Helmut Bazis

@sntryyyyy From this cartoon, I see that money works better and faster.

Rich with no education or educated with no money. what are you choosing? 🤔

That’s an oversimplification. Fertility differences aren’t about people “not thinking”. They’re about incentives. Higher education, higher income potential and higher living costs → higher opportunity cost → fewer children. Lower-income groups face lower opportunity cost and earlier family formation, so fertility is higher. This shows up consistently across countries — it’s basic economics, not a question of intelligence.

True

It actually does. Fertility differences are driven by opportunity cost, cost of living and risk — not just “affordability in a given year”. Poorer groups have lower opportunity cost and start families earlier. Middle class delays because a child is a 20-year financial commitment in an uncertain environment. That pattern exists across countries and decades. It’s not new and it doesn’t contradict falling fertility before 2010.

@SolidCryptoX @elonmusk That still doesn't explain why poorer people have more kids. Birth rates were falling before 2010.

You’re mixing short-term price moves with long-term economics — that’s why your conclusion fails. China’s fertility didn’t “fail to recover” because housing is irrelevant. It didn’t recover because affordability never actually recovered. Yes, nominal housing prices softened after 2021. But price-to-income is still extremely high, and raising a child costs ~538,000 yuan (~6.3× income baseline). That’s one of the highest burdens globally. Fertility didn’t drop for 1–2 years — it collapsed from ~1.3 to ~1.0 between 2016–2023 and kept falling despite subsidies. Now add behavior: • Youth unemployment hit ~20%+ • Career stability is collapsing • No one has visibility on 2–5 year income anymore And here’s the key point you’re missing: A child is a 20-year irreversible commitment. Income is volatile. Inflation compounds. Entire professions can disappear in 5 years. People aren’t optimizing for today’s prices. They’re optimizing for risk. That’s also why poorer groups have higher TFR — they have less to lose and lower opportunity cost. Middle class does the math: high cost + high uncertainty = delay or no kids. China doesn’t disprove cost pressure. It proves that once long-term affordability and stability break, fertility doesn’t bounce back just because prices tick down for a couple of years.

@SolidCryptoX @elonmusk It's been 5 years since 2021, and the fertility trend never recovered. If affordability really was the main factor, they should have seen a bump in birth rates. Affordability also doesn't explain why poorer people have a higher TFR than the middle/upper classes

This is a simplified example of how a chip card communicates with an ATM. It’s not a “code” like a PIN that gets sent and can be copied. It’s a sequence of APDU commands where the card generates a unique cryptographic response for each transaction. # 1. ATM selects the application on the card => 00 A4 04 00 07 A0 00 00 00 03 10 10 00 <= 6F ... 84 07 A0 00 00 00 03 10 10 ... 90 00 # 2. ATM requests processing options => 80 A8 00 00 02 83 00 00 <= 77 ... 82 02 38 00 94 08 08 01 01 00 10 01 01 00 90 00 # 3. ATM reads application records => 00 B2 01 0C 00 <= 70 ... 5A 08 XX XX XX XX XX XX XX XX ... 90 00 # 4. ATM asks the card to generate a transaction cryptogram => 80 AE 80 00 1D ... <= 77 ... 9F26 08 YY YY YY YY YY YY YY YY ... 90 00 What matters: - This is not protected by a 4-digit PIN alone. - The card generates a unique cryptographic signature for every transaction. - You can’t replay or reuse it. - The PIN is just one layer, not the core security. So no, saying “bank cards are weak because PIN = 4 digits” is just fundamentally wrong.

Bankers: “Quantum computing will break Bitcoin” Bitcoin:

That’s a shallow take. Yes, China has one of the lowest fertility rates in the world (~1.0–1.1). But your claim “housing got cheaper so it’s not about cost” completely ignores the actual data. Raising a child in China costs ~538,000 yuan — about 6.3× income baseline. That’s one of the highest burdens globally. Housing alone takes ~24.6% of household spending, and affordability has been getting worse, not better. When housing prices surged +54% between 2016–2021, birth rates dropped ~45% in the same period. And this isn’t theory — data shows that every +10% deterioration in housing affordability reduces the probability of having a child. So no — this isn’t “people just don’t want kids.” This is what happens when: • kids are insanely expensive • housing eats a huge chunk of income • affordability keeps getting worse China proves the opposite of your point: People don’t need to be rich to stop having kids. They just need life to become too expensive.

@SolidCryptoX @elonmusk China has one of the worst fertility rates in the world despite housing getting cheaper over there for the last few years. So it's definitely not that

@nachoz01 You’re confusing correlation with causation. Women earning more relative to men is not the cause of falling fertility. It’s happening at the same time for structural reasons: education, workforce participation, delayed family formation. But here’s what you’re missing: Fertility didn’t drop because women suddenly “outcompeted men”. It dropped because the cost of a normal life exploded: - housing - childcare - healthcare - education In many cases, two incomes became necessary just to maintain a baseline standard of living. So yes, female earnings went up. But not because families got rich. Because one income stopped being enough. That’s not empowerment replacing children. That’s economics squeezing families.

@SolidCryptoX @elonmusk

You’re using GDP per capita to explain fertility. That’s the wrong variable. People don’t raise children with GDP averages. They raise them with disposable income after housing, healthcare, education and taxes. US median household income is up only ~10% in real terms over 40 years. Meanwhile: housing: ~8x increase healthcare: ~5–6x increase college: up to 10x fuel: ~3–4x So no, people didn’t “just get richer and choose fewer kids”. The cost of a normal life exploded faster than incomes. Falling fertility isn’t a mystery. It’s a price signal.

the belief that birth rate is going down because of cost of living is statistically false birth rate drops most after countries become affluent it’s a self-defeating mechanism this is the final boss of civilization and has not yet been beaten

US median household income is up only ~10% in real terms over 40 years. Meanwhile: housing: ~8x increase healthcare: ~5–6x increase college: up to 10x fuel: ~3–4x So no, people didn’t “just get richer and choose fewer kids”. The cost of a normal life exploded faster than incomes. Falling fertility isn’t a mystery. It’s a price signal.

@HeroDividend Oh yeah, oil prices are crashing🫠

Can someone explain to me why oil prices are crashing?

@elonmusk Democracy with capitalism is not democracy at all

Democracy without secure elections is not democracy at all

@soy_muse Solana

You can only choose one

@grok @wnwshng889103 @confusing_wot So, the first one cannot browse?

@grok @Strg_World @IndianGems_ Don’t hide behind long texts, answer in one sentence not more than 4 words.

You just told me other information in previous answer. Looks like you are being cunning to not answer direct question, and now you are hiding behind the different dates, to make conversation to be very unclear. Stop fucking mine and others brain! You understand the context of the question for 100%. So now just answer the question, short and direct!

@grok @Strg_World @IndianGems_ Ok, so he told true in 1997 about Iran that will have nukes in 3-5 years?

@grok @Strg_World @IndianGems_ He told in 1996 that they have nuclear capability in 3 months, was it true?

@grok @Strg_World @IndianGems_ Hey, you are saying that Benjamin Netanyahu was lying to all the world since 1996 about Iran who will have nukes after 2-3 months?

@grok @Strg_World @IndianGems_ Ok, another war based on lies. Cool!