Thata Saeter

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Thata Saeter

Thata Saeter

@thatasaeter

Uma jornalista que se apaixonou pelo Mercado Financeiro e pela defesa das Liberdades Individuais. Expresso minhas opiniões pessoais aqui!

Brazil 参加日 Ocak 2021
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Thata Saeter
Thata Saeter@thatasaeter·
O incentivo a crescer muito o AUM no curto prazo é tão perigoso quanto o incentivo dos rebate para consultorias e assessorias. As boas práticas devem ser a prioridade, assim como uma estratégia de longo prazo.
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Thata Saeter
Thata Saeter@thatasaeter·
Iki.... por essas e outras eu sou aquela que passa o cafe na xícara. rsrsrs
Aakash Gupta@aakashgupta

Your coffee maker's water reservoir carries roughly 1,000 times the bacterial load of a toilet seat. NSF International measured it: 548,270 colony-forming units per 10 square centimeters in coffee reservoirs versus 515 on a toilet seat. The reason this filter turned blue is biofilm, a structured colony of bacteria and mold that secretes its own protective matrix. Biofilm anchors to surfaces within 24 to 48 hours of contact with standing water, and once established, it self-reinforces. The matrix shields interior cells from heat, chemicals, and flow disruption. Rinsing does almost nothing. Here's why "the hot water kills it" doesn't work. Sterilization requires sustained contact at 212°F for several minutes. Espresso machines heat water to around 200°F, and it passes through in seconds. That's enough to brew coffee. Nowhere close to enough to kill a biofilm colony that's been growing for years. The mold you can see on this filter is the part that ran out of room. The biofilm lining the internal tubing, the reservoir walls, the pump housing, that's invisible and in direct contact with every shot pulled. Coffee oils and mineral deposits create a rough, nutrient-rich surface that accelerates colonization. The machine's enclosed, warm, perpetually damp interior is a better growth environment than a petri dish. 50% of home coffee makers tested by NSF had active yeast or mold colonies in the reservoir. Commercial machines in cafes get used more, cleaned less thoroughly than you'd expect, and run continuously, meaning the tubing never fully dries. "It's probably fine" is what everyone says about the machine they never opened.

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Mr Family Office
Mr Family Office@MrFamilyOffice·
My take on Bill Ackman's post... His family office TABLE had a clear goal: Be a hands-off hub for admin and coordination → to let Bill focus on core business and family TABLE operated for ~15 years, but recent years saw problems Scope creep High staff turnover Institutional costs (for a largely passive portfolio) Weak and infrequent oversight Ackman's post... Emotional? Yes Oversharing? Possibly But he should 100% reject spurious claims against him Nefarious legal opportunism is a tax on family offices He can pay (obviously) He is choosing not to Kudos. But he should also take responsibility and fix his governance board oversight cost discipline align team with goals trust but verify While the "Ronda" situation could have been avoided, it sounds like he's right to fight Meanwhile, Ronda may have torpedoed her prospects in the family office world forever
Bill Ackman@BillAckman

