iam ian ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ญ

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iam ian ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ญ

iam ian ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ญ

@IanIslander3

@ian_maps i map you ๐Ÿ—บ๏ธ kim seokjin stan | Yours iton๐Ÿ’œ Electoral Cartography and Data, Congressional Tracker

Leyte ๊ฐ€์ž…์ผ Eylรผl 2019
970 ํŒ”๋กœ์ž‰3.9K ํŒ”๋กœ์›Œ
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iam ian ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ญ
iam ian ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ญ@IanIslander3ยท
Map Drop 3.0๐Ÿ—บ๏ธ "The colors of the land" 2022 Philippine Presidential Election mapped by City/Municipality ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ญ #ElectionTwitter๐Ÿ—ณ๏ธ @ian_maps๐ŸŸ
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iam ian ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ญ ๋ฆฌํŠธ์œ—ํ•จ
Steve Schale
Steve Schale@steveschaleยท
The 2030 census is going to dramatically change the national political math for Dems - and 2026 is an opportunity to start getting prepared. Appreciate @BulwarkOnline allowing me to lay out a plan how & why Dems need to use 2026 to get ready for 2032 thebulwark.com/p/2026-midtermโ€ฆ
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iam ian ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ญ
iam ian ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ญ@IanIslander3ยท
Where they land on the axis -- Belmonte - progressive, also establishment Moreno - populist Duterte Malapitan - establishment Cayetano - establishment (Lean Duterte?) Olaso - establishment (pro Duterte) Cebu - reformist Ynares - establishment Sotto - independent, reformist Barzaga - establishment
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iam ian ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ญ
iam ian ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ญ@IanIslander3ยท
Mayors of the 10 biggest cities Despite the flawed multi-party system, the top 3 are not from the mainstream coalition. None are from PFP or Lakas, the Marcos parties. โ–ช๏ธQC๐ŸŸชSBP โ–ช๏ธManila๐Ÿ”ทAksyon โ–ช๏ธDavao๐Ÿ‘ŠHTL โ–ช๏ธCaloocan๐ŸŸงNP โ–ช๏ธTaguig๐ŸŸงNP โ–ช๏ธZamboanga๐ŸŸงNP โ–ช๏ธCebu๐ŸŽ—๏ธLiberal-BOPK โ–ช๏ธAntipolo๐ŸŸฉNPC โ–ช๏ธPasigโฌœ๏ธIndependent โ–ช๏ธDasmariรฑas๐ŸŸขNUP
Andrea ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ@ClassicalSocdem

Meanwhile in Italy, the mayors of the 10 biggest cities: โ—พ Rome ๐Ÿ”ด (PD) โ—พ Milan ๐Ÿ”ด (Centre-left independent) โ—พ Naples ๐Ÿ”ด (PD) โ—พ Turin ๐Ÿ”ด (PD) โ—พ Palermo ๐Ÿ”ต (UDC) โ—พ Genoa ๐Ÿ”ด (Centre-left independent) โ—พ Bologna ๐Ÿ”ด (PD) โ—พ Florence ๐Ÿ”ด (PD) โ—พ Bari ๐Ÿ”ด (PD) โ—พ Catania ๐Ÿ”ต (FDI)

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DeusXMachina
DeusXMachina@DeusXMachina14ยท
Turning a new leaf.
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iam ian ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ญ
iam ian ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ญ@IanIslander3ยท
@DeusXMachina14 All 10 from Lakas CMD, My estimate would put the largest party down to 100. PFP is now at 35-40 seats tied with NPC While NUP from second - now down to fourth, followed by Nacionalistas and then the Liberals. (Someone told me that Lakas is down to 90, while NPC and PFP grew.)
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DeusXMachina
DeusXMachina@DeusXMachina14ยท
Interestingly all of these recent political turncoats( Albano, Cruz,Pleyto,Violago,Suansing,Villa,Vargas,Susan,Quimbo, Matugas) were members of the Lakas Party. But why jumpship to the party of the president? Could be impeachment related or 2028 related.
DeusXMachina tweet mediaDeusXMachina tweet mediaDeusXMachina tweet mediaDeusXMachina tweet media
Politiko@Politiko_Ph

Several lawmakers reportedly jumped to President Ferdinand Marcos Jr.-led Partido Federal ng Pilipinas (PFP). #POLITISKOOP๐Ÿฆ๐Ÿฆ๐Ÿฆ| via @Leifbilly Read more: politiko.com.ph/2026/03/20/mayโ€ฆ

