Zenolytics

11.8K posts

Zenolytics

Zenolytics

@AMeshkati

Uncovering secular trends before they’re consensus. Macro insight with timing precision. Advisor to hedge funds, investment advisors & retail investors.

가입일 Ocak 2011
24 팔로잉4.5K 팔로워
고정된 트윗
Zenolytics
Zenolytics@AMeshkati·
A good reminder. When I said this in May of last year, the SPX was 1000 points lower. A year from now it will be 1500 points higher and investors will still be wondering how the markets are climbing when everything is so scary. x.com/i/status/19285…
Zenolytics@AMeshkati

Few understand that the chaos the Trump admin brings to the table creates the perfect combination of offsetting dynamics for vertical upside at this stage of the cycle. Can count on one hand how many investors understand the power of this dynamic. Nobody gets what is coming.

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meatball
meatball@leximeier·
@AMeshkati been refreshing my inbox the last several minutes, lol....looking forward to it!
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Zenolytics
Zenolytics@AMeshkati·
This weekend's Turning Points is extensive. Running a bit behind schedule, it will be out shortly after the futures open.
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Zenolytics
Zenolytics@AMeshkati·
If you think the current secular bull run will mature without including crypto, then you don't understand the following: - The nature of market participants - The current mentality of investors - The path secular bull markets take - Why crypto exists - What crypto represents - How liquidity seeks out the highest beta expression of a theme - The generational shift in where and how capital chooses to express risk - How excess capital ultimately flows into the most speculative, controversial corners of the market And that is just the start.
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Zenolytics
Zenolytics@AMeshkati·
Zenolytics rule – the degree of effort/energy expended by the market in manipulation/deception is in direct proportion to the potential of the counter move taking place.
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Zenolytics
Zenolytics@AMeshkati·
Our largest alt crypto holding is one of the only alternative crypto names trading above its 200-day moving average, while being up nearly 50% in April. This is not a coincidence, especially given the controversial, misunderstood, and misaligned nature of the opportunity at hand. We have an indefinite holding period for this one as the upside is embarrassingly large. Will be further reviewing the name in detail in today's Turning Points.
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Zenolytics
Zenolytics@AMeshkati·
According to Zenolytics Inflection Point accumulation scores, these are the names with the highest level of accumulation in the Nasdaq. Big money leaves fingerprints. This is how we uncover what the tape is hiding in plain sight. Inflection Points will be releasing soon.
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Zenolytics
Zenolytics@AMeshkati·
@valueguy3 Let it air out a bit. Ultimately, yes. The NOW curveball was necessary. Not sure many other names will have the same reaction as today. Shock value is diminished after NOW.
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valueguy
valueguy@valueguy3·
@AMeshkati Bloodbath in software today. Is this a buying opportunity? To your point, the market only rallied when Semis and software were both rallying.
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Zenolytics
Zenolytics@AMeshkati·
There is a near 0% chance that earnings are going to be the savior of the software sector following recent performance. There will be exceptions, of course. But as NOW is demonstrating currently, this will be the rule rather than the exception. Excerpt from Sunday's note.
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Zenolytics
Zenolytics@AMeshkati·
He's completely vetted, for sure. However, the journey to super dove won't be linear, and I think whatever he does will be seen as insufficient by the market for a time. He also has to substantiate the importance he puts on complete Fed independence by being deliberate in his actions.
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Epicurean Emperor
Epicurean Emperor@JonestownJim1·
@AMeshkati And you don’t think Bessent hasn’t completely vetted him to play on their team?
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Mike Desepoli
Mike Desepoli@MikeDesep·
@AMeshkati Don’t want to assume, but think you’re leaning scenario 1?
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Zenolytics
Zenolytics@AMeshkati·
Have been saying for years, back to the pandemic days, that volatility will grow exponentially as the secular bull progresses. This upside move, however, is something else entirely. Yes, the market is behind schedule. Again, something I have been saying for the past couple of years. You can view the unprecedented nature of this rally 1 of 2 ways: 1. The market is demonstrating how far behind we are in the most vivid, violent manner possible, meaning we are on the express train to SPX 8000. OR 2. This is a gigantic ruse meant to suck in everyone before the next leg down. If true, it doesn't mean a top is imminent, but this is the process of creating something diabolical to inflict max pain. There is no in between. It's either max up or max down from here. The extreme nature of this market won't allow for anything but total conviction when these types of moves occur. The alternative is that you are sidelined.
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Zenolytics
Zenolytics@AMeshkati·
Psychology is aligned. Focus on buying powerful price structure, supported by bubbling volume. This market’s been scattered, which is exactly why opportunity will keep showing up. Our software add from Monday +32% this week. More swings to be had. x.com/i/status/20449…
Ryan Detrick, CMT@RyanDetrick

Make that 9 weeks in a row of more bears than bulls on AAII. In fact, bulls tanked to their lowest level in a month. This happened in the face of one of the greatest rallies we've seen in our lifetime.

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Zenolytics
Zenolytics@AMeshkati·
If this is a lockout rally, the upside for those underexposed is simple: the market is still dislocated enough to keep offering opportunities all the way higher, as structure tightens and volume comes back. Nearly every name in our portfolio is up double digits this week at 75% invested. A lot of room to take advantage as price structure develops. No need to rush.
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Zenolytics
Zenolytics@AMeshkati·
@MKT_SP500 Minimum has us running into 2030. Likely still early, however. 2033-2035 definitely possible.
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Jass
Jass@MKT_SP500·
@AMeshkati How late (stage) at this point, Ali?
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Zenolytics
Zenolytics@AMeshkati·
Immeasurable chaos during latter stages of a secular bull leads to dramatic results as seen recently. Lack of volume with both the decline & subsequent rally creates further dislocation in price creating lasting potential for unprecedented moves. x.com/i/status/19285…
Zenolytics@AMeshkati

Few understand that the chaos the Trump admin brings to the table creates the perfect combination of offsetting dynamics for vertical upside at this stage of the cycle. Can count on one hand how many investors understand the power of this dynamic. Nobody gets what is coming.

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Zenolytics
Zenolytics@AMeshkati·
IGV vs SOX today. Followed by an excerpt from this past Sunday's Turning Points describing the nature of what was to come. The thaw in sentiment has arrived with force. Selective ignition.
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Zenolytics 리트윗함
zerohedge
zerohedge@zerohedge·
*ISHARES SOFTWARE ETF CLOSES UP 5.4% IN BIGGEST JUMP IN A YEAR
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Zenolytics
Zenolytics@AMeshkati·
An excerpt from this Sunday's Turning Points. Made a significant addition to our long exposure at the open this morning.
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