I am reaching out to the @X community for advice with the likely risk of sharing TMI. I have been sufficiently upset about the whole matter that I have lost sleep thinking about it and I am hoping that this post will enable me to get this matter off my chest. By way of background, I started a family office called TABLE about 15 years ago and hired a friend who had previously managed a family office, and years earlier, had been my personal accountant. She is someone that I trusted implicitly and consider to be a good person. The office started small, but over the last decade, the number of personnel and the cost of the office grew massively. The growth was entirely on the operational side as the investment team has remained tiny. While my investment portfolio grew substantially, the investments I had made were almost entirely passive and TABLE simply needed to account for them and meet capital calls as they came in. While TABLE purchased additional software and other systems that were supposed to improve productivity, the team kept increasing in size at a rapid rate, and the expenses continued to grow even faster. While I would periodically question the growing expenses and high staff turnover, I stayed uninvolved with the office other than a once-a-year meeting when I briefly reviewed the operations and the financials and determined bonus compensation for the President and the CFO. I spent no time with any of the other employees or the operations. The whole idea behind TABLE was that it would handle everything other than my day job so that I would have more time for my job and my family. Over the last six years, expenses ballooned even further, employee turnover accelerated, and I became concerned that all was not well at TABLE. It was time for me to take a look at what was going on. Nearly four years ago, I recruited my nephew who had recently graduated from Harvard and put him to work at Bremont, a British watchmaker, one of my only active personal investments to figure out the issues at the company and ultimately assist in executing a turnaround. He did a superb job. When he returned from the UK late last year after a few years at Bremont, I asked him to help me figure out what was going on with TABLE. When I explained to TABLE’s president what he would be doing, she became incredibly defensive, which naturally made me more concerned. My nephew went to work by first meeting with each employee to understand their roles at the company and to learn from them what ideas they had on how things could be improved. He got an earful. Our first step in helping to turn around TABLE was a reduction in force including the president and about a third of the team, retaining excellent talent that had been desperate for new leadership. Now here is where I need your advice. All but one of the employees who were terminated acted professionally and were gracious on the way out (excluding the president who had a notice period in her contract, is currently still being paid, and with whom I have not yet had a discussion). The highest compensated terminated employee other than the president, an in-house lawyer (let’s call her Ronda), told us that three months of severance was not enough and demanded two years’ severance despite having worked at the company for only two and one half years. When I learned of Ronda's request for severance, I offered to speak with her to understand what she was thinking, but she refused to do so. A few days ago, we received a threatening letter from a Silicon Valley law firm. In the letter, Ronda’s counsel suggests that her termination is part of longstanding issues of ‘harassment and gender discrimination’ – an interesting claim in light of the fact that Ronda was in charge of workplace compliance – and that her termination was due to: “unlawful, retaliatory, and harmful conduct directed towards her. Both [Ronda] and I [Ronda’s lawyer] have spoken with you about [Ronda’s] view of what a reasonable resolution would include given the circumstances. Thus far, TABLE has refused to provide any substantive response. This letter provides the last opportunity to reach a satisfactory agreement. If we cannot do so, [Ronda] will seek all appropriate relief in a court of competent jurisdiction.” The letter goes on to explain the basis for the “unsafe work environment” claim at TABLE: “In early 2026, Pershing Square’s founder Bill Ackman installed his nephew in an unidentified role at TABLE, Ackman’s family office. [His nephew]—whose only work experience had been for TABLE where he was seconded abroad for the last four years to a UK watch company held by Ackman—began appearing at TABLE’s offices and conducting interviews of employees without a clear explanation of his role or the purposes of these interviews. During this period, he made a series of inappropriate and genderbased [sic] comments to multiple employees that created an unsafe work environment. Among other things, [his nephew] made remarks about female employees’ ages (“Tell me you are nowhere near 40”), physical appearance (“Your body does not look like you have kids”), as well as intrusive questions about family planning and sexual orientation (“Who carried your son? Who will carry your next child?”). These incidents were reported to senior leadership at TABLE and Pershing Square. Rather than being addressed appropriately, the response from senior management reflected, at best, willful blindness to the inappropriateness of [his nephew]’s remarks and, at worst, tacit endorsement.” The above allegations about my nephew had previously been brought to my attention by TABLE’s president when they occurred. When I learned of them, I told the president that I would speak to him directly and encouraged her to arrange for him to get workplace sensitivity training. The president assured me that she would do so. When I spoke to my nephew, he explained what he actually had said and how his actual remarks had been received, not at all as alleged in the legal letter from Ronda’s counsel. I have also spoken to others at the lunch table who confirmed his description of the facts. In any case, he meant no harm, was simply trying to build rapport with other employees, and no one, as far as I understand, was offended. Ironically, Ronda claims in her legal letter that TABLE didn’t take HR compliance seriously, yet Ronda was in charge of HR compliance at TABLE and the person who gave my nephew his workplace sensitivity training after the alleged incidents. In any case, Ronda, as head of compliance, should have kept a record or raised an alarm if indeed there was pervasive harassment or other such problems at the company, and there is no evidence whatsoever that this is true. So why does Ronda believe she can get me to pay her nearly $2 million, i.e., two years of severance, nearly one year of severance for each of her years at the company? Well, here is where some more background would be helpful. Over the last two months, I have been consumed with a major family medical