@bluelemxnade ?
We’ve seen Franz solo work
And it might be better than Franz 2nd option
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yimoe
5.7K posts
This wisdom was written in the NBA twitter Psalms already but the people are blind
keyhoops@keybarhoops
Deni: great FTr gives him a bit to work with, good spot up guy, lost his defense, high TO, still mid Jalen: Great rebounder, trans. Demon, high TO, bad off ball, still mid Franz: Plays defense, can’t shoot, off-ball cutting which is low volume, low TO, upper mid Paolo: .
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yimoe 리트윗함
@CousinTurn @SpecialPuppy1 Missing time in the RS has little impact on team winning chances
If you wasn’t beating that team you likely weren’t winning anyways
Game too strenuous on stars to tax anyone for missing games imo
Unless you’re bad like Kawhi or Embiid
In the ps it’s a different story
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@Yim0e @SpecialPuppy1 they matter to me, it’s still value. winning games is good. affecting outcomes is good. i agree that playing more doesn’t make you “better” but it does make you more “valuable” or “impactful”
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@CousinTurn @SpecialPuppy1 missing regular seaon games doesnt matter
jordan/bron both high minute players in the ps
jordan 41.8, bron 41.3
i think bron more if you adjust for eras
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@SpecialPuppy1 yeah. LeBrons longevity is obviously huge and his peak was also monstrous but it cannot be understated how much extra value was added by Jordan NEVER missing games in his prime. it’s actually unbelievable the load he carried
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Jordan is the GOAT and the funniest part is it’s not for any of the reasons 99% of people who call him the GOAT think.
from 87-93 he displayed the most insane combo of skill, athleticism, durability, resilience, impact, production, and Value Added OAT. impossible to replicate
Ash ™️@ash4nd1021
MJ had a 9 year run verging 33/6/6/3/1 with a serious two way motor he is not respected enough as a PRA demon as much as he should
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yimoe 리트윗함
Someone said that Tobias Harris was a lot worse in the playoffs. Most good players drop off, frankly. His drop-off isn't terrible. Selected players below, last 6 yrs.
- Gobert's decline on D
- LeBron, Ant get better
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@A3per_ @patelsahil2002 @RK_DRAFT Nah it’s free throws.
Plus free throws more effected by luck as players rarely deviate from their true ft%
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@RK_DRAFT Practically speaking 3p% is by far the easiest variable to control for so I get why it's done, I'm just not a big proponent of that tho
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100% adjustment and padding with over 1k minutes what are we even doing here?
Fuck it lets just assume every lineup ever is a net neutral and any deviation is variance 👊
𝐔𝐍𝐂@notwashedcnu
I like my 3PT luck adjusted thank you very much
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Just added 5 year windows for goals and xG
yimoe@Yim0e
G-RAPM now includes ucl data. Here is xG-RAPM as well. Improved my model so keeper ratings look better in the xG one. Can keep fiddling with it but ultimately going to add a prior next time g-RAPM is last 15 years i think. xG-RAPM is 2014/15–2025/26 docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
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@M0MO_N Uh hard to explain but imagine this with 22 players instead of 10
substack.com/inbox/post/185…
youtu.be/5WRe6SoBh3g?si…
YouTube
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G-RAPM now includes ucl data. Here is xG-RAPM as well. Improved my model so keeper ratings look better in the xG one. Can keep fiddling with it but ultimately going to add a prior next time
g-RAPM is last 15 years i think.
xG-RAPM is 2014/15–2025/26
docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
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@kmedved @ARKNDJL Bad model I'm guessing. There's not a lot of stints to separate players properly on offense and defense and defenders/keepers get rated to high on offense. One idea is to 0 out the O values for keepers but that doesnt feel right. Tuning the weighting for keepers is probably
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15 Year Soccer G-RAPM. Top 5 League Only don't pay too much attention to the O/D split. Might post stint data later.
Someone please let me know if my email is shared. Very rudimentary will improve it soon hopefully.
docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
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@Loek_ty___2 Just goals hence G-RAPM. Currently working on an xG version. Only issue is the source I use doesnt have champions league data
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@Yim0e Really cool, like what are these even based off of like xg
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@Rajdeep_C_18 @Stan_Incarnated Yes. But over time the best creators rack up higher xa
You can show cases where xa capture creativity better than xag as well
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xA without context is one of the most overhyped stats of all time. It doesn’t really capture ‘creativity’ the way people think.
The image below is a perfect example of how flawed xA can be-it overrates simple high-probability passes while undervaluing difficult & creative ones.
Diving 🇱🇧🇨🇦🇹🇷@DivingxDown
Olisé has 5 more xA than Yamal in league + UCL 👍 not all bcc are equal.
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@imzispoms mismatched and lewa came clear, and peak real just as dominant as bayern were just real had a close competitor.
youtu.be/dachHO8kPcE?si…
YouTube
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Lewandowski's stats presented without comment:
🇵🇱:
When the tie is level/losing
• 25 90s
• 10 goals (0.4)
• 1 assist (0.04)
🧲@legayushv2
Karim Benzema in UCL KOs (08-22) When leading • 27.6 90s • 14 goals (0.50) • 5 assists (0.18) When the tie is level/losing • 28.4 90s • 20 goals (0.70) • 2 assists (0.07) All timer UCL performer.
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@imzispoms anyways think the best adjustments you can make are like team goal contribution % or clutch % while favoring players who scored more all else being equal.
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@imzispoms his teams historically dominated and he won everywhere he went to and showed floor raising abilities with his country.
(never ask a benzema fan about his international pedigree #15)
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