Retired Ray
3.5K posts


Trump’s arrogance is going to cost you dearly. He has no idea what he is doing.
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter
BREAKING: The USS Tripoli has arrived in the Middle East carrying 3,500 sailors and Marines amid reports that the US is preparing for a potential ground operation in Iran, per CNN.
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@AJENews Sheesh. Looks like IRGC was using a lot of civilian structures for military purposes. Typical Hamas playbook, which Iran made.
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@Sapper12b1 @KenGardner11 We gave some POWs a bunch of MREs laying around. All were Beef Patty, Pork Patty and Chicken Ala King (barf). They ate them all. Man, they looks half starved! MPs came by soon after and took them away.
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@KenGardner11 Our Army threw cases of MREs to them and they surrendered! 🫢
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@KenGardner11 We had 4 or so Iraqi POWs in our camp, waiting for the MPs to take them. I had 6 MREs left and they got Beef Patty, Pork Patty, Chicken Ala Barf and I think the rest were same. They were starved and ate them all. Only the “Best” MREs for them! 😂😂😂
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@SuadObaidi @RaymondFHakim They can’t. Simple as that. Iran just can’t any longer. It’s been over, save for the propaganda sites. Reality will hit them hard but it’s all they have left.
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@RaymondFHakim اي ايران تبقى ساكته وتتفرج ع الحمير امثالكم غير تمحي اسرائيل وامريكا من الوجود
العربية

@RaymondFHakim Well Iranian currency is pretty much worthless, and Iran can’t pay its troops. It’s over and has been for a week.
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@_The_Prophet__ Iran will surrender and it won’t be too long in the future. This has hit “Finger of God” levels of destruction which Iran can’t stop nor retaliate in kind, no matter what their propaganda mouthpieces may spout on about. It’s over.
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⚡️This means they are closing the door on Iran’s future, not just punishing its present.
That is the real meaning.
A heavy water plant sits inside the architecture of long-run strategic capability. Once you hit that and leave it nonoperational, you are saying the war aim is no longer limited to deterrence or retaliation. The war aim is to make sure Iran comes out of this smaller, weaker, and less able to rebuild the kind of deterrent it thought it was moving toward.
So here is what’s really going on:
The campaign has moved fully into forced rollback.
They are not just trying to make Tehran stop.
They are trying to decide what Tehran is allowed to become after it stops.
That is a much harsher thing.
It means every negotiation from here is happening under a new reality. Iran is no longer bargaining only over current pain. It is bargaining while pieces of its future strategic ceiling are being cut away in real time. That changes the psychology of the whole conflict. The regime can still fire missiles, still posture, still create ugly headlines. But underneath that, it knows the board is being rewritten against it.
This also tells me the side doing the striking thinks it has escalation dominance. States do not hit this layer of the target set unless they believe they can absorb the consequences and control the pace better than the other side can. That is why this feels like late-phase coercion, not early-phase warning.
For the regime, this is deeply humiliating. It says the issue is no longer whether they can preserve the full revolutionary project. The issue is how much of that project survives at all. Once the future deterrent architecture starts getting carved up, the old illusion of strategic patience starts dying with it.
The deepest truth is this:
They are no longer fighting only to hurt Iran.
They are fighting to decide what kind of state Iran is allowed to be after the war.
The Spectator Index@spectatorindex
BREAKING: International Atomic Energy Agency says Iran's heavy water production plant at Khondab has sustained severe damage and is no longer operational
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@iranin_arabic How did this dead moron say this? From an Ouija board? 😂😂😂
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@RoaaWarStudies Blah Blah Blah!!! Sounds like Hitler screaming for Steiner. Imaginary forces and personnel left in Iran.
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@MOSSADil Iran can’t even pay its troops! Wonder how many of their 12 year old conscripts will just walk away.
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🚨 IRAN HITTING ECONOMIC BREAKING POINT
Iran is nearing the limits of its economic and military capacity as war talks stall and internal divisions deepen.
Even if fighting stopped today, officials assess the regime has been severely weakened and is approaching a potential collapse scenario. But continued pressure may not immediately bring it down.
Here’s what’s happening:
• Oil exports dropped from 2M+ barrels/day → ~1.2M
• Revenue down from ~$3B → ~$2B
• Inflation ~120% annually
• Currency collapsing
• Public workers unpaid, banks disrupted, ATMs running dry
Behind the scenes, Tehran is fractured:
President Pezeshkian and the political leadership are at odds with IRGC hardliners led by Ahmad Vahidi. Conflicting responses and internal power struggles are delaying any serious negotiations.
Iran demanded sanctions relief and partial reopening of the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for a ceasefire. Rejected.
However, limited oil flow to India and China is still being allowed, raising questions about broader U.S. strategy and global oil price considerations.
Meanwhile, billions in Iranian assets remain frozen abroad, including in the UAE following strikes on civilian and energy infrastructure.
Bottom line:
The regime is under extreme pressure—but not yet at the point of collapse.
The coming days will determine whether this turns into a negotiated end… or continued escalation.
Boost the algorithm: Bookmark, Share, Reply, Repost, Like and Follow @MOSSADil

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We are entering an extremely dangerous stage in the Gulf War.
OSINTtechnical@Osinttechnical
Iran says that US/Israeli forces bombed electric infrastructure in Tehran a short while ago, leading to major power outages.
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@middle_East_up Dude. This is a prayer group. We had those at FT. Hood when I served there. 😂
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@xagreat And how is that supposed PhD working out for his post? LOL.
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Iran warns the U.S. against a ground invasion as war drags on cbsn.ws/4sDa5E2
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@WarMonitor3 Oh like the two that were nailed yesterday? They sure made the night much brighter
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@EliAfriatISR They should stop smoking… didn’t they know smoking kills? 😂
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