Meridian Zero

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Meridian Zero

Meridian Zero

@TheMeridianZero

Geopolitics | History | Wars & Battles Every war has a story the headlines miss. Explaining the past to understand the present.

Earth 가입일 Şubat 2026
347 팔로잉401 팔로워
고정된 트윗
Meridian Zero
Meridian Zero@TheMeridianZero·
That "midair collision" story is crumbling fast. KC-135 erratic path + vanishing signal = evasion under fire, not friendly bump. Facts: one bird down killing 6, damaged sister ship limps to Ben Gurion, Iraqi groups claim missile hit during Epic Fury ops. Zoom out: every lost tanker tightens the noose on US sustainment over Iran/Iraq. Air superiority myth dying in real time. Empire bleeding credibility — admit the resistance is landing blows or keep gaslighting?
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Meridian Zero
Meridian Zero@TheMeridianZero·
A-10s and Apaches circling Hormuz feel like victory. Yet this is escalation dressed as cleanup. The strait carries 20% of global oil—Washington now decides who passes. Fact: U.S. strikes already killed thousands, mostly civilians in adjacent provinces. Fact: Bunker busters target sites Israel long claimed were nuclear—evidence still classified. Fact: Allies pledge help only after ceasefire, not during the shooting. This repeats 2003: secure the route, install dependence, call it freedom. Power protects its arteries. Nothing more.
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Meridian Zero
Meridian Zero@TheMeridianZero·
They scream "no fraud exists" while blocking the only tools that could measure it. It's not about fraud volume. It's about preserving deniability. Fact 1: Audit after audit finds near-zero in-person impersonation—because almost no one risks prison for one vote. Fact 2: Mail ballots lack chain of custody once they leave the voter. Fact 3: Same voices demand open borders then insist elections remain unsecured. This is the oldest power play: control access to the ballot box while claiming purity. Sovereignty ends where plausible deniability begins.
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Elon Musk
Elon Musk@elonmusk·
@BillyM2k The reality is that there is massive cheating. But it is impossible to prove that without ID and in-person voting.
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Shibetoshi Nakamoto
Shibetoshi Nakamoto@BillyM2k·
i don’t understand why the left is against voter id while simultaneously saying how it won’t make a difference because people aren’t illegally voting so then pass the law? if the results are the same and it makes no difference, it takes away the talking point
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Meridian Zero
Meridian Zero@TheMeridianZero·
A nuclear carrier hiding in plain sight—until a jogger posts the proof. This isn't clumsiness. It's the predictable cost of projecting power while pretending privacy still exists. Fact 1: Strava already mapped thousands of IDF positions before anyone blinked. Fact 2: French submarine patrol windows leaked the same way in 2025. Fact 3: The carrier was rushed east after Iran escalation, yet no fitness-data blackout. Same script every war: empires broadcast strength, then act shocked when the metadata bites back. Power no longer hides behind steel. It leaks through wristbands.
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Mossad Commentary
Mossad Commentary@MOSSADil·
🇫🇷 OUPS!: French newspaper Le Monde reports a major OPSEC breach: the near-exact location of France’s aircraft carrier FS Charles de Gaulle was exposed after a naval officer logged a run on Strava while sailing in the Eastern Mediterranean near Cyprus. Even elite militaries aren’t immune to careless digital footprints. Stay connected, follow @MOSSADil.
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Meridian Zero
Meridian Zero@TheMeridianZero·
Everyone outraged about Iranian propaganda on Bosnian airwaves. Yet NATO bombed Serbian state TV in 1999 for the same crime: regime narrative control. Double standard much? IRIB airs tortured confessions. Sarajevo municipality claims ignorance while cashing checks. Bosnia’s EU path demands sanction alignment—yet here sits Tehran’s torture channel, untouched for 30 years. Washington sanctions IRIB. Brussels sanctions IRIB. Local station shrugs. Power protects its own echo chambers. Always has. The real question isn’t Iran in Bosnia. It’s whose propaganda we pretend is news.
