Cryptogit

one mistake i notice with coins people hold is that they diversify too much within the same risk category and they end up missing opportunities in others for example, why do you need 20 large-cap coins when you can have 3–4 major coins and then 3–4 low-cap coins with high potential balance is key

crowded opportunities are always the ones that will likely destroy you remember how everyone told you to buy gold because of the war starting in middle east right ?! guess what ? gold is down since the war started

there’s a huge demand for stablecoins and btc because of the war in the middle east anyone running away from war can’t really move cash (or it’s very limited) and can’t carry large amounts of gold but the easiest thing to move is crypto usdt payments have skyrocketed in the middle east this month sometimes what history taught you that “gold is the best” isn’t always true and we’re seeing that now

it’s funny how markets work exactly when you thought gold/silver were the best thing to accumulate because of the war starting in the middle east… they topped and started going down most people don’t understand that markets are always forward-looking and what you’ve been taught in the past isn’t always how things play out in reality during big crises you need liquidity you can move quickly that’s why btc is king here i don’t see anyone running out of the middle east carrying gold in their bags…

this is such an interesting story that happened in 2021 i remember a lot of financial gurus calling for a recession from january to april… and what’s surprising is that most of them actually had really good reasons for why the market should go down but they were early by about 6 months during those 6 months many altcoins went up over 50x moral of the story: it’s hard to know when the money printing cycle will end even if your data suggests it markets can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent. at the end of the day, it’s all about opportunity cost does it really matter if you correctly predicted a 60% btc crash… if you missed assets that went up 50x? that’s why you have to be very careful with people who constantly call for a recession or a crash timing is everything

to everyone thinking BTC doesn’t have much time to recover this year… just look at 2021 in july 2021 BTC was down 55% then from july to november it went from $29K to $68K that’s a 140% pump in just 4 months now it’s march and many people have already lost hope the market can recover imagine if we were in july with btc at $56k do you really think people would believe btc could go from $56k to $134k in 4 months? this already happened in 2021… so it’s nothing new

always pay more attention to contrarian views and opinions especially the ones most people dont agree with 80% of people just want to hear whatever justifies how they already feel in a bull run all they crave is price keeps going up forever confirmation if you share a different or even opposite perspective they’ll hate it and that reaction is actually a signal when the contrarian take actually makes logical sense thats when you should lean in harder whats obvious to everyone is almost never the thing that ends up moving the market

the results of the work you put in today won’t show up for another 3–6 months everyone who panicked and left crypto will fomo hard when it starts running again. they’ll be caught completely unprepared, frozen, and clueless about what to do. new narratives. new coins. new opportunities. they won’t even know where to begin. the people who will dominate this cycle are the ones who didn’t run away during the exact moments when there was literally zero reason to stay the ones who will struggle or only catch short-term pumps are the tourists who show up only when everything is fun and green

the FED will do something to save the economy when unemployment is going through the roof, oil prices spike, or war gets worse right now all those things are playing out, so the FED needs to jump in and enter the game. they might cut rates, restart qe, or pull some other lever. they always find a way but the moment they step in, we hit the most dangerous part of the cycle. everyone starts fomoing into markets because they think “the fed is saving us!” stocks, crypto, whatever…people pile in hard, thinking the party is back on. that stretch from when the fed starts acting until the top is super hard to spot. it all comes down to how much they actually print or ease. too much juice and the bubble gets massive before it pops. i still remember 2021. tons of economists were calling for a crash in march, saying it was over. but markets kept ripping higher for at least another 8 months. a bunch of coins did 50x or more in that window. the bull just refused to die. no matter how right your call is, the market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent that’s exactly where we are heading now.

everyone said tariffs would bring inflation in beginning of 2025 they were all wrong inflation only came down now all are expecting inflation to go up due to oil prices what many people dont understand is that 1) oil can come down quick and it’s temporary if there’s a deal with Iran or another solution from US 2) inflation data from FED is always late…even if there’s inflation it will be visible probably 3-4 months at least from now so this idea that FED cant cut rates due to oil going up it’s not true 100% oil went up to $130 + in 2008 and FED still cut the rates back then as they prioritized economy and not inflation not saying oil going up is good but it doesn’t stop the party for crypto to go up

vanguard looked at the top 1% portfolios in the US after the virus hit in 2020 most of the ones that made the most money never sold during the big dip...they just accumulated more most people think “oh, i’m gonna sell and buy back lower.” good luck doing that 90% of BTC gains happen within 10–25 days in each cycle and most people that sell to buy back lower likely miss those days and join at the top

the price you see today in crypto will justify an event that happens 3–6 months from now most people don’t realize that price creates the narrative not the other way around why we dipped harder in october 2025 than when the war actually started ? makes no sense right? why did we go up in summer 2025… and then when the FED cut rates in december 2025 and stopped QT we went down? because smart money positions early the market is usually pricing in the future the crowd waits for the news and then reacts smart money forms a thesis based on a vision of the future and what they believe will happen next you’ll never be early if you’re only focused on the present

FED is always late to everything in 2022 they raised rates when inflation went over 10% the peak of crypto came in november 2021 (5 months earlier) today you’re watching their inflation report and then seeing how the market will react actually it’s the opposite… the market is always priced in the future so when you see btc pumping next and you question what’s driving that move, understand that it’s an action that will come from the FED or governments that hasn’t happened yet look at how the FED ended qt in december 2025 that was priced into the market months before it happened… that’s why you were surprised when we dipped after what seemed like bullish news…

the ones who will make the most money when altseason comes are the ones not leaving right now most people who lost hope and left this space won’t believe the first 10x then they’ll want more confirmation from the market, and they’ll watch another 20x pass them by then they’ll join after 50% move is already gone and they still won’t have any edge because they stepped away if you’re not constantly researching and staying involved, the reality is you can’t keep up with everything that’s happening

you can only get rich in crypto from the decisions you make when you feel bored, when you’ve lost hope in the industry and when it feels like it’s over you can only destroy everything in crypto from the decisions you make when you feel invincible, when you think “crypto is easy,” and when you lose the concept of what “a lot of money” really means

max pain is not 40k–50k from here because everyone has already left and even those still here are