@MichaelDavLange 100%, the only question would be whether Alito/Thomas play ball.
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Hunter๐๐๐
34.9K posts
Hunter๐๐๐
@StatisticUrban
Data scientist โ MS in CS, stats, biochemistry โ Current Econ MS student โ ๐บ๐ธ๐ฉ๐ช๐ฌ๐ง Policy-centered tweets about tech, bio, urbanism, economics, & politics
United Kingdom ๊ฐ์
์ผ ลubat 2020
5.8K ํ๋ก์54.6K ํ๋ก์
@StatisticUrban What do you think the chances are of republicans forcing through a nomination between Election Day and new Congress day, if Dems win senate and Alito/Thomas retire and Rs scramble to fill seats?
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Here is the date of the announcement of the last 5 SCOTUS retirements.
- Sandra Day O'Connor: July 1
- David Souter: May 1
- John Paul Stevens: April 9
- Anthony Kennedy: June 27
- Stephen Breyer: January 27
We're still well within the period where Alito/Thomas could announce.
James๐ณ@_fat_ugly_rat_
Genuinely kind of shocked neither Alito or Thomas have retired yet. Why gamble with dems winning the Senate this year when you could retire now in your mid 70s and have a 100% chance of getting another conservative replacement.
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Of these, Breyer, Kennedy, and Stevens were all in a midterm election year.
Souter and O'Connor retired in an off-year.
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@BronxLaugher Need 67 Senate votes to convict even if that does happen.
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@StatisticUrban Impeachment will happen once Dems take the House, so the Senate doesn't matter as much.
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If Democrats manage to win 6/8 of these races, they win the Senate.
If they don't, it's lights out and two more years of unlimited Trump judges and cabinet picks.
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New from the WSJ: "Trump has become convinced that some of his administrationโs deportation policies have gone too far... and that voters donโt like the term โmass deportation.โ"
"...he wants to see more attention on arresting โbad guysโ and less chaos in American cities."
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@GaryWinslett They certainly cannot afford to continue their 2020-2024 trends with Latino voters.
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@StatisticUrban Whether they want to or not, Democrats need to think very hard about what policy positions (on both economic and cultural matters) can get them to majorities in these Sunbelt states. That may be A LOT more moderate than Dem primary base wants, but thereโs no way around it.
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Every single one of the 15 fastest-growing US major metropolitan areas is in the Sunbelt.
All 15 are also in a state Trump won. Only 5 are in swing states. Dallas and Houston added an entire Wyoming's worth of people.
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@isaiah_bb The median is a bit cheaper than that. But you're right that it's nowhere near $111k.
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Did you just say you think the median house in the US is $110,000?
Reniec@Reniec7
I always ask for any concrete examples of who can't afford what. And, I get nothing specific or if I do it's back to examples of unskilled workers. You need $111k for the median house. And less for half of the houses in the U.S. So 2 $50K salaries will get the you the median and less for half the houses. Show me the examples of non minimum wage workers that can't do this. My maid makes $60k. Her husband, a truck driver makes $80K. Give me your examples.
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Hunter๐๐๐ ๋ฆฌํธ์ํจ
there already was. they tortured that hairdresser and it was like, at most, 2 days of outrage
dead domain@DomainDead
Thereโs going to be an Abu Ghraib level exposure of the evil happening in ICE facilities in the next 12 months and nothing will be done.
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Unfortunately, Iran executed him today.
Hunter๐๐๐@StatisticUrban
Iran is set to execute this 19yo wrestler, Saleh Mohammadi, an international bronze medalist, for having peacefully taken part in protests against the government. Iranian authorities are targeting young athletes and protesters as a warning. What a horrific regime.
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@ferald_gord They are atrocious. Genuinely probably the worst non-gerrymandered districts in the nation.
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i know colorado has really awful maps, but i always forget how bad they are. douglas county makes absolutely no sense in this district lmao.
petah@pe_tsar
I've said it before, I'll say it again.. The fact that Lauren Boebert only won this R+24 seat by 11 points is INSANE Nowhere is safe for Lauren Boebert in Colorado, Dems need to fully invest in her opponent going into November
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The Crystal Ball moves a bunch of forecasts towards Dems.
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The 2% Biden people are just lying for the love of the game at this point lol.
Polling USA@USA_Polling
"Who deserves the most blame for rising gas prices?" Trump: 40% Iran: 9% Oil Companies: 8% Biden: 2% Prices Will Go Down Or Stay The Same: 33% YouGov / March 16, 2026
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Juliana Stratton will be the sixth Black woman to ever serve in the U.S. Senate
1. Carol Moseley Braun (IL)
2. Kamala Harris (CA)
3. Laphonza Butler (CA) โ appointed, never elected
4. Angela Alsobrooks (MD) โ currently serving
5. Lisa Blunt Rochester (DE) โ currently serving
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Who would you vote for in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?
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Warren has shown pretty good endorsement instincts this year. Let's see if her streak continues.
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