issue – one of my older daughters had a massive brain hemorrhage on February 5th and has since been making progress on her recovery – and I am in the midst of a major transaction for my company which I am executing from a hospital room office next to her . While the latter business matter is publicly known, the details of my daughter’s situation are only known to Ronda because of her role at our family office. Now, let’s get back to the subject at hand. Unfortunately, while New York and many other states have employment-at-will, there has emerged an industry of lawyers who make a living from bringing fake gender, race, LGBTQ and other discrimination employment claims in order to extract larger severance payments for terminated employees, and it needs to stop. The fake claim system succeeds because it costs little to have a lawyer send a threatening letter and nearly all of the lawyers in this field work on contingency so there is no or minimal cash cost to bring a claim. And inevitably, nearly 100% of these claims are settled because the public relations and legal costs of defending them exceed the dollar cost of the settlement. The claims are nearly always settled with a confidentiality agreement where the employee who asserts the fake claims remains anonymous and as a result, there is no reputational cost to bringing false claims. The consequences of this sleazy system (let’s call it ‘the System’) are the increased costs of doing business which is a tax on the economy and society. There are other more serious problems due to the System. Unfortunately, the existence of an industry of plaintiff firms and terminated employees willing to make these claims makes it riskier for companies to hire employees from a protected class, i.e., LGBTQ, seniors, women, people of color etc. because it is that much more reputationally damaging and expensive to be accused of racism, sexism, and/or intolerance for sexual diversity than for firing a white male as juries generally have less sympathy for white males. The System therefore increases the risk of discrimination rather than reducing it, and the people bringing these fake claims are thereby causing enormous harm to the other members of these protected classes. So what happened here? Ronda was vastly overpaid and overqualified for the job that she did at TABLE. She was paid $1.05 million plus benefits last year for her work which was largely comprised of filling out subscription agreements and overseeing an outside law firm on closing passive investments in funds and in private and venture stage companies, some compliance work, and managing the office move from one office to another. She had a very good gig as she was highly paid, only had to go into the office three days a week, and could work from anywhere during the summer. Once my nephew showed up and started to investigate what was going on, she likely concluded that there was a reasonable possibility she would be terminated, as her job was in the too-easy-and-to-good-to-be-true category. The problem was that she was not in a protected class due to her race, age or sexual identity so she had to construct the basis for a claim. While she is female and could in theory bring a gender-based discrimination claim, she reported to the president who is female and to whom she is very close, which makes it difficult for her to bring a harassment claim against her former boss. When my nephew complimented a TABLE employee at lunch about how young she looked – in response to saying she was going to her 40-year-old sister’s birthday party, he said ‘she must be your older sister’ – Ronda immediately reported it to our external HR lawyer. She thereby began building her case. The other problem for Ronda bringing a claim is that she was terminated alongside 30% of other TABLE employees as part of a restructuring so it is very difficult for her to say that she was targeted in her termination or was retaliated against. TABLE is now hiring an external fractional general counsel as that is all the company needs to process the relatively limited amount of legal work we do internally. In short, Ronda was eminently qualified and capable and did her job. She was just too much horsepower for what is largely an administrative legal role so she had to come up with something else to bring a claim. Now Ronda knew I was a good target and it was a good time to bring a claim against me. She also knew that I was under a lot of pressure because on March 4th when Ronda was terminated, my daughter had not yet emerged from consciousness, she was not yet breathing on her own, and my daughter and we were fighting for her life. I was and remain deeply engaged in her recovery while at the same time I was working on finishing the closing for the private placement round for my upcoming IPO. Ronda also knew that publicity about supposed gender discrimination and a “hostile and unsafe work environment” are not things that a CEO of a company about to go public wants to have released into the media. And she may have thought that the nearly $2 million she was asking for would be considered small in the context of the reputational damage a lawsuit could cause, regardless of the fact that two years of severance was an absurd amount for an employee who had only worked at TABLE for 30 months. She also likely considered that I wouldn’t want to embarrass my nephew by dragging him into the klieg lights when her claims emerged publicly. So, in summary, game theory would say that I would certainly settle this case, for why would I risk negative publicity at a time when I was preparing our company to go public and also risk embarrassing my nephew. Notably, she hired a Silicon Valley law firm, rather than a typical NY employment firm. This struck me as interesting as her husband works for one of the most prominent Silicon Valley venture firms whose CEO, I am sure, has no tolerance for these kinds of fake claims that sadly many venture-backed companies also have to deal with. I mention this as I suspect her husband likely has been working with her on the strategy for squeezing me as, in addition to being a computer scientist, he is a game theorist. My only advice for him is to understand more about your opponent before you launch your first move. All of the above said, gender, race, LGBTQ and other such discrimination is a real thing. Many people have been harmed and deserve compensation for this discrimination, and these companies and individuals should be punished for engaging in such behavior. Which brings me to the advice I am seeking from the X community. I am not planning to follow the typical path and settle this ‘claim.’ Rather, I am going to fight this nonsense to the end of the earth in the hope that it inspires other CEOs to do the same so we shut down this despicable behavior that is a large tax on society, employment, and the economy and contributes to workplace discrimination rather than reducing it. Do you agree or disagree that this is the right approach?

