Kenan Dagci

My new article, From Reassurance to Assertion: Continuity and Change in #China’s #UNGA Foreign Policy Rhetoric (1991–2025), has been published in @Alternatives_J. Many thanks to the reviewers and editors for their thoughtful feedback. DOI: 10.1177/03043754261449654

📣 Forthcoming in Alternatives! 📊 Analyzing 35 years of China’s #UNGA speeches, @Profdagci traces a shift from cautious reassurance to more assertive identity-driven global governance rhetoric. 🇨🇳 Stay tuned for the full article! 📖

@_Kuscubasi Kissinger’in biz diye ifade ettiği şey ABD’den ziyade bana göre yahudi lobisi olabilir eğer doğruysa. Çünkü kendisi de bildiğim kadarıyla o cenahtan. Ancak ben onun bile Türkiye ile ilgili ifadeleri nedeniyle bu kadar cahil olacağını sanmıyorum. Doğru ise gerçekten saçmalamış.

@_Kuscubasi Kissenger saçmalamış ya da yalan haber. Türkiye bir kere 2. DS’den sonra kurulmadı. Türkiye, Osmanlı İmparatorluğunun devamıdır. SSCB’den sonra Rusya neyse Türkiye de odur. İsmi değisse de Osmanlı hafızası ve mirası değişmemiştir. Ayrıca, ABD lozan anlaşmasını imzalamamıştır.

🇮🇷 Ali Larijani, Kissinger bana; "Haritayı masada 2. Dünya Savaşı sonrası biz çizdik" "Ülkeleri isimlendirdik; birine Filistin dedik, birine Suriye, birine TÜRKİYE, birine Irak Falan." "İki ülke hariç: Biri İran, biri Mısır." "Siz vardınız, varsınız ve var olacaksınız." "Sizinle uzlaşmaktan başka çaremiz yok." ➖ Bir keresinde Amerika'ya gitmiştim. ➖ Kissinger benimle görüşmek istediğini söylemişti, ben de onu görmek istiyordum. ➖ Geldi; nükleer meseleler ve diğer konular hakkında çeşitli şeyler söyledi. ➖ Sonra sordu: "Bizimle stratejik bir ilişki kurmak ister misiniz?" ➖ Dedim ki: "Bizim sizinle bir ilişkimiz yok, siz stratejik ilişkiden bahsediyorsunuz. Neden bana bu soruyu soruyorsunuz?" ➖ Masadaki harita üzerinde kendi çizgilerimizi İkinci Dünya Savaşı'ndan sonra biz çizdik dedi. ➖ Ülkeleri isimlendirdik; birine Filistin dedik, birine Suriye, birine Türkiye, birine Irak falan... ➖ İki ülke hariç: Biri İran, biri Mısır. ➖ Siz vardınız, varsınız ve var olacaksınız. ➖ Sizinle uzlaşmaktan başka çaremiz yok. ➖ Bir milletin tarihsel geçmişini bilen düşünceli bir insan böyle konuşur. ➖ "Teslim olun" demez. ➖ Bu millet, sizden daha büyük olanlara bile boyun eğmedi.

Happy to share our new article in Comparative Sociology. Aras, B., & Dagci, K. (2026). “Beyond Homogeneity: Discerning Central Asian Regionalism through UN General Assembly Rhetoric.” Read: brill.com/view/journals/… doi.org/10.1163/156913…

Bayes’ theorem is probably the single most important thing any rational person can learn. So many of our debates and disagreements that we shout about are because we don’t understand Bayes’ theorem or how human rationality often works. Bayes’ theorem is named after the 18th-century Thomas Bayes, and essentially it’s a formula that asks: when you are presented with all of the evidence for something, how much should you believe it? Bayes’ theorem teaches us that our beliefs are not fixed; they are probabilities. Our beliefs change as we weigh new evidence against our assumptions, or our priors. In other words, we all carry certain ideas about how the world works, and new evidence can challenge them. For example, somebody might believe that smoking is safe, that stress causes mouth ulcers, or that human activity is unrelated to climate change. These are their priors, their starting points. They can be formed by our culture, our biases, or even incomplete information. Now imagine a new study comes along that challenges one of your priors. A single study might not carry enough weight to overturn your existing beliefs. But as studies accumulate, eventually the scales may tip. At some point, your prior will become less and less plausible. Bayes’ theorem argues that being rational is not about black and white. It’s not even about true or false. It’s about what is most reasonable based on the best available evidence. But for this to work, we need to be presented with as much high-quality data as possible. Without evidence—without belief-forming data—we are left only with our priors and biases. And those aren’t all that rational.

Happy 4th of July!

İyi bayramlar

Excited to announce our paper with @arasbulent and Al-Khulaifi, K. A., "The Heartbeat of Unity: Exploring Solidarity in the Trans-Atlantic, Asia, and Muslim World," has been published by the Journal of Peacebuilding & Development! at journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/15…

Thrilled to share my latest article, “Hedging in the MENA Region: China’s Diplomatic Strategy Between Saudi Arabia and Iran”, published in ORIENT I 2025! Explore China’s balancing act in the Middle East here: orient-online.com/orient-i-2025/

Happy thanksgiving everybody!

#China’s boom is finally coming to an end, says Prof. Micheal Beckley at the World Knowledge Forum youtu.be/IEJcDJq1Mgw?si…

Our article, co-authored with Bulent Aras, has been published! “Do High-Level Visits Reflect Regional Priorities? A Study of US News Media Data” goo.gl/scholar/hbuXnF #ScholarAlerts

Republicans Win Control of House

Elon Musk Speech Live | Musk To Head Ministry of Efficiency? Trump 2.0 C... youtube.com/live/Ev19uXOWB… via @YouTube

“Perseverance is a great element of success. If you only knock long enough and loud enough at the gate, you are sure to wake up somebody”. 
Henry Longfellow

Is The Olympic Shooter From Turkey A Hero Or Assassin? We Might Never Know youtu.be/4UQnZp5JnMc?si… via @YouTube

Trump on Harris-Walz: "This is a ticket that would want this country to ... youtube.com/shorts/QP4hsG3… via @YouTube