ARCKEA

🧵 1/5 - ST status: reality check According to our data, only ~20% of projects that receive ST (Special Treatment) status on exchanges manage to recover and exit it. ~80% don’t make it. ST is not temporary by default. For most, it’s the beginning of the end. #CryptoMarket

Bitcoin uses elliptic curve cryptography (ECDSA), which is considered secure against classical computers. However, Shor’s algorithm theoretically allows quantum computers to solve these problems much faster. This creates a potential attack vector in the future.

The main event of March: Meta acquires the Moltbook project with the $MOLT token. On March 11, they confirmed the acquisition. $MOLT is building an entire ecosystem of AI agents, where many projects have their own tokens and internal economies - such as $ODAI.

The more countries are under sanctions, the more they turn to crypto. Iran is a clear example: → ~7.5% of Bitcoin’s total hashrate in 2021 → ~2–3% today - still a meaningful share

3. Liquidity doesn’t come back Capital doesn’t “believe again” - it looks for new stories with higher upside. Money doesn’t rotate back into old alts.

2. Narratives die Every cycle brings new trends. DeFi → NFTs → AI → what’s next Old tokens simply lose attention.

90% of altcoins from the previous cycle will never make a new ATH. Reasons 👇

Now more than ever, it’s worth revisiting Elliott Wave Theory. Elliott’s model describes the market as repeating cycles driven by crowd psychology. ➡️ 1–2–3–4–5 (trend move up or down) ➡️ A–B–C (correction)

We will not see $POL at $0.5 and here's why: MATIC had a fixed supply, while POL is inflationary; Strong L2 competition (Arbitrum, OP, Base); The market is gradually losing interest; If MATIC traded above $1, then the potential of $POL is 1 cent.

Most coins will not survive until 2027 #crypto

Why DEX will never fully replace CEX DEX gives you custody. CEX gives you infrastructure. Deep liquidity, tighter spreads, fiat rails, compliance, institutional access - that’s where CEX dominates. DEX is freedom. CEX is efficiency.

When should a spread be considered wide? Up to 0.1% - optimal 0.1–1% - excellent, strong liquidity for smaller markets 1–2% - acceptable for low-cap pairs 🚫 Above 2% - dangerous for trading. High execution costs and weak market depth. Spread defines market quality.

Spread is the clearest indicator of market quality. Tight spread = strong liquidity, real competition between buyers and sellers. Wide spread = weak depth, higher slippage, unstable price. Before looking at volume, look at the spread.

Without a Market Maker, a token often “dies” after listing. No liquidity → wide spreads. Thin order books → small trades crash the price. Early holders dump → panic starts. Trust fades. Listing ≠ market. Without structure and two-sided liquidity, there’s no real market.

A few months ago, we published a post about tokens in the assessment zone on MEXC. Here's what happened to them: 💀 $GURU - delisted $ORDS - delisted $LINE - delisted

AMM / Simple Example: Let’s imagine a $SHIB / $DOGE pool. It contains: 100 SHIB 100,000 DOGE The price of SHIB = $1,000 Why? Because the asset ratio is 1:1000. Now the formula: x * y = k Where: x — amount of SHIB y — amount of DOGE k — constant In our case: 100 * 100,000 = 10,000,000 This number does not change. Now someone buys 10 SHIB SHIB in the pool decreases. DOGE increases. Let’s say after the trade the pool has: 90 SHIB 111,111 DOGE Check: 90 * 111,111 ≈ 10,000,000 The constant is preserved. But now the price of SHIB: 111,111 / 90 = $1,234 The price increased. This is the classic AMM model used in Uniswap v2 pools. In an AMM, there is only a formula and the asset balance. The larger the buy, the stronger the ratio changes. That’s why large trades cause slippage.

@BillionAireSon Where Shibarium and Velas ?

Dead projects: - Monad - Starknet - Zksync - Srcoll - Aleo - Mina - Linea - Boba network – Aptos – Cosmos – NEAR – Rootstock – Cardano – Stellar – Cronos – Axelar – Astar – Bittensor – Celo – Zircuit – EOS – Sonic – Injective – Kaia – Kava – Lisk – Metis – Tezos - Wormhole - Movement - Kinto - Celestia - Blast - PIN AI - Midas - Kinto - Metis - 0G - Polygon zkEVM - Berachain - Story These chains were so popular at some point

$BERA surged +45% in the past 24 hours. Over the week, it’s up +86% ! Everyone expected a dump after the unlock of 63.7 million BERA (about 41% of the circulating supply), but it didn’t happen. The unlock that everyone feared became fuel for the pump. Price broke above the psychological $1 level but failed to hold. Let’s see whether it can maintain support around the $0.70 area.

Top projects in MultiversX ecosystem 👇 $MEX - the flagship DEX and the main source of DeFi liquidity on MultiversX, listing only vetted tokens. $BOBER - a community-driven token with its own ecosystem, where issuance and development are fully governed by the community. $XOXNO - a leading DeFi aggregator in MultiversX, combining NFT infrastructure, trading, and ecosystem tools. The ecosystem looks promising 👀 Which project would you add to this list?

Markets don’t crash on facts. They crash on narratives people believe.

Right now, the Epstein files feel like a black swan for the global economy. Why did Bitcoin drop below $70,000 exactly now? Why has it lost nearly 20% of its value in just 7 days? Why is there growing discussion around Vitalik Buterin selling ETH? Altcoins are bleeding and printing new lows. Many of them are priced as if Bitcoin were still trading around $16,000. Take Polygon as an example - one of the most widely used networks with a massive ecosystem, processing around 6 million transactions daily, and hosting one of the most popular prediction platforms, Polymarket. Yet the $POL token continues to hit new lows.