Iran Analytic

Islamic governance is un-Iranian.

Translation: The Islamic Republic of Terrorism is being existentially threatened, which means we would not be able to fund our terrorist proxies across the world either. We are desperate, and we will fight tooth and nail because we do not have anywhere to go, and we will be prosecuted if we remain in Iran after the regime falls.

IRGC in a message to the Palestinians: “We say to you: Today, we are not fighting merely in defense of ourselves, nor merely to avenge our martyrs, but also in defense of the oppression suffered by the Islamic nation and the Palestinian people and their martyrs, who hold a steadfast place in this stance. Palestine has never been the cause of one people alone, but has been and will remain the cause of dignity, right, and justice, and the cause of the entire Islamic nation. O Islamic nation, and O people of Palestine, Do not think that you stand alone in the field of confrontation against the usurping Zionist entity; we are with you, on a covenant that does not change and a position that does not weaken. You are the people of return and dignity; a people who know how to endure, how to stand firm, and how to preserve their right from generation to generation. We pledge to you to remain steadfast by your side on this path, until the right returns to its rightful owners, and dear Palestine returns free and with head held high to its true owners. And peace be upon you, and the mercy of God and His blessings”

That is inaccurate. The January 8-9 Protests and the extermination of more than 35,000 Iranian Protestors in 24 hours by the murderous regime have changed those dynamics. Reza Pahlavi now has the support of Iranian Protestors to form a Provisional Government and hold a free and fair referendum re Iran’s future form of governance within 100 days after the fall of the Islamic Republic.

According to a U.S. intelligence report, assembled prior to the anti-government protests in early January, which was shown to President Donald J. Trump a week before the start of the Iran War, Reza Pahlavi, the Exiled Crown Prince of Iran, they concluded lacked a sufficient network inside the country to lead an effective overthrow of the Islamic Republic. “They never took him that seriously,” Vali Nasr, a Professor at Johns Hopkins, said of the Trump Administration. “There’s a difference between having an organization on the ground versus just having people who like you. If you’re going to help change a regime, you have to have a ground game.” Trump and his aides began referring to Pahlavi as the “loser prince,” according to The New Yorker.

Dear President Trump: To overthrow the Islamic Republic, (1) Remove Ghalibaf and IRGC Head Vahidi from power. (2) Deploy troops and take Kharg Island. (3) Use overwhelming force with Israel to open the Strait. (4) Use drone strikes against Basij & IRGC thugs, and Iranians will overthrow this fascist regime on the streets of Tehran. @realDonaldTrump

Iran's Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf now threatens US banks in the Gulf states: “Alongside military bases, those financial entities that finance the US military budget are legitimate targets.”

On March 19, 1945, Hitler issued the Nero Decree: the complete destruction of all factories, power plants, bridges, and German infrastructure so that nothing intact would fall into Allied hands. He believed the German nation did not deserve to survive if it lost. This is what the Iranian mullahs’ regime wants for the Iranian people who oppose their terrorist system!

The Islamic Republic is flailing and falling. (1) Donald Trump will soon deploy troops onto Kharg Island and will take away the financial lifeline of the regime. (2) The United States and Israel will then open the Strait of Hormuz with overwhelming force. (3) With drone strikes against Basij & IRGC thugs on streets of Tehran, Iranians will then overthrow the regime on the streets of Tehran.

Iran’s Revolutionary Guards: If Trump threatens Iran’s energy facilities, the Strait of Hormuz will be completely closed.

@Osint613 The only solution is the removal of the Islamic Republic of Terrorism from power. The Gulf States can stand there and bleed until the United States and Israel finish the job, or they can join the campaign to expedite the regime’s downfall.

UAE Presidential advisor: "Our approach is not limited to a ceasefire, but focuses on solutions that guarantee lasting security in the Gulf. The transformation of attacks by the Islamic Republic into a permanent situation is not an acceptable threat."

The Islamic Republic’s fall will be like that of the Taliban in 2001 following the 9/11 Attacks. The U.S.-led invasion began on October 7, 2001, resulting in the fall of Kabul on November 13, 2001. The Taliban fell on December 9, 2001. Trump should deploy troops into Iran and use overwhelming force to open the Strait. With drone strikes against IRGC & Basij, Iranians will then overthrow the Islamic Republic on the streets of Tehran.

After all, we know that the Iranians will not agree to Trump's demand to open the Strait of Hormuz, and therefore we are facing perhaps the most intense days since the beginning of the war. Are you ready for what is coming?

@Osint613 If the Islamic Republic had made nuclear weapons, they would have become untouchable. History will be kind to Trump and Netanyahu for dealing with the Islamo-fascist regime before it was too late.

I want to make a very important point: The world needed to deal with the threat of the Islamic regime, the question was; to deal with them before they become nuclear or after. Before they have 10,000 missiles that can strike Europe or after. Before they can strike US mainland or after. We are in a much better situation now.

@Osint613 Giving the Islamic Republic 48 hours also forces the decision-makers in the regime to communicate with one another, which in turn may disclose their locations as well.

Trump: We killed Iran's leaders and destroyed their naval and air forces, and they have no defenses

@Osint613 The strategy of the Gulf States was short-sighted. Feeding the crocodile hoping it would not eat you is stupid and dangerous. The Gulf States must join the campaign against the Islamic Republic of Terrorism. Hope is not a strategy.

