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We are not messing around at the moment! 😍
Flying already in 2026 💪
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Danny Wolf Tips
37.9K posts
🏆 Arsenal v Man City £5 money back offer 🚀
May get this wildly wrong but think it's worth going against shots here.
Recent H2Hs: 17, 19, 38, 18, 16, 15, 22, 19, 13
The 38 was when Trossard got sent off and City had 33 shots, 28 of which came in the second half as they chased the game.
There were only 15 when they met in the Community Shield at Wembley. The 13 was also in a cup tie at the Etihad.
Could easily turn out to be a cagey affair and I think Arteta would be more than happy with that.
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🏴 Spurs v Nottm Forest 25% boost & ladder 🪜
Tottenham under Tudor (starting with most recent):
Throws: 22, 25, 21, 22, 22, 30
Shots: 18, 13, 11, 12, 13, 6
FK’s against: 17, 14, 13, 14, 15, 17
Only 6 shots against Arsenal but aside from that game, they’ve posted big numbers in all three departments and I’m not sure the market has caught up.
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🏴 Brighton v Liverpool bet builder ladder 🪜
💰 1u / 0.5u / 0.25u
Gross makes 2.13 tackles per 90, and this looks a good chance for him to make more than that, as LFC allow lots of tackles to opposition midfielders.
Lemina and Torreira had 6 each across the two legs for Galatasaray. Gomes and Andre had 6 and 5 in the Wolves league game alone. Anderson and Sangare 4 & 6. Plenty of other midfielders with 6+ in 2026 (Florentino had 9!).
Hinshelwood fouls look solid too. He commits 2.09 per 90. Had 2 at Anfield in the FA Cup and 3 at the same ground in the league reverse fixture.
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🏴 Fulham v Burnley 25% boost 🚀
Bassey fouls drawn: 4, 1, 3, 1, 2, 3, 1.
Flemming commits 2.37 per 90 so this looks a nice match-up, with Bassey's willingness to carry the ball forward from the back presenting lots of foul opportunities.
Fulham's form has stuttered in recent times and this is a chance to get back on track. The weakened team they fielded in the FA Cup suggests they're still highly motivated to finish as well as possible in the league, so expect them to get plenty of shots off here in front of their home fans.
Jimenez gets 2.59 shots off per 90 at home, with 2+ landing with super sub in each of his last eight at Craven Cottage.
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🏴 Leeds v Brentford 25% boost 🚀
Leeds opponents are caught offside 2.33 times on average at Elland Road.
Only twice have Daniel Farke's side failed to cover the shots/shots on target line here - against Arsenal recently and vs Newcastle in August.
Brentford don't give away many free-kicks. Only Newcastle managed to win more than 16 when they hosted the Bees, so 18.5 gives us a nice cushion.
Keith Andrews' side have picked up a card in every away fixture though.
There were 46 throws in the reverse fixture, and with both sides averaging over 37 per match, I'm happy to include over 32.5 as a selection.
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Main line ✅
Couple Bournemouth tackles short on the long shot as the player props sailed in!
Danny Wolf Tips@WolfsTips
🏴 Bournemouth v Man United 💰 1u / 0.5u We've had some joy with Bournemouth tackles recently and I'm happy to go down that route again, especially against a United side that draws 16.5 tackles per game. Truffert makes 2.74 per 90, with 2+ copping in 18 of his last 22. Bar the loss against Everton, the Cherries have been reliable for shots at the Vitality. They've reached double figures in all other home contests, with Tavernier and Scott's numbers catching the eye as of late. They're averaging 3.32 and 2.15 per 90 respectively in 2026.
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🏴 Everton v Chelsea £5 money back offer 🚀
This bet landed in Everton's trip to Arsenal last week.
1.63 and 1.65 shots per 90 in 2026. Gueye is registering 1.15 per 90 outside the box across that span, with 0.38 hitting the target.
Dewsbury-Hall has managed shots on target outside the box in successive games now, and he seems to have found his confidence again having recovered from injury and netted against Fulham and Burnley.
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🏴 Bournemouth v Man United
💰 1u / 0.5u
We've had some joy with Bournemouth tackles recently and I'm happy to go down that route again, especially against a United side that draws 16.5 tackles per game. Truffert makes 2.74 per 90, with 2+ copping in 18 of his last 22.
