Trading Singularity

Congratulations to everyone who stuck to the plan and stayed patient! $SPY and $QQQ finally closed decisively under the weekly pocket (shaded area with dots). The indicator will trigger a SHORT signal on Monday unless there is a massive recovery during the weekend. Inflation is skyrocketing. Gas and oil are up 40% in the US and more in Europe. The war with Iran isn't getting any better (no quick resolution in sight yet). Weekly RSI is rapidly declining (now at 40). When we reached that level in March 2025, the market bounced up to the 13 EMA (green line) and then dumped another 15% to an RSI of 28. This pattern repeats very often. For some reason, big players leave the market to move from level to level. These are the big waves I'm always talking about. Of course, we never know what will happen. The market has previously bounced and fully recovered from these levels (see October 2023). But in most cases, once we come down here, we drop even further all the way down to around 30 RSI. So, there is a high likelihood this will happen again. Strategy 3.0 helped us skip much of the pain in the last month. If we had introduced it sooner, we would've been able to take advantage in the Energy sector pump. But, we work with what we have now. The time to short this market (in my opinion) will come once we retrace back to the 13 EMA or the weekly pocket. It's very easy to get a pump from the current levels since Daily RSI is now at 30 and one post from Trump can literally push us up 2% in one day (individual stocks will see massive gains when that happens). But unless there is a total resolution with Iran, I don't see this market fully recovering before we drop further. It's a great feeling, staying cash heavy when stocks are falling like that. But it's also one of the most difficult things to do. So I want to congratulate you for staying patient and sticking to the plan. Most people (including many pros) were blindly buying the pumps and are now down 15-25% since last month.

Got kicked in the face today. 🔴 Day 54 -$8,959 💵 $100K to $1M Day Trading Challenge Account +66.6% Gave back 5% of the account. Broke the big winning streak with a max loss. The system didn't work today and I just kept digging that grave. We either win or we learn.

🟢 Day 53 +$3,015 💵 $100K to $1M Day Trading Challenge Account +75.6% We just traded the toughest day of the month. We barely managed to close green, but not everyone in the community did because of the quick ins and outs. Looking forward to cleaner price movement.

🟢 Day 52 +$1,545 💵 $100K to $1M Day Trading Challenge Account +72.6% Up $1.5k during the livestream and $4.9k total on the day after a few more late trades before market close. You can learn the full strategy in free video replays on our website.

🟢 Day 51 +$2,809 💵 $100K to $1M Day Trading Challenge Account +71% Massive day for the system but I wasn't here for the big moves. Account +8.4% this week after +10.5% last week. You can learn the full strategy in free video replays on our website.

Why I'm not buying yet... The 4h and Daily charts on $SPY and $QQQ look terrible. Options flow does too. Whales use every pump to reload shorts and price makes a new low several days later, dragging most individual stocks down. Waiting is the most painful thing in swing trading. The fear of missing out is real. Every pump feels like we're missing the train and it hurts. That's exactly how it felt in Q1 2025 when the charts looked very similar (see the last image below). I'm not saying we will get a repeat of April 2025 - although we might. But I am saying that we haven't experienced such weakness since then and the chart is looking as ugly as ever. The war is not the only reason the markets are bleeding. It's overextension, exhaustion, capital reallocation, a weakening labor market, and now more inflation due to rising gas prices and the war. It's very hard for me to wait and not buy in some of these discounts. It was very hard in 2025. And I may be wrong - that might be the bottom. If it is, the charts and options flow will start showing so. Until they do, I will wait for more confirmation or deeper discounts. There is a long way to go for SPY and QQQ if things continue deteriorating. If they start reaching for the next big support level below, we will get massive discounts compared to what we have now. If we don't, I would've missed on 5-10% extra gains. That's part of the game. We will never get it 100% right. And we don't need to. We can still beat the market by a lot by riding the big waves and being more conservative when we enter the danger zone. Otherwise, we'll just be part of the 99% statistics that post the type of memes saying: "Buy the dip!" "With what?" In April 2025, I bought the actual dip with 95% of my net worth - because it was liquid and available. Most traders were deeply red by then. and were forced to wait a long time to recover their paper losses. Most of the pro traders that I pay to follow are down 5-15% in the last few weeks even after today's recovery. Not losing money in times like these is key to growing our accounts. Our new system will help us position better for the next such cycle so we can ride sector ETFs that are expanding during uncertainty - like Energy and Materials this time around. But it's too late to apply that strategy now because sectors are either overextended or already bleeding hard. Swing trading is 95% patience and 5% execution. That's the only thing that makes it difficult once you have a good system to follow. The market is creating opportunities now. I'll go all in the moment the dust starts clearing off.