This war was between US, Israel and the Islamic regime in Iran. It could have stayed that way. The regime is forcing the gulf states to join. News of the 4000 Km missile launch at UK’s base, and the continued closure of the strait may force the EU and NATO to join. It’s getting dangerous.

Those expectations are unrealistic. (1) Donald Trump specifically asked Iranians to stay inside until all military objectives have been achieved. (2) Reza Pahlavi has not asked Iranians to take to the streets and protest since airstrikes are ongoing, and it is not safe to be out on the streets.

‼️REPORT: MAJOR DISAPPOINTMENT, NO UPRISING IN IRAN. According to reports, there is growing disappointment that Iranians are not rising up despite escalating tensions. ▪️ Calls for mass turnout during the holiday were largely ignored ▪️ Even appeals from Reza Pahlavi failed to mobilize crowds ▪️ No significant public demonstrations reported

Mojtaba Khamenei was elevated to the “Supreme Leadership” not because anyone in the Islamic Republic believes he has the qualifications of a leader. Mojtaba was selected because he is weak, and the IRGC Deep State can run the show now. Mojtaba dead or alive serves the same purpose to the IRGC.

WHERE'S MOJTABA⁉️ U.S. and Israeli intelligence are now investigating a bizarre question: Who is actually running Iran? According to Axios, both the CIA and Mossad are trying to determine whether Iran’s new Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, is even actively leading… or something else entirely. ▪️ No public appearance in over 2 weeks ▪️ Intelligence suggests he is alive, but unseen ▪️ Even Iranian officials reportedly unable to meet him ▪️ No clear evidence he is giving orders ▪️ U.S. officials calling it a “serious red flag” One official put it bluntly: “We don’t think Iran would elect a dead man… but we have no evidence he’s running the country.” Meanwhile: ▪️ Reports say he was wounded in a U.S.-Israeli strike ▪️ Tehran insists he is “in control” ▪️ New Year (Nowruz) passed with no public address

The Islamic Republic’s fall will be like that of the Taliban in 2001 following the 9/11 Attacks. The U.S.-led invasion began on October 7, 2001, resulting in the fall of Kabul on November 13, 2001. The Taliban fell on December 9, 2001. The Islamic Republic is falling slowly and then suddenly.

A very different Eid al-Fitr prayer in Tehran, #Iran this year. Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei traditionally led the Eid al-Fitr prayer, including last year (see photo on left). This year, he's dead and his successor Mojtaba Khamenei is in hiding. This year Interim Friday Prayer leader of Tehran Muhammad Javad Haj Ali Akbari is leading the service. There is also a reduced presence of senior officials this year at Eid al-Fitr prayers. Chief Justice Gholamhossein Mohseni-Ejei was there today, but no sign of Mohammad Bagher-Ghalibaf and other members of the regime's political elite likely due to security concerns.

@Osint613 Hey Araghchi, The vast majority of Iranians do not want the Islamic Republic. Resign before you are removed from power. @araghchi

Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi: Vast majority of the British People do not want any part in the Israel-U.S. war of choice on Iran. Ignoring his own People, Mr. Starmer is putting British lives in danger by allowing UK bases to be used for aggression against Iran. Iran will exercise its right to self-defense.

Pentagon officials have made detailed preparations for deploying U.S. ground forces into Iran, with senior military commanders having submitted specific requests aimed at preparing for such an option if such a decision is made by President Trump, multiple sources briefed on the discussions told CBS News.  Preparations include how to handle the possible detention of Iranian soldiers and paramilitary operatives, such as where Iranian prisoners-of-war would be sent, two sources said, with the U.S. Army’s Immediate Response Force (IRF) under the 82nd Airborne Division and roughly 5,000 Marines from 11th and 31st Marine Expeditionary Unit deploying to the Middle East.

@EliAfriatISR Shabbat Shalom, buddy. Thanks for all that you do, fiercely, tirelessly, unwaveringly. We will meet one day in free and democratic Iran. Soon. Much love, ✊🇮🇷🇺🇸🇮🇱

Shabbat shalom, dear friends! 🤍💙 I invite you to show your support for Israel by commenting "Shabbat Shalom". 🙏 Your participation will help demonstrate our unity and strength as a community. 🇮🇱

If Mojtaba is dead, the Supreme Leadership Crisis deepens at once. The regime already expended substantial political capital trying to legitimize the dynastic succession of Mojtaba Khamenei. It must now expend even more capital to elevate another “Supreme Leader,”thereby exposing the fragility, desperation, and bankruptcy of the Islamic Republic itself.

@EliAfriatISR And a more accurate translation of those words is the following: “We swear on his clenched fist that we will destroy you.”

@EliAfriatISR No, that’s a reference to Ali Khamenei and how they supposedly found his severed hand.

🚨🇮🇷BREAKING: Another hint at the death of Mojtaba Khamenei? This is what was written on one of the missiles launched at Israel tonight: "With the clenched fist of our martyred leader, we will destroy you."

🚨🇮🇷BREAKING: DRAMATIC reports on Iranian opposition channels about the DEATH of Mojtaba Khamenei in the hospital. the incessant firing at Israel seems like a "Barrage of honor" for someone who will probably NO LONGER inherit the leader's chair.