CombustionZone
1.3K posts

CombustionZone
@Combustion_Zone
Fueled by ☕️ | Build & Trade Automated Strategies | NOT Trading/Financial Advice
가입일 Haziran 2021
874 팔로잉391 팔로워
CombustionZone 리트윗함

Michael Burry is critiquing the Fed's new "Reserve Management Purchases" (RMPs), where it'll buy ~$40B in Treasury bills monthly starting Dec 12 to stabilize bank reserves and prevent funding crunches. He argues this reveals U.S. banking fragility—reserves have ballooned from $45B in 2007 to over $3T now, post-crises. Burry sees it as ongoing Fed support masking weakness, advising Treasury money funds for cash safety. It's not full QE but echoes it, potentially aiding stocks. Confirmed via Fed statements.
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So the Fed is now buying Treasuries again. $40 billion of bills a month...@FTAlphaville covers it well. And with a sense of humor - Sure John LOL. And we have a "new" acronym to learn RMPs - Reserve Management Purchases. The last line of the article is notable.
“However, given the stubbornness of the recent repo market volatility, Alphaville would be surprised if the Fed doesn’t unveil a dose of “temporary open market operations” before then — just to make sure Christmas isn’t ruined by an end of year funding crunch shitshow.”
I would add that if the US Banking system can’t function without $3+ trillion in reserves/life support from the Fed, that is not a sign of strength but a sign of fragility.
It was $2.2 trillion pre-2023 banking crisis. The temporary BTFP support became load-bearing. In 2007 it was $45 Billion with a B. That reserve level might grow with the economy, but the economy sure isn’t doing that well.
So I’d say US Banks are getting weaker way too fast.
Seems that after every crisis now the Fed needs to expand its balance sheet permanently or guarantee a bank funding crisis. No wonder stocks are doing well.
On CNBC you’ll hear recommendations to buy bank stocks because they are so overcapitalized and the economy is improving, but I don’t. In general, for amounts over the $250K FDIC limit, I keep cash in Treasury Money Market Funds.
The practical limit of this might be full nationalization of the US bond market - the Fed owns all $40 trillion US debt. So party on, I guess.
Bonus if you caught this too - the US Treasury has been tilting its sales toward short-term Bills to avoid driving 10 year rates up. So the Fed's focus on buying Bills is awfully convenient.
The Fed and the US Treasury sittin' in a tree
K I S S...
RIP QT; long live ‘reserve management purchases’ giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/ac… via @FinancialTimes


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CombustionZone 리트윗함

$FUBO #FUBO Price is at the apex of the bull pennant at the volume shelf going into earnings next week...
This should be juicy.
My $9 upside target remains active.

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@realTheNewNum2 🤷♂️ if you’re starting to DCA now, definitely a good R/R exists.
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@Web_Devepoler Could be! Still holding, and entered on supports, but they all keeping failing…. lol
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@Combustion_Zone IMO Next four years gonna be Chinese market show! 20X for $BIDU
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$TSLA hanging on by a thread.
Needs to get above $415 area overnight or the open could be rough
Jake Wujastyk@Jake__Wujastyk
$TSLA #TSLA Can't say I am a big fan of this volume gap below. This could be a potential "bottom falling out" scenario through this area of low liquidity IF we go much lower.
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🤨
Department of Government Efficiency@DOGE
How the U.S. Government Spent your Tax Dollars in 2024: -$7 million on various projects studying magic -$1,513,299 to use kittens in a study to analyze motion sickness. -$419,470 to determine if lonely rats sought cocaine at a greater frequency than happy rats -$123,000 teaching children in Kyrgyzstan how to go viral on social media -The State Department spent $4,840,082 on "influencers" Source: hsgac.senate.gov/wp-content/upl…
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