JustinBetsProps

Data-driven NBA player props posted daily. My strategy has returned over 1100 units in 5 years, fully tracked publicly via @LVLupProps. 📈 I bet using math, not feelings. EV, matchup data, volatility, nightly context. Follow along if you want sharper, profitable picks 🚀

@ToastedPinecone @SugaSeanMMA @PrizePicks Fair callout! From what I saw there wasn’t much of an impact to his mins / rebounding on the 2nd half of b2bs. More important the game stays close

@JustinBetsProps @SugaSeanMMA @PrizePicks Back to back games though!

Chat I’m in need of some locks, help a fella out. @PrizePicks

Day 1 🪜 Rolling $100 → $5,000 Gary Payton II 1+ steal + 10+ points 2.07x 1 bet at a time. Only when there’s value.

Why do 🪜 challenges fail? Because the concept forces people into bad bets, usually 5 legs of -800. The better way is to take the best play regardless of odds and focus on EV+ plays. I’m rolling $100 to $5,000 1 bet at a time. Only when there’s real value. Let’s climb 🤝

@G5Jake Never a good idea to force a play, but you can always cut your unit size down and have some fun 😛

A thought I’m struggling with Force a play for tonight because I love baseball. Don’t force it because I love so much tomorrow.

@sloprules Strikeouts have always been the most profitable MLB market. Cheers to a profitable season ahead 🫡

It's almost strikeout season.

The books priced this WRONG… 🎯 Nikola Jokić O13.5 Rebounds vs DAL (+176 on Fanduel) 📊 Avg 13 boards in his last 10 ✅ Hit this line 6 of his last 10 games 💰 +58% EV at 2.76 odds 🔥 Strong team matchup (4th best for rebounds) Research via @LVLupProps 🔬 #Jokic #NBAProps

Got banned AGAIN on bet 365 SMH… New account only up $2,000. Such a disgrace. Continues to show how backwards this industry is.

222x for my Fanduel people 🤝

@CrispEvolution Love it. The goon has been dishing lately, let’s hope he keeps it up 🤝

@JustinBetsProps Ran this and Time Lord 12+/Goon 9 Asts/Camara 5 asts seeing as they were +EV and I had 2 50% SGP boosts.

Day 2 of building EV+ parlays until one hits for $5,000+ Todays lay is a light 262x 🧩 Sengun triple double 🧱 Jokic 14+ rebounds 📈 KD 5+ rebounds 💪 Rob Williams 10+ rebounds All it takes is one. Lets ride.

@DoctorProfit Monk cost me a 225x parlay tonight :(

MALIK MONK IS PUTTING ON A SHOW IN THE FIRST HALF🧱 2/10 FGA 0/3 3PA 1/2 FTA 5 Points -27 +/- 18 Minutes IT IS NOT A GOOD SHOW BUT IT IS A SHOW

Jokic Reb and Ast alt lines have been a money printer lately

@_KylesPicks_ Like a lot of these legs. Hope it cashes for you 🤝

If you’re paying someone who dropped 40+ plays on today’s slate go ahead and unsub

@SimBuddyy 😂 This is bang on

I’m not ready for Aaron Judge, Ohtani, Raleigh winning slips that are photoshopped 3 with 3 extra 0s from cappers down millions to run my home page. Literally not a single person parlaying home runs is profiting btw. Not one will show you a pikkit. Keep donating your money goofy

@ClosingDime Unfortunately there is no liquidity on player props (atleast on Polymarket)

Sports bettors face betting limits. Prediction markets offer unlimited scaling potential. The question is: who benefits most? Sharp bettors or crypto/stock traders? Learn about prediction markets now – it's the next big thing for making money. #PredictionMarkets #Investing

Bro sold 🪝

Liking Jalen Brunson OVER 7.5 AST tn 👀 📊 8/10 L10 hit rate (80%) 📈 60% win probability via @LVLupProps 💰 +38% EV 🎯 Strong matchup vs NOP Assists trending UP lately, let’s see if he can keep it going.

If you’re betting from 1 sportsbook, you’re most likely getting cooked… You could be taking the right picks and still losing long term because of the price. The edge isn’t just the pick, it’s the odds you get that pick at. Using 3+ books will SIGNIFICANTLY boost your ROI.

@TheDunkCentral SGA has MVP on lock 🔒

Carmelo Anthony says SGA is the MVP “The players know who the real MVP is. That’s all that matters… To me, I think it’s clear-cut. I think it’s SGA: best team in the NBA, best player on the team. That’s hard to argue, and the man is averaging 30. When you see an MVP, you know.” (Via @7PMinBrooklyn / h/t @NBA__Courtside )