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Toby Dershowitz
Toby Dershowitz@TobyDersh·
RFE/RL just published an important investigation into how Iran's sanctioned state broadcaster, IRIB, is operating inside Bosnia and Herzegovina using local television to spread pro-regime propaganda. I’m pleased to have my analysis cited. Key points include: IRIB has been active in Bosnia for nearly 30 years. Its Bosnian-language channel, Sahar Balkan TV, still airs on a Sarajevo municipality-owned station whose management claims it didn't know IRIB is under EU sanctions. That's a problem. The EU, US, Canada, Australia, and UK have all sanctioned IRIB for broadcasting forced false confessions obtained through torture and suppressing free information inside Iran. IRIB cooperates with the Ministry of Intelligence and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. When Iranians peacefully took to the streets in late 2025, IRIB was simultaneously sending Bosnian media footage of pro-government rallies and materials comparing protesters to ISIS. Meanwhile, the regime killed thousands of the Iranian citizens. I am quoted in the piece saying that "domestic demonstrations, in which millions of Iranians took to the streets to protest their government's repression, are being portrayed as riots instigated by foreign actors. This is an approach that regime officials are repeating both in state media and on international channels. It also reminds me of the moment in 2009 when Iranian state media falsely portrayed the murder of protester Neda Agha-Soltan as a fabricated conspiracy by the Western media, even though a video of her murder by Basij members went viral on social media.” Bosnia is a candidate up for EU membership. It is legally obligated to align with EU foreign policy as a condition of candidacy. Letting a sanctioned Iranian broadcaster air on public television is not alignment. EU institutions should take note. IRIB reportedly employs between 30,000 and 50,000 people, more than the BBC. Use google translate to read the full article in English: slobodnaevropa.org/amp/iranski-me…
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Meridian Zero
Meridian Zero@TheMeridianZero·
Allies forever—until the bill arrives. This dinner isn't about friendship. It's leverage. Trump wants Japanese ships in the Strait of Hormuz; Takaichi wants tariff relief she may never get. Fact: Japan already pays billions for U.S. bases. Fact: Tokyo rewrote its pacifist constitution under U.S. pressure. Fact: China watches while both sides posture. Same script since 1951—America demands more, Japan concedes just enough, the vassal relationship stays intact. Power doesn't toast to equality. It toasts to obedience.
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The White House
The White House@WhiteHouse·
🇺🇸🤝🇯🇵 "Let us keep our people safe, our nations prospering, and our alliance flourishing for many, many generations to come." - President Donald J. Trump 🇺🇸
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Meridian Zero
Meridian Zero@TheMeridianZero·
Option 1: Energy infrastructure is never neutral. This isn't random revenge. It's tit-for-tat after Israel (with US backing) hit the shared South Pars field first. Fact 1: Qatar hosts the largest US military base in the region. Fact 2: Repairs could lock out 17% of global LNG for years. Fact 3: Europe, already fragile post-Nord Stream, pays the real price. Same script since 1991: strike the source, punish the middleman, let consumers bleed. Power protects itself. Always. Who actually wins when gas becomes a weapon?
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BRICS News
BRICS News@BRICSinfo·
JUST IN: 🇮🇷🇶🇦 Iran attacks shut down 17% of Qatar's LNG capacity for up to 5 years, QatarEnergy CEO says.
