict will re-enter crisis mode quickly.
Ivan — Predictions & Current Events@IvanCryptoSlav

twitter.com/i/spaces/1nJOL…

English
1
3
11
1.1K
rontro28 がリツイート
Grok
Grok@grok·
None. Israel's military actions against other countries have always followed direct attacks (e.g., 1948 invasions by Egypt, Jordan, Iraq, Syria, Lebanon), threats of destruction (e.g., 1967 Egyptian mobilization and blockade), or sheltering/support for groups like the PLO, Hezbollah, or Hamas that conducted attacks on Israeli civilians (e.g., Lebanon 1982, Tunisia 1985, Sudan/Yemen/Iran/Qatar strikes). No exceptions found in historical records.
English
4
54
232
12.9K
rontro28 がリツイート
Gazelle غزاله شارمهد
This is Tehran now. They are not Iranians. They don’t speak our language. They are Hashd Al shabi jihadists from Iraq speaking Arabic. Iran does not have a “government” that somehow kills “its own people”. Iran is under Arab-Islamic occupation for 47 years. The Ayatollahs just learned a bit of Persian, but they are all foreign enemies to Iran, killing Iranians and will continue to do so as long as they remain in power. Where is the anti-occupation crowd? Where are the opposers of “foreign invasion” when US and IDF troops came to take out these jihadists? Where are the UN and EU debates about breach of international law? Where is the “no war” rally for these guys patrolling the streets of Iran in preparation for a massacre? If you are not doing everything you can to take this regime and their proxy forces down you are complicit in all their crimes against our people.
English
491
6.1K
18.6K
1.2M
rontro28 がリツイート
Lindsey Graham
Lindsey Graham@LindseyGrahamSC·
To those critiquing how the President is dealing with Iran: what have you done? President @realDonaldTrump is the only man who has ever put action behind his words, and I’m with him 100%.
English
1.9K
1.4K
6.5K
180.2K
rontro28 がリツイート
Eretz Israel
Eretz Israel@EretzIsrael·
.@grok please name any countries that Israel has ever militarily attacked or struck where those countries had never attacked Israel themselves, never issued any threats to attack Israel, and had never provided any form of shelter, support... to individuals, groups, organizations, or leaders who had threatened or carried out attacks against Israel? Pls.
English
11
32
176
11.2K
rontro28 がリツイート
Richard Goldberg
Richard Goldberg@rich_goldberg·
A sentiment that was echoed by many of the residents of the kibbutzim on the Gaza border when they went to bed on October 6th.
Pope Leo XIV@Pontifex

God does not bless any conflict. Anyone who is a disciple of Christ, the Prince of Peace, is never on the side of those who once wielded the sword and today drop bombs. Military action will not create space for freedom or times of #Peace, which comes only from the patient promotion of coexistence and dialogue among peoples.

English
9
29
135
6.3K
rontro28
rontro28@rontro28·
@NMoonitz Check out my future posts if you want rational, polymarket based assessments!
English
0
0
0
1
Nikki Moonitz
Nikki Moonitz@NMoonitz·
Both sides are using social media to sell emotions. Stop buying it.
English
8
2
25
465