Ash

$BTC 1hr update. No changes, if you're SHORT from the TVF you're in monitoring mode. IF $BTC can break above ~72,000, for me that would invalidate another drop level. IF NOT, $BTC almost certainly will visit the liquidity pocket. Keep it simple.

$BTC 1hr. This is the path i'm looking for next IF $BTC shows corrective weakness in/around the 200EMA.

$BTC 1hr update. No changes, if you're SHORT from the TVF you're in monitoring mode. IF $BTC can break above ~72,000, for me that would invalidate another drop level. IF NOT, $BTC almost certainly will visit the liquidity pocket. Keep it simple.

What Is Bitcoin Telling You??? 😀 = Fed Rate Cuts 🚨 BTC MACRO UPDATE: The "Policy Tug-of-War" We are at a massive decision point for $BTC. Here is the 60-second breakdown of the chart: 🔴 THE BLOCK: OIL & INFLATION Status: WTI Crude is at $96.14 (Brent $114.84). The Problem: High energy prices keep Inflation (2.4%) sticky. This "blocks" the Fed from cutting rates aggressively. BTC Impact: Resistance/Choppiness while the Fed stays hawkish. 🟣 THE TRIGGER: UNEMPLOYMENT Status: Currently 4.4%. The Panic Button: 4.6%. The Logic: If jobs weaken to 4.6%, the Fed must pivot regardless of oil. This activates the "Smiley" logic. 🟢 THE TARGET: +20% PUMP Scenario: An Emergency -50bps cut (like 2020/2024). Goal: $83,000+. 📅 KEY WINDOWS: April 28-29: Powell’s final FOMC. One last "gift"? 🎁 June/July: New Fed Chair (Warsh?) takes the wheel. 🏎️ The Play: Watch the Purple (Jobs) vs. Red (Oil). When the Fed chooses the economy over inflation, $BTC flies. 🚀