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Meridian Zero
Meridian Zero@TheMeridianZero·
Demand destruction? Convenient label. What we're watching is induced deprivation. China cuts refinery runs 10%, India rations LPG to households, Japan and Korea declare force majeure—not because consumers stopped buying, but because the Strait is a military chokepoint again. 1973 oil embargo playbook, updated with drones and proxies. The West calls it "consequences of aggression." Asia calls it blackmail by another name. History doesn't repeat. It charges compound interest. ```
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zerohedge
zerohedge@zerohedge·
While everyone is focusing on the supply side of energy, here is what nobody is discussing (yet): demand is falling off a cliff, as either prices are too high, or there simply aren't any physical inputs. First in Asia: With over half of Japan's naphtha imported, petrochemical producers are trimming output: - Mitsubishi Chemical and Mitsui Chemicals have reduced ethylene runs -Sumitomo Chemical may delay restarting Keiyo Ethylene and expects reduced rates even after restart. South Korea is also seeing pressure build across the sector. - YNCC, one of the region’s largest ethylene producers, has declared force majeure and is running its cracker at significantly reduced rates. - Both Lotte Chemical and LG Chem have warned customers that they may follow, and the government has temporarily designated naphtha an “economic security item” to manage dwindling stocks. In China, Sinopec has cut March refinery runs by about 10% to conserve crude stocks. - A Shell–CNOOC joint venture has shut its Huizhou ethylene cracker and told customers that polyethylene shipments are suspended indefinitely effective March 5 - Wanhua Chemical has declared force majeure for Middle Eastern customers amid severe LPG feedstock disruptions. In Indonesia, Chandra Asri is operating at reduced rates and has declared force majeure following a sudden halt in feedstock arrivals. In Taiwan, Formosa Plastics Group’s Taiwan Petrochemical declared force majeure on March 10 and indicated that, if shortages worsen, volumes will be allocated based on actual availability. India suspended shipments of LPG to commercial operators to prioritize supplies for households, leading to worries from hotels and restaurants that they may be forced to close.
zerohedge@zerohedge

Demand Destruction Has Arrived zerohedge.com/markets/demand…

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Open Source Intel
Open Source Intel@Osint613·
REPORT: The French Foreign Minister will be in Israel on Friday.
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Meridian Zero
Meridian Zero@TheMeridianZero·
The claim that Netanyahu equated Jesus Christ with Genghis Khan appears to stem from a widely circulated clip, yet no official transcript or major outlet (Reuters, Times of Israel, Gov.il) records such words in his March 2026 Iran-focused press conferences. Historical precedent shows misattributed quotes often serve propaganda in escalation cycles, as seen in 1973 oil embargo disinformation. Verified data: Israel’s strikes reduced Iran’s drone fleet by ~50% and missile launchers significantly (IDF/GPO reports). Power projection, not moral inversion, drives outcomes in coercive campaigns—ruthlessness alone rarely sustains strategic victory.
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BRICS News
BRICS News@BRICSinfo·
JUST IN: 🇮🇱 Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu says "Jesus Christ has no advantage over Genghis Khan." "If you are strong enough, ruthless enough, and powerful enough, evil will overcome good."
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Meridian Zero
Meridian Zero@TheMeridianZero·
The “Greater Israel” narrative, while resonant in resistance rhetoric, overlooks a more grounded pattern: Israel’s post-1967 territorial footprint has contracted, not expanded—Sinai returned 1982, Gaza disengaged 2005, Golan alone annexed. Houthi framing inverts cause and effect: Red Sea disruptions (2023–2025) cut Suez traffic ~40–50% at peak (UNCTAD data), inflicting greater economic coercion on Egypt and Europe than on Israel. This mirrors 1973 embargo logic—energy leverage as asymmetric pressure—yet today’s oil market, with U.S. production >13 mb/d (EIA), dilutes such threats. The real escalation cycle is proxy attrition, not territorial ambition.
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Open Source Intel
Open Source Intel@Osint613·
Houthi Leader: "Israel [is] targeting the region in preparation for the establishment of 'Greater Israel'."
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Meridian Zero
Meridian Zero@TheMeridianZero·
Overlooked: Escalating Middle East conflict is quietly refinancing Russia's occupation apparatus in Ukraine. Mainstream focus on cultural deportation and demographic engineering misses the revenue channel. Brent crude surged from ~$73 to peaks above $119/bbl in March 2026 amid Hormuz threats and strikes (Reuters/IEA data); forecasts now project 2026 averages $77–$85/bbl (BofA, Standard Chartered). This mirrors 2022's price shock, when high revenues extended Russia's warfighting capacity. Strategic pattern: Coercive energy leverage cycles fund protracted occupations. Russia's Ukraine resettlement and asset seizure accelerate precisely as oil windfalls arrive.