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DeusXMachina
DeusXMachina@DeusXMachina14ยท
Rep. Lorenz Defensor versus VG Lee Ann Debuque for Iloilo's gubernatorial race. It would be a good one.
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iam ian ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ญ
iam ian ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ญ@IanIslander3ยท
@DeusXMachina14 @yukisomakun Woah the House is in drama mode again I wonder how many in the party he is speaking for though, but again never underestimate a kingmaker like him (not Vic Rodriguez).
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iam ian ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ญ
iam ian ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ญ@IanIslander3ยท
@jesusfalcis Less than 5% lang gani lamang nya sa Dasma hahah Pidi Barzaga got 90% there for reference (from 2010 to 2022 ranges 77-95%, including wife Mayor Jenny)
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Jesus Falcis ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ญ
Jesus Falcis ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ญ@jesusfalcisยท
โš ๏ธ Greco Belgica wants Kiko Barzaga to run for Governor of Cavite in 2028. Naku hahaha walang numero yan hanggang Dasmariรฑas lang ang Barzaga dynasty. Ano ba naman etong mga DDS pinapahamak at sinasabotahe ang kapwa DDS. ๐Ÿ˜‚ ๐Ÿ‘Š
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Howard the Duck
Howard the Duck@HtDeEยท
Wala ba tayong total valid at invalid votes sa Antipolo special election?
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iam ian ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ญ
iam ian ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ญ@IanIslander3ยท
Bong Acop has a landslide lead in the official results of the House Special election in #Antipoloโ€™s 2nd District. He is leading against 5 candidates, including PDP-adopted candidate Red Llaga and Councilor Atty. Paui Tapales, who are in 2nd and 3rd places. @DeusXMachina14 @QuingAndre๐Ÿ—ณ๏ธ
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iam ian ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ญ@IanIslander3

Seems like the Duterte push flopped in Antipolo @DeusXMachina14 @QuingAndre

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iam ian ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ญ
iam ian ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ญ@IanIslander3ยท
While waiting for the results, here are some quick district stats that can help us break the vote later on: Most dense: Dalig, San Roque | Least: Calawis *All classified as urban by PSA Relatively younger: Calawis (78% under 40) Relatively high college level share: Dalig, San Luis, San Roque All barangays 98%< Tagalog dominant Most Catholic: San Luis, Lesser: Calawis (Most protestants 12%, INC 8%) --- 2022 Highest Duterte - Inarawan | Robredo - Dalig 2025 Top 3 DuterTen: Inarawan, Cupang, San Luis Top 3 Alyansa: Calawis, San Juan, San Jose Top 3 Oppo: Dalig, San Roque, San Luis #Antipolo @DeusXMachina14 @QuingAndre
iam ian ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ญ tweet mediaiam ian ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ญ tweet media
iam ian ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ญ@IanIslander3

Might be a sleeper but 2 big tests we are looking at today: 1 Continued anti-establishment wave? 2 How far Duterte supporters can push this race, and if we can draw parallels to large cities and sub-metros @DeusXMachina14 @QuingAndre

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iam ian ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ญ
iam ian ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ญ@IanIslander3ยท
All in all, what's clear is that there were no heavy shifts despite everything that happened since 2025. We are as polarized until now and beyond. The establishment kept the seat without surprises (was almost splintered had Sumulong not withdrawn). And then being pro-Duterte might not be an addition (in Luzon). You also have the opposition not even endorsing anyone there. So no movements so far. 3/3
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iam ian ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ญ
iam ian ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ญ@IanIslander3ยท
On the other hand, Bong Acop narrowly overperformed Mayor Ynares by a mere 2.8% (No direct comparison to the House race since the late Rep. Acop was unopposed). Note: More than the national issues, there are many local factors & dynamics affecting the race, one is machinery. Another - turnout was very low => 33% even for a special elex. (Compare: 2023 Cavite 7th to replace Sec of Justice Remulla was at 42%; Antipolo is notorious for lower turnouts even during regular๐Ÿ—ณ๏ธ) 2/3
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iam ian ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ญ
iam ian ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ญ@IanIslander3ยท
With no breakdown released, we can't analyze the vote further as of this moment. But there are some bits that might interest you. Entrep. Red Llaga underperformed by 5.4% vs his prior Mayoral run against Jun Ynares in 2025 (20 -> 14%). He also underperformed by 3.7% vs the Duter10 benchmark. 1/3 @DeusXMachina14 @QuingAndre๐Ÿ—ณ๏ธ
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iam ian ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ญ@IanIslander3

Bong Acop has a landslide lead in the official results of the House Special election in #Antipoloโ€™s 2nd District. He is leading against 5 candidates, including PDP-adopted candidate Red Llaga and Councilor Atty. Paui Tapales, who are in 2nd and 3rd places. @DeusXMachina14 @QuingAndre๐Ÿ—ณ๏ธ

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