Deuce2Sports

NCAA Tournament King: Based on PASE, Tom Izzo Reigns Supreme deuce2sports.us/2024/03/ncaa-t…

Heading into the Final Four, it can’t be overstated how great the last two seasons have been; 6 of the Top 10 KenPom teams ALL-TIME are from ‘25 & ‘26. #3 @umichbball & #4 @ArizonaMBB will be 2nd pair of teams to square off (the 2025 championship saw #8 Houston vs #10 Florida).

@Bauertology @amatorsarcasmi @PonyHype Here’s a Q: Should they be different? I feel like if Miami was selected into the field ahead of SMU et al., then the seeding should show that. We’re letting predictives go too far in what the bracket looks like. Again, just 2 cents from another “bracketologist.”

@amatorsarcasmi @PonyHype Selection and seeding are two different things. SMU was the final at-large team chosen for the field, but was seeded ahead of Miami, with efficiency metrics likely playing a big factor.

Worth noting from committee chair Keith Gill—Miami (OH) was the last team in on the seed list, but they were not the last team selected! They were chosen ahead of each of NC State, Texas, and SMU (Mustangs were the final team chosen), but were scrubbed down based on metrics/individual quality of wins. So last at-large team on the seed list doesn't necessarily mean last team chosen!

🚨 68/68 🚨 52 correct seeds, the other 16 within 1. Solid year for @bracketproject!

FINAL 2026 BRACKETOLOGY deuce2sports.us/2026/03/2026-f…

Bracketology - March 15 AM (Penultimate) deuce2sports.us/2026/03/bracke…

Bracketology - March 14 deuce2sports.us/2026/03/bracke…

Bracketology - March 11 Michigan a 🔒 for No. 1 overall? Indiana *still* the Last Team In. Should Santa Clara be 😬? deuce2sports.us/2026/03/bracke…

Bracketology - March 9 Florida a new No. 1. 31-0 Miami = 🔒 deuce2sports.us/2026/03/bracke…

Bracketology - March 7 Michigan still No. 1 overall… Miami (Ohio) a 🔒… Indiana 😬 deuce2sports.us/2026/03/bracke…

Bracketology - March 2, 2026 | Duke Closing in on No. 1 Overall Seed deuce2sports.us/2026/03/bracke…

Initial 2026 Bracketology! deuce2sports.us/2026/02/initia…

@JustinPerri8 That got you hooked! Ha. GL, man.

I do know, but ever since I got my start in this industry by going 14-0 in the second round of 2022, I have made a play on every side in the tournament. It is a tradition.

@JustinPerri8 You know you don’t have to bet every game, right? 😂

Baylor +1.5 -110 [1.5u] Alabama -21.5 -110 [1u] Iowa State -14 -110 [0.5u] Memphis +1.5 -110 [1u] Duke -32 -110 [0.5u] Vandy +4.5 -110 [2u] Vandy ML +165 [0.5u] Ole Miss +1.5 -105 [1u] Maryland -10 -110 [1u] Florida -28 -110 [0.5u] Kentucky -11.5 -110 [1u] Marquette -3.5 -115 [1.5u] Akron +14.5 -110 [1u] UConn -5.5 -110 [0.5u] Xavier +3.5 -110 [1u] Xavier ML +145 [0.5u] Bryant +17 -110 [0.5u] Liberty +7 -110 [0.5u] Liberty ML +250 [0.5u] I'm 9-12 (-1.3u) on NCAAT sides so far (there were some non tweeted plays, 3-2 +.6u)

The only complaints - and it's NOT because "I was wrong" is the inclusion of UNC and some others. There isn't much of a defense for the Tar Heels.

Well, 65/68 teams is not great (our First 3 out made the field; our last three in did not). Exact Seed: 47 W/in 1 seed: 63 (Memphis -3, L'Ville +2) Point Score = 352 (would have been T5th last year).

Final 2025 Bracketology w/ 1-68 Seed List deuce2sports.us/2025/03/final-…

@AI_Bracketology Ha. Good call! What I find interesting -- and this is via T-Rank -- is the WAB number is that good but Bart's system still has them ranked 24th. Gonzaga, on the other hand, with a 2.7 WAB (33rd) is ranked 11th.

@Deuce2Sports definitely not a team I'll be putting in my Sweet 16 whatever their seed is 😂

"Michigan should be a 4-seed with a win today, but has likely already been slotted as a 5 seed" That bothers me so much. How can the committee say every game matters every year and then stop caring about results come Friday of conference tournament week? Since 1985, 12-5 upsets have happened ~35% of the time, while 13-4 upsets are at ~21%. Unfair to Michigan if they win the B1G Title today to get a 5 seed.

@AI_Bracketology That makes sense. It wouldn't be egregious if they were a 4 (nor if they were a 6) in my opinion. They are one of those teams have have the metrics but stink a bit with the eye test. You are right with the WAB, however. They're sitting +5.5 in that (ranked 13th).

"Unfair" as in why are we seeding teams before all the conference tournaments have ended. But still, they would likely be top 10 in resume average with a win today. That + B1G tourney title feels like a 4 to me. To your point though, I'm putting a bit more emphasis on WAB and other resume metrics vs predictives here.