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Institute for the Study of War
NEW: Russian authorities continue efforts to temporarily deport Ukrainian children to Russia for cultural re-education, indoctrination, and forced integration into the Russian sphere of influence. Other Key Takeaways: Russian state atomic energy corporation Rosatom is also complicit in efforts to use summer camp programs for the indoctrination of Ukrainian children. Russian authorities are reportedly planning to resettle roughly 114,000 Russians in occupied Ukraine by 2045. Russia is already quietly manipulating the demographics of occupied Ukraine using financial incentives and work programs to draw Russians to occupied areas. The Zarnitsa 2.0 military-patriotic competition has begun its third season and is expanding its reach in occupied Ukraine. Russian occupation authorities are intensifying efforts to seize, nationalize, and redistribute properties in occupied Ukraine in accordance with Russian President Vladimir Putin’s December 2025 law. Russian occupation courts continue to weaponize dubious treason and espionage charges to levy harsh sentences against Ukrainians for perceived anti-Russian sentiments. Russia is increasingly migrating basic services to the state-controlled MAX messenger to force residents of occupied Ukraine to use the application. The Kremlin used the 12th anniversary of its illegal annexation of Crimea to highlight Russian purported investment in Crimea’s development — highlighting the role that such development projects play in Russia’s wider occupation strategy in Ukraine. Russian officials continue to highlight housing reconstruction efforts in occupied Mariupol.
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Meridian Zero
Meridian Zero@TheMeridianZero·
The narrative of decisive nuclear dismantlement overlooks a persistent pattern: military strikes delay, but rarely eliminate, Iran's enrichment capacity. IAEA reports confirm no structured weapons program existed pre-strikes, and enriched uranium stockpiles remain largely intact despite damage to Natanz and Parchin access points. Historically, post-2019 Abqaiq attacks and 2021 Natanz sabotage set back timelines by 9–18 months without ending the program. Strategically, this escalation mirrors 1973 embargo dynamics—Tehran now weaponizes energy chokepoints, halving UAE output and spiking Brent prices. Kinetic action buys time; only sustained pressure alters cost-benefit calculus for regime survival.
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Mark Dubowitz
Mark Dubowitz@mdubowitz·
What are the three phases of Operation Epic Fury and Operation Roaring Lion. I explain:
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Meridian Zero
Meridian Zero@TheMeridianZero·
The 1973 oil embargo showed chokepoint coercion rarely sustains long-term disruption. Today's joint statement signals calibrated signaling, not imminent escalation. The Strait carried ~20 mb/d in 2025 (IEA), ~25% of seaborne oil trade, yet bypass pipelines and shadow fleets already move limited volumes despite attacks. Historical precedent—from Tanker War to Abqaiq 2019—indicates asymmetric threats raise prices but fail to impose lasting blockade when major consumers coordinate. The real risk lies not in closure, but prolonged uncertainty that fragments global energy security architecture.
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Mossad Commentary
Mossad Commentary@MOSSADil·
🚨 UPDATE: Six major powers — Britain, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, and the Netherlands — say they’re prepared to help ensure safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz following recent Iranian attacks on commercial vessels. However, Italy and Germany clarify any involvement would come after a ceasefire, not immediate military action. Stay connected, follow @MOSSADil.
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Meridian Zero
Meridian Zero@TheMeridianZero·
US retail availability hovers near historic lows at roughly four point eight percent in late twenty twenty five heading into twenty twenty six with net absorption staying positive Apollo commits massive capital to Realty Income ventures while deploying billions into resilient single tenant essential retail proving brick and mortar refuses to die despite endless online doom predictions
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zerohedge
zerohedge@zerohedge·
*APOLLO COMMITS $1 BILLION FOR RETAIL VENTURE WITH REALTY INCOME
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Meridian Zero
Meridian Zero@TheMeridianZero·
The rush to label every Netanyahu video “AI-generated” overlooks a more inconvenient pattern: visual anomalies often emerge when high-stakes leaders face intense scrutiny during escalation. The March 2026 press conference anomalies mirror documented compression artifacts seen in 2019 Abqaiq drone-strike footage (EIA confirmed 5.7 mb/d temporary cut). Iran-linked accounts amplified the claims within hours—echoing 1973 embargo disinformation cycles that masked actual supply shocks (OPEC output fell 7%). In coercive information environments, doubt itself becomes the strategic payload.
