Wolf

@Jason I’m in

We started an AI founder twitter group... reply with "I'm in" if you're a founder and want to be added

Why isn’t there a state and perhaps a national database of all people that have SS#, drivers licenses or state IDs available just for voting purposes? Only for voting. Upgrade systems to check eligibility in real time. Register. Check. Vote. Check. If I try to buy something with my debit card and there’s no money in the bank , the transaction doesn’t go through. You can also put the transactions on a private blockchain- anonymous- but connects to an account/user ID that the state/federal gov have?

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I think the reality that most people seem to overlook is that in many cases, it’s not the government buying from China. US companies don’t want to pay more and want to have the lowest cost- that’s capitalism, and consumers want to have the lowest cost. So you have to incentivize companies and consumers to buy American, but that costs a lot more and people don’t want to pay more and in many instances don’t have the money. Everyone is price sensitive. Walmart was built on this. So were most of the largest consumer companies. Amazon was built on this. E-V-E-R-y-O-N-E. So then what is the alternative?

From an entrepreneur “30M in EBITDA wiped out for us in 2 months, a company I spent a decade building decimated in a matter of months. Unbelievable people still don’t even have a basic understanding of tariffs at this point, and the head in the sand approach to what this is going to do to our economy is frightening. We are in cash preservation mode and have paused all shipments from China at this point.”

The U.S.-China Trade Deficit Is Overstated, and Re-Shoring Faces Major Hurdles for most goods. Here’s the math: The U.S.-China goods trade deficit in 2024 was $295.4 billion, but Trump’s claim of a “trillion-dollar” deficit inflates reality. A huge chunk cannot be produced in the U.S. due to high labor costs ($20-$40/hour vs. China’s $5-$7/hour), lack of low-skill labor, massive upfront investments ($100 million-$1 billion per industry), and long timelines (5-10 years for supply chains). U.S. companies like Apple rely on China or Mexico for cheaper labor ($3-$7/hour) and decades-built infrastructure, making re-shoring apparel, toys, and miscellaneous goods ($58.6 billion) impractical. Math Breakdown: •Total Deficit: $295.4 billion (imports: $438.9 billion, exports: $143.5 billion). •Exemptions: $156 billion (smartphones, semiconductors, etc.), critical to U.S. firms (e.g., Apple’s $640 billion market hit without them). •Remaining Deficit: $295.4 billion - $156 billion = $139.4 billion. •Feasible Categories: $80.8 billion (plastics: $10.3 billion, vehicles/parts: $3.2 billion, electrical machinery: $27.8 billion, machinery: $23.9 billion, furniture: $15.6 billion), viable for U.S. production in 2-4 years with automation. •Non-Feasible Categories: $58.6 billion (apparel: $31.3 billion, toys: $19.7 billion, miscellaneous: $7.6 billion), unviable due to labor costs and scale. •Re-Shore Half of Feasible: $40.4 billion (plastics: $10.3 billion, vehicles: $3.2 billion, electrical machinery: $11.1 billion, machinery: $10.8 billion, furniture: $5 billion), needing $0.7-$2.7 billion investment, creating ~24,000 jobs (vs. 200,000 in China) due to automation. •Remaining Feasible Deficit: $80.8 billion - $40.4 billion ≈ $28.6 billion (electrical machinery: $16.7 billion, machinery: $13.1 billion, furniture: $10.6 billion). •Total Goods Deficit: $28.6 billion (feasible) + $58.6 billion (non-feasible) + ~$2 billion (other) ≈ $89.2 billion. •Net Deficit: $89.2 billion - $23 billion (services surplus) = $66.2 billion. Conclusion: After exemptions ($156 billion, protecting U.S. firms) and re-shoring feasible goods (~$40.4 billion), the “real” trade deficit shrinks to $66.2 billion, far from Trump’s exaggerated figure. Re-shoring more is tough—labor costs, investment, and China’s entrenched supply chains (decades of investment by US firms) limit U.S. production, especially for labor-heavy goods. Tariffs (145%) and subsidies could shift $10-$20 billion more, but costs rise 5-20%, and automation caps jobs, leaving a stubborn gap that Mexico or Vietnam may fill instead. Moving lots of these no feasible categories to Mexico, which is part of this North American trade block maybe an option, but that doesn’t deal with the core issue of the reason Trump wants tariffs - get tariff revenues and or bringing jobs back to America, unless you bring in a large amount of immigrant to take these new jobs much like Dubai has done to bring in to work on all their construction projects. Special work-specific visas for these low pay jobs? We would collect taxes, Social Security, etc.

