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BobbyDigital302 ๐ฉธ
7.7K posts

BobbyDigital302 ๐ฉธ
@BobbyDigital302
Military Vet ๐บ๐ธ / Girl Dad โค๏ธ/ Web 3 Investor, NFT Collector ๐จ / Degeneration โ
Mothership 589 ๊ฐ์
์ผ Kasฤฑm 2011
1.6K ํ๋ก์1.9K ํ๋ก์

๐จ LEAKED FOOTAGE FROM OโHARE AIRPORT BAG ROOM โ THIS IS WHAT THEY DO TO YOUR LUGGAGE WHEN YOUโRE NOT LOOKING
Suitcases getting LAUNCHED full force like garbage.
No hesitation. No care. Just straight impact.
This is the same bag you trust with everything you packedโฆ getting thrown like this.
And airlines still charge you extra for it.
This isnโt a mistake.
Itโs routine.
So when your bag shows up cracked open, items missing, or completely destroyedโฆ was it ever โlostโโฆ or just handled like this the entire time?
How many times has YOUR bag been treated like this?
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BobbyDigital302 ๐ฉธ ๋ฆฌํธ์ํจ

๐จ BREAKING: U.S. Forces are now dropping TWO THOUSAND POUND GPS and Laser-Guided Precision GRAVITY BOMBS on Iran ๐ฃ๐จ
The Iranian AIRSPACE is now OURSโ so get READY for a โSHOCK and AWEโ campaign that will CRIPPLE the Mullahs ๐๐ฃ
Over 20 IRANIAN Naval Ships have SUNKโฆ and weโre SMOKING them with TORPEDOES ๐ฅ
The Iranian Regime is either DEAD, MISSING, or HIDING ๐จ
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BobbyDigital302 ๐ฉธ ๋ฆฌํธ์ํจ

@atlasx100 Well your public math is fucked up. Prob why people arenโt doing it
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BobbyDigital302 ๐ฉธ ๋ฆฌํธ์ํจ
BobbyDigital302 ๐ฉธ ๋ฆฌํธ์ํจ

BobbyDigital302 ๐ฉธ ๋ฆฌํธ์ํจ

Current Implications Impacting the DXY
As of December 10, 2025, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is trading around 99.13, holding above key support at 99.00 amid cautious trading ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting later today. The index has experienced a frail weekly recovery after earlier weakness, but it remains caught in a consolidation range influenced by a mix of monetary policy expectations, economic softening, and broader structural pressures. Below are some of the primary current implications driving its movements:
1. **FOMC Rate Decision and Dot Plot Outlook**
The market is pricing in an 89% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut to 3.50-3.75% at today's meeting, but the focus is on the Fed's updated dot plot and forward guidance. A hawkish cutโsignaling fewer cuts in 2026โcould prop up the dollar by preserving yield differentials against peers like the euro and yen. Conversely, dovish signals acknowledging persistent economic weakness (e.g., soft labor data) might accelerate downside pressure, potentially pushing DXY toward 97.50-96.00. Uncertainty around a potential dovish Fed chair nominee, such as Kevin Hassett, adds to the bearish tilt.
2. **Softening US Economic Data and Growth Expectations**
Recent indicators, including a modest July jobs report (+73k added) and downward revisions to 2025 GDP growth forecasts (from 2.3% to around 1.4%), have heightened rate-cut bets and eroded the dollar's safe-haven appeal. Manufacturing contraction and weakening sector momentum signal a slowing economy, reducing the US's relative growth edge over other regions and contributing to the DXY's 10.7% drop in the first half of 2025โthe worst H1 performance in over 50 years. Inflation remains sticky at 2.8% (October Core PCE), but labor market softness is dominating, limiting USD upside.
3. **Fiscal Deficits, Policy Uncertainty, and Fed Independence Concerns**
Mounting US fiscal deficits and rising interest expenses are straining internal balance, while political polarization and risks of interference in Fed decisions (e.g., via trade policies or appointments) are eroding central bank credibility. These factors, combined with the end of quantitative tightening (QT) on December 1, have led to liquidity strains in reserves, prompting speculation of balance sheet expansions or liquidity facilities. Such moves would be viewed as dovish, weighing on the dollar despite strong November data.
4. **Shifting Global Capital Flows and Valuation Pressures**
Investors are reallocating away from US assets, with foreign flows into US equities dropping sharply (e.g., non-US ETFs saw only $5.7B inflows Jan-Jul 2025 vs. $10.2B in 2024). European assets are attracting record inflows ($42B YTD), reflecting a post-US exceptionalism rebalancing. The DXY remains overvalued (~20% above 2006 levels on a trade-weighted basis), suggesting a multi-year headwind even as short-term cyclical forces like rate differentials provide some support.
5. **Technical and Momentum Weakness**
The DXY has broken below its 50-day (99.14) and 200-day (99.52) moving averages, with RSI at 41.65 indicating bearish momentum. It's stabilizing in a 98.80-99.30 range but risks a breakdown if Fed rhetoric turns accommodative, targeting lower supports at 97.00 or 96.00. Seasonally, December has been weak for the dollar, amplifying these pressures.
Overall, the DXY faces a tug-of-war between near-term policy stabilization and longer-term structural erosion, with today's FOMC outcome likely to dictate the immediate path. A hawkish surprise could spark a rebound toward 100, while dovish tones might extend the downtrend into year-end.
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@Nstr_tj Gm FOMC it is. Hoping for something bullish
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