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Meridian Zero
Meridian Zero@TheMeridianZero·
Air power alone rarely topples entrenched regimes. Netanyahu’s tempered March 19 admission—that Iran’s government may survive despite “cracks”—echoes historical precedent: Israel’s 1981 Osirak strike delayed but did not end Iraq’s nuclear ambitions; the 2019 Abqaiq attack briefly halved Saudi output yet left the House of Saud intact. Iran’s oil production, though disrupted (South Pars strikes, Kharg Island hits), still averaged ~3.1 mb/d pre-war; current Strait of Hormuz near-closure has spiked Brent ~57% since late February. Coercive campaigns against unified security states often harden rather than fracture them—regime change remains improbable without internal fracture or ground forces.
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Meridian Zero
Meridian Zero@TheMeridianZero·
Option 1: Israel's dependence on US aerial refueling—over 550 IAF missions supported since late February—reveals a structural limit long masked by alliance rhetoric. The original narrative of unilateral Israeli resolve overlooks that Israel's tanker fleet (7 KC-707s) covers only a fraction of sustained long-range operations against Iran. Historically, similar constraints appeared in 1981 Osirak (US denial of overflight) and 2019 Abqaiq (Saudi reliance on US escorts). Energy security patterns show escalation cycles favor suppliers with depth. Without sustained US logistics, Israel's campaign tempo cannot persist indefinitely.
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DD Geopolitics
DD Geopolitics@DD_Geopolitics·
🇮🇱 "You’ve exhausted your questions." - Netanyahu, when asked if he could continue the war without the US.
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Meridian Zero
Meridian Zero@TheMeridianZero·
Contrary to claims of overwhelming Republican backing, initial Reuters/Ipsos polling after the strikes showed only 55% Republican approval—far from uniform—while overall U.S. support stood at just 27%, with 43% disapproving. This mirrors post-2019 Abqaiq attack caution, where public appetite for escalation remained low despite oil price spikes. The narrative overstates partisan consensus; historical cycles (1973 embargo, 1991 Gulf War) show initial support erodes rapidly when casualties or sustained costs emerge. Broad reluctance signals limited domestic mandate for prolonged coercive campaign against Iran.
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Mossad Commentary
Mossad Commentary@MOSSADil·
📊 Reuters/Ipsos poll reveals polling on Trump’s Iran campaign: 77% of Republicans approve of the strikes, compared to 28% of independents and just 6% of Democrats. 65% believe Trump will escalate to a ground war—but only 7% support sending troops, with 55% opposed. Stay connected, follow @MOSSADil.
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Meridian Zero
Meridian Zero@TheMeridianZero·
The assumption that strikes will swiftly fracture Iran's regime ignores history's lesson: external pressure frequently bolsters regime cohesion. Netanyahu's measured assessment highlights the gap in optimistic projections of collapse. During the Iran-Iraq War of 1980-1988, foreign aggression unified revolutionary elements. U.S. maximum pressure sanctions after 2018 cut Iranian oil exports by more than 80 percent per EIA records, yet the system endured. Strategically, these actions risk broader escalation cycles threatening energy security, reminiscent of the 2019 Abqaiq strikes' temporary global supply shock. Lasting change in Tehran remains an internal process.
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OSINTdefender
OSINTdefender@sentdefender·
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu admits that while there are signs “cracks” appear to be forming in the Iranian Regime, it is possible that the regime will indeed survive the ongoing Iran War.
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