Deuce2Sports

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Deuce2Sports

@Deuce2Sports

Detroit-based analytics | 2022 @bracketproject 🏆 | Top 12 Bracketologist | ⚾️ 🏈 🏀 ⚽️ 🏒 ⛳️ | @D2Sbets

Detroit, MI 가입일 Ekim 2011
55 팔로잉82 팔로워
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Mack
Mack@Chris_Mackinder·
Heading into the Final Four, it can’t be overstated how great the last two seasons have been; 6 of the Top 10 KenPom teams ALL-TIME are from ‘25 & ‘26. #3 @umichbball & #4 @ArizonaMBB will be 2nd pair of teams to square off (the 2025 championship saw #8 Houston vs #10 Florida).
Mack tweet media
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Deuce2Sports
Deuce2Sports@Deuce2Sports·
@Bauertology @amatorsarcasmi @PonyHype Here’s a Q: Should they be different? I feel like if Miami was selected into the field ahead of SMU et al., then the seeding should show that. We’re letting predictives go too far in what the bracket looks like. Again, just 2 cents from another “bracketologist.”
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Bauertology
Bauertology@Bauertology·
@amatorsarcasmi @PonyHype Selection and seeding are two different things. SMU was the final at-large team chosen for the field, but was seeded ahead of Miami, with efficiency metrics likely playing a big factor.
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Bauertology
Bauertology@Bauertology·
Worth noting from committee chair Keith Gill—Miami (OH) was the last team in on the seed list, but they were not the last team selected! They were chosen ahead of each of NC State, Texas, and SMU (Mustangs were the final team chosen), but were scrubbed down based on metrics/individual quality of wins. So last at-large team on the seed list doesn't necessarily mean last team chosen!
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Justin Perri
Justin Perri@JustinPerri8·
I do know, but ever since I got my start in this industry by going 14-0 in the second round of 2022, I have made a play on every side in the tournament. It is a tradition.
Deuce2Sports@Deuce2Sports

@JustinPerri8 You know you don’t have to bet every game, right? 😂

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Justin Perri
Justin Perri@JustinPerri8·
Baylor +1.5 -110 [1.5u] Alabama -21.5 -110 [1u] Iowa State -14 -110 [0.5u] Memphis +1.5 -110 [1u] Duke -32 -110 [0.5u] Vandy +4.5 -110 [2u] Vandy ML +165 [0.5u] Ole Miss +1.5 -105 [1u] Maryland -10 -110 [1u] Florida -28 -110 [0.5u] Kentucky -11.5 -110 [1u] Marquette -3.5 -115 [1.5u] Akron +14.5 -110 [1u] UConn -5.5 -110 [0.5u] Xavier +3.5 -110 [1u] Xavier ML +145 [0.5u] Bryant +17 -110 [0.5u] Liberty +7 -110 [0.5u] Liberty ML +250 [0.5u] I'm 9-12 (-1.3u) on NCAAT sides so far (there were some non tweeted plays, 3-2 +.6u)
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Deuce2Sports
Deuce2Sports@Deuce2Sports·
The only complaints - and it's NOT because "I was wrong" is the inclusion of UNC and some others. There isn't much of a defense for the Tar Heels.
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Deuce2Sports
Deuce2Sports@Deuce2Sports·
Well, 65/68 teams is not great (our First 3 out made the field; our last three in did not). Exact Seed: 47 W/in 1 seed: 63 (Memphis -3, L'Ville +2) Point Score = 352 (would have been T5th last year).
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Deuce2Sports
Deuce2Sports@Deuce2Sports·
@AI_Bracketology Ha. Good call! What I find interesting -- and this is via T-Rank -- is the WAB number is that good but Bart's system still has them ranked 24th. Gonzaga, on the other hand, with a 2.7 WAB (33rd) is ranked 11th.
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AI Bracketology 🏀
AI Bracketology 🏀@AI_Bracketology·
"Michigan should be a 4-seed with a win today, but has likely already been slotted as a 5 seed" That bothers me so much. How can the committee say every game matters every year and then stop caring about results come Friday of conference tournament week? Since 1985, 12-5 upsets have happened ~35% of the time, while 13-4 upsets are at ~21%. Unfair to Michigan if they win the B1G Title today to get a 5 seed.
Joe Lunardi@ESPNLunardi

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Deuce2Sports
Deuce2Sports@Deuce2Sports·
@AI_Bracketology That makes sense. It wouldn't be egregious if they were a 4 (nor if they were a 6) in my opinion. They are one of those teams have have the metrics but stink a bit with the eye test. You are right with the WAB, however. They're sitting +5.5 in that (ranked 13th).
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AI Bracketology 🏀
AI Bracketology 🏀@AI_Bracketology·
"Unfair" as in why are we seeding teams before all the conference tournaments have ended. But still, they would likely be top 10 in resume average with a win today. That + B1G tourney title feels like a 4 to me. To your point though, I'm putting a bit more emphasis on WAB and other resume metrics vs predictives here.
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