Interesting- I was wondering when recessions have happened- The AI says : 10 of eleven recessions were under Republican presidents. Here’s a list of the last ten major U.S. market drops or recessions, excluding the COVID-19 crisis, along with the presidents in office at those times and their respective political parties: 1.Great Recession (December 2007 – June 2009) •President: George W. Bush (Republican) •Details: Triggered by the subprime mortgage crisis, leading to a significant economic downturn. 2.Early 2000s Recession (March 2001 – November 2001) •President: George W. Bush (Republican) •Details: Caused by the collapse of the dot-com bubble and exacerbated by the September 11 attacks. 3.Early 1990s Recession (July 1990 – March 1991) •President: George H. W. Bush (Republican) •Details: Resulted from factors like the 1990 oil price shock and debt accumulation from the 1980s. 4.Early 1980s Recession (July 1981 – November 1982) •President: Ronald Reagan (Republican) •Details: Attributed to tight monetary policies aimed at combating inflation. 5.1980 Recession (January 1980 – July 1980) •President: Jimmy Carter (Democrat) •Details: Driven by anti-inflation measures and an energy crisis. 6.1973–1975 Recession (November 1973 – March 1975) •President: Richard Nixon (Republican) •Details: Caused by the 1973 oil crisis and the collapse of the Bretton Woods system. 7.Recession of 1969–1970 (December 1969 – November 1970) •President: Richard Nixon (Republican) •Details: Linked to monetary tightening to control inflation. 8.Recession of 1960–1961 (April 1960 – February 1961) •President: Dwight D. Eisenhower (Republican) •Details: Resulted from monetary tightening and a downturn in the steel industry. 9.Recession of 1957–1958 (August 1957 – April 1958) •President: Dwight D. Eisenhower (Republican) •Details: Attributed to monetary policy tightening and reduced consumer demand. 10.Recession of 1953 (July 1953 – May 1954) •President: Dwight D. Eisenhower (Republican) •Details: Occurred after the post-Korean War economic boom ended. Notably, ten of the eleven U.S. recessions between 1953 and 2020 began under Republican presidents.

Coming up on #TDRLIVE: Fox’s Laura Ingraham Advises Viewers to ‘Ignore’ Tumbling Stock Market Because Trump ‘Is Good for Business’ mediaite.com/tv/foxs-laura-…

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@bullx_io @ToadX_io What is the format for importing a list of wallets to track? I keep getting an "invalid import config" error?

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@bullx_io What is the format for importing a list of wallets to track? I keep getting an "invalid import config" error?

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@orangie Code isnt working? Is it case sensitive ?

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@CryptoRugMunch What token scanner are you using?

⚠️ Dark PopCat $DPOPCAT has had 98% of its supply sniped at block 0. dexscreener.com/solana/4cip1bs…

@CryptoRugMunch Which token checker are you using that shows “BLOCK 0” snipes?

⚠️ $McTardio has had 66.6% of its supply sniped at block 0. Proceed with caution and DYOR into the team and community before investing. This could go sideways quickly if the team has malicious intent with the project. dexscreener.com/solana/ajwm7nd…

@Jason Wrestlemania Senior Edition 👵🏻

It’s a simulation 😂

@Jason Yep 🤡