🟢 Day 50 +$5,093 💵 $100K to $1M Day Trading Challenge Account +68.2% The charts were tough today, so I stayed out for most of the action. Started with a loser and caught five small winners after that to close the day nicely green.

🟢 Day 49 +$106 💵 $100K to $1M Day Trading Challenge Account +63.1% Today would've been a beauty for our Day Trading system, but I wasn't available for the good setups later in the day. $SPY & $QQQ provided >200% moves. Will be back in full force livestreaming on Monday.

🟢 Day 48 +$3,480 💵 $100K to $1M Day Trading Challenge Account +63% Strategy gave 4 perfect setups today. No livestreams this week as I'm away from the main trading station. Still trying to put in a few trades every day when setups look strong.

Why I'm not buying yet... The 4h and Daily charts on $SPY and $QQQ look terrible. Options flow does too. Whales use every pump to reload shorts and price makes a new low several days later, dragging most individual stocks down. Waiting is the most painful thing in swing trading. The fear of missing out is real. Every pump feels like we're missing the train and it hurts. That's exactly how it felt in Q1 2025 when the charts looked very similar (see the last image below). I'm not saying we will get a repeat of April 2025 - although we might. But I am saying that we haven't experienced such weakness since then and the chart is looking as ugly as ever. The war is not the only reason the markets are bleeding. It's overextension, exhaustion, capital reallocation, a weakening labor market, and now more inflation due to rising gas prices and the war. It's very hard for me to wait and not buy in some of these discounts. It was very hard in 2025. And I may be wrong - that might be the bottom. If it is, the charts and options flow will start showing so. Until they do, I will wait for more confirmation or deeper discounts. There is a long way to go for SPY and QQQ if things continue deteriorating. If they start reaching for the next big support level below, we will get massive discounts compared to what we have now. If we don't, I would've missed on 5-10% extra gains. That's part of the game. We will never get it 100% right. And we don't need to. We can still beat the market by a lot by riding the big waves and being more conservative when we enter the danger zone. Otherwise, we'll just be part of the 99% statistics that post the type of memes saying: "Buy the dip!" "With what?" In April 2025, I bought the actual dip with 95% of my net worth - because it was liquid and available. Most traders were deeply red by then. and were forced to wait a long time to recover their paper losses. Most of the pro traders that I pay to follow are down 5-15% in the last few weeks even after today's recovery. Not losing money in times like these is key to growing our accounts. Our new system will help us position better for the next such cycle so we can ride sector ETFs that are expanding during uncertainty - like Energy and Materials this time around. But it's too late to apply that strategy now because sectors are either overextended or already bleeding hard. Swing trading is 95% patience and 5% execution. That's the only thing that makes it difficult once you have a good system to follow. The market is creating opportunities now. I'll go all in the moment the dust starts clearing off.

The odds of the US entering recession are rising: The probability of a recession over the next 12 months jumped to 48.6% in February, the highest since the 2020 pandemic. The percentage has risen +15 points over the last 6 months. This is based on the leading economic indicator invented by Moody’s, which uses extensive economic data and a machine learning model. The recent surge was primarily driven by the deteriorating job market, with nearly all economic data softening since the end of 2025. Historically, such a high probability has never occurred outside of recessions. Now with oil prices surging in March, the indicator is expected to breach the key 50% threshold, as every recession since WWII, except the pandemic, was preceded by a spike in oil prices. The longer oil prices remain elevated, the higher the chance of an economic downturn.

8 green days in a row. 🟢 Day 47 +$1,744 💵 $100K to $1M Day Trading Challenge Account +59.6% Took two quick trades today on $SPY options and spent the rest of the day with the family. It was a beautiful day for the system with amazing opportunities. The future is bright!