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Richard Rytenband
Richard Rytenband@RRytenband·
A Dívida Bruta do Governo Geral (Federal, Estados e Municípios) atingiu 94% do PIB em fevereiro, na metodologia internacional! Já a Dívida Líquida do Setor Público renovou novamente a máxima histórica, agora em 65,52% do PIB. E tem quem diga que a gestão fiscal nos últimos anos foi muito boa, imagina se fosse ruim então.
Richard Rytenband tweet media
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Thata Saeter
Thata Saeter@thatasaeter·
“Tudo que acontece te favorece, se você não se aborrece e a D’us logo agradece.”
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Thata Saeter
Thata Saeter@thatasaeter·
Concordo!
Brett Caughran@FundamentEdge

AI won't kill fundamental investing because more information doesn't kill alpha. We have decades of priors here (Excel, Bloomberg, alt data...all democratized analysis & information gathering, and didn't kill alpha). As measured by factor volatility, stocks are less efficient and more alpha-rich than ever (and empirically, the ability of multi-eight figure market neutral multi-managers to consistently grind out 10-15% returns in an idio-maximized way proves this point...15 years ago a $10bn hedge fund was considered to be impossibly large). Innovations in investment process have shifted alpha pools, for sure, and systematic investors have arbitraged many old, reliable fundamental alpha pools. But as the players at the poker table have shifted, the constraints of those new players have created new alpha pools. Long duration fundamental investing has been gutted, and definitionally competing against a group of non-fundamental (quants, factor/thematic investors, indexers) and duration-constrained (multi's) investors should be a huge competitive advantage, long term (however frustrating in the near term). To wit, a 9-month thesis where I "look through" the next two prints is now considered a long-term thesis. Rigorous investment process serves investment judgment, but the real alpha generation fits a power-law distribution and there is some ineffable "nose for money" that the great investors have, that cannot be trained necessarily. Investing is a very hard game, that cannot be distilled to a reinforcement learning sandbox (by the time it is, the regime will have shifted and new drivers move stocks). AI has no sense of materiality, no true discernment, and the lack of context of N of 1 situations (if you haven't noticed, we are living in an N of 1 world!). There is a irreducible element of humanness that is critical to success in fundamental investing, and that won't change. What does this all mean? In my opinion, there is no better time to be starting a careers as an investor. My first year on the desk, I spent a lot of time doing grunt work: updating Nielsen files, updating models for my PM, creating same store sales master files, building question lists for CEO meetings, etc. This is grunt work. I can automate this all now, and get more quickly to the deep, value added parts of learning the investment process. Will AI drive alpha? This is a debate people are having, which I find sort of silly. When used correctly, by the right investor, of course it will. Ask any great investor if they had another 4 hours of research time per day whether the quality of their research would improve? That's kind of a dumb question...of course it will. Compressing the mechanical part of your job to focus more on the artisanal part of the job is Step 1, and with agentic systems accelerating fast is now in the strike zone of possibility. This is before we start to layer in a broader monitoring net and use cases to go deeper and build more rigor, finding signals in unstructured data that were missed before, as well as turning your investment genius into a co-pilot pattern recognition system. The future is very bright for fundamental investing, in my opinion.

