

codon.pro
1.7K posts

@codon_pro
Trading Architect | Founder @ https://t.co/m6BsM6mnYw Building precision Pine Script v6 frameworks. Turning market noise into executable structures. Logic over sentiment.






I was wrong. We've been in a bear market for the last 4 years. Here's a video talking about that. Timestamps 00:00 The 4 Year Bear Market 04:30 Comparing #NASDAQ and #Gold 09:00 This chart blew my mind! #NASDAQ/#Gold 14:05 US M2 money supply expansion coming 16:00 The 4 Year Crypto Bear Market 20:30 Russell 2000 $IWM 24:30 #Bitcoin 25:40 #Ethereum 27:50 Small vs. Large caps $RUT / $SPX 29:10 Should you be scared of Oil Prices spiking? 32:00 #HangSengIndex #China $HSI 35:20 Did #Gold top? 38:20 Summary of the entire video


Bitcoin usually doesn't bottom fast. Neither does it often V-shape recover to Valhalla. While crypto twitter has the tendency to make you believe it does (we apparently weren't going to have a bear market the last few months either), the statistics speak louder. There is always a scenario it can happen though. No one can speak with absolutely certainly. A strong break above ~ $80k would likely make me position earlier as the correction after that has a good chance to be a higher low. Just not the most likely outcome to me yet. Perma bulls will say I'm wrong but they've been entirely off this entire downtrend which I haven't. While perma bears will only act until we see $30-$40k with little to no invalidation. The truth and real setup will always be found in between the extremes.

























bitcoin vs stocks → similar cycles → btc lags behind → range low reclaim came ~170–270 days later → range high breakout came ~200–500 days later → stocks are still within their macro cycle All had a big correction before going parabolic.