Bar the loss against Everton, the Cherries have been reliable for shots at the Vitality. They've reached double figures in all other home contests, with Tavernier and Scott's numbers catching the eye as of late. They're averaging 3.32 and 2.15 per 90 respectively in 2026.
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No Fernandez but with the boost it’s 1.875 without him. Fine letting that run
Danny Wolf Tips@WolfsTips
🇪🇺 Aston Villa vs Lille 25% boost 🚀 29 free-kicks were awarded in the first leg - hardly a surprise given that each of these teams draw over 13 fouls per game on average. Should be plenty here too as the tie is still close and lots to play for. Rogers was particularly fired up in Lille, committing three fouls. He makes 1.27 per 90 and given how many fouls Lille defenders draw, he looks a good shout to keep up that trend here. We'll have to keep an eye on lineups but Fernandez is expected to start and he's often keen to get shots off. He takes 2.3 per 90, with his numbers high regardless of whether he plays up front or out wide. Expect Lille to force a save out of Martinez as they seek a way back into the tie.
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🇪🇺 Aston Villa vs Lille 25% boost 🚀
29 free-kicks were awarded in the first leg - hardly a surprise given that each of these teams draw over 13 fouls per game on average. Should be plenty here too as the tie is still close and lots to play for.
Rogers was particularly fired up in Lille, committing three fouls. He makes 1.27 per 90 and given how many fouls Lille defenders draw, he looks a good shout to keep up that trend here.
We'll have to keep an eye on lineups but Fernandez is expected to start and he's often keen to get shots off. He takes 2.3 per 90, with his numbers high regardless of whether he plays up front or out wide. Expect Lille to force a save out of Martinez as they seek a way back into the tie.
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🇪🇺 Cross-match fouls/cards doubles 🏆
Using Ladbrokes for the fouls and bet365 for the cards here.
Please keep an eye on team news as will need to cash out on Ladbrokes if Kerkez doesn't start. Would be surprised if that's the case though - Robertson hasn't started back-to-back games since November and he was awful on Sunday.
Kerkez has committed two fouls in both Liverpool's matches with Galatasaray this season, and was shown a card in Istanbul last week. Should once again be up against Yilmaz, who draws 2.08 fouls per 90.
Will pair him up with Joelinton. 0.49 cards and 2.17 fouls per 90 this season, opposing a Barcelona midfield that draws plenty.
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🇪🇺 Liverpool v Galatasaray 30% boost 🚀
The Reds' team shots lines are understandably pretty high tonight but by getting some players on side too we can get a palatable price.
Salah at Anfield post AFCON: 3, 3, 5, 5, 2, 4
When Gravenberch has played in midfield, he's had 18 shots in his last 10 starts at home. 1+ landed in 10/10.
Szoboszlai 2.48 per 90 at Anfield and obviously on free-kicks etc.
When chasing games, Liverpool's opponents have been racking up huge goal kick counts, often in double figures. Arne Slot's side average almost 10 second half shots too.
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Bang! What a night!! 😍
BIG WIN with my ACCA! 💥
Also, followed @WolfsTips for a tasty little bet-builder too. Make sure you follow him!
#footballbetting #footballacca #accawins #bettingtips #footballtips #winner
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Palacios card!
Just need the Gunners to hold on to the victory for a 4.25/1 winner 🙏
Danny Wolf Tips@WolfsTips
🇪🇺 Arsenal v Bayer Leverkusen 25% boost on William Hill 🚀 Boost gets us to a lovely price here. Palacios booked 0.38 per 90 this season. Small sample but plenty of fouls drawn in the Arsenal midfield especially with Eze in the side.
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🇪🇺 Arsenal v Bayer Leverkusen £10 money back offer 🚀
The Gunners didn't offer much in an attacking sense in the first leg but expecting the handbrake to come off here given their shots output in recent home games.
As usual, set pieces will be key and Gabriel looks a big price to find the target from one. He gets 1.08 shots off per 90 at home.
Rice also has far more efforts at the Emirates than on the road. 1.44 per 90 in North London.
Zubimendi is at 0.96 per 90 at home, with 5 shots in his last four appearances there.
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