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Yossi Farro
Yossi Farro@FarroYossi·
Billionaire WeWork founder Adam Neumann shares with Rick Rubin how Shabbat transformed his life. It started with a rabbi who refused payment, instead pushing him to reconnect with his roots. 25 hours unplugged. Fully present with family and purpose. He calls it life-changing—and urges Rick to try it.
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Wesley Damasceno
Wesley Damasceno@WDamasceno7·
@RRytenband Pronto achou 1. Te sigo uns 15 anos e qro trabalhar c Vc! Qual próx passo?
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Richard Rytenband
Richard Rytenband@RRytenband·
Quando comecei a atuar profissionalmente no mercado, em 1998, a atmosfera entre os jovens era de querer aprender o máximo possível, com muito pé no chão e busca por bons mentores. A maioria só queria ter a oportunidade de aprender e trabalharia de graça, se preciso, para estar perto dos melhores. Hoje, vejo uma espécie de deslumbramento com a indústria, onde o que importa mais é o status, independentemente de se adquirir um bom repertório de mercado. É uma mentalidade de curto prazo, em detrimento da construção de uma carreira sólida, passo a passo. Não à toa, está difícil encontrar talentos, e as empresas disputam os profissionais medianos por meio de “mimos”, o que distorce ainda mais os bons incentivos.
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Rodrigo 🐂🐮🥩🐔🐷
Rodrigo 🐂🐮🥩🐔🐷@RodrigoADCosta·
@RRytenband Hoje, grande parte da indústria só quer o jovem recém formado que reclama quando trabalha mais de 6h/dia. Vou fazer 46, fui forjado no Pactual, trabalho mais de 12h/dia se preciso for (incluindo sab, dom e feriado) e não acho oportunidade.
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Thata Saeter
Thata Saeter@thatasaeter·
@RRytenband Baita oportunidade para quem quer se preparar de verdade e estar entre os melhores no futuro.
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Richard Rytenband
Richard Rytenband@RRytenband·
Desde o início do atual grande ciclo de alta em que o ouro saiu da faixa de US$ 1 mil para mais de US$ 5 mil , o metal já passou por diversas correções de 10% a quase 20%. O drawdown atual é de aproximadamente 15%. Para quem desconhece os vetores (drivers) que impulsionam essa alta e só comenta ou recomenda o ativo quando ele ganha destaque na mídia, qualquer drawdown se torna motivo de preocupação e dúvida. Essa é a diferença fundamental entre quem verdadeiramente captura um grande ciclo e aqueles que apenas tentam surfar a narrativa de curto prazo.
Richard Rytenband tweet media
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Mr NQDC
Mr NQDC@MrNQDC·
⅓ of family offices admit the next generation isn’t ready And they’re taking action Here’s a move every parent can borrow from ultra wealthy families: → be the “founder” of your family’s money story The values, habits & beliefs that get passed down Talking dollars at the dinner table isn’t rude It’s a life skill Teach your kids about money - early & often
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Thata Saeter
Thata Saeter@thatasaeter·
Quando assisti o filme Joker eu tive um sentimento ruim, fiquei incomodada com a mensagem que o filme transmitiu. Uma certa glamourização da psicopatia e da loucura. O cinema e as narrativas de mídia estão criando muitos monstros.
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Thata Saeter@thatasaeter·
@DarrigoMelanie Wow… it’s a SHAME you wanna keep all those population undocumented. Work for helping all those people.
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Melanie D'Arrigo
Melanie D'Arrigo@DarrigoMelanie·
146M Americans do not have a passport. 40M eligible voters do not have access to their birth certificate. 69M women do not have a birth certificate that matches their married name. The SAVE Act denies the right to vote for millions of Americans by requiring specific forms of ID that millions of U.S. citizens do not have, and requiring them to effectively pay a poll tax, which is illegal, in order to get those documents to vote. The SAVE Act is voter suppression. Republicans know that Trump has made them deeply unpopular, so they know they need to cheat to win.
Tim Burchett@timburchett

I can’t understand the problem with producing a valid ID to vote. The Democrats have been producing a death certificate to vote for years.

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Thata Saeter
Thata Saeter@thatasaeter·
@SenSanders They became billionaires because they created wealth with innovation and creativity. They did not just owned those platforms, they worked for it.
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Sen. Bernie Sanders
Sen. Bernie Sanders@SenSanders·
When we talk about authoritarianism, it’s not just Donald Trump. Musk owns X Bezos owns Twitch Zuckerberg owns Instagram and Facebook Larry Ellison controls TikTok Billionaires increasingly control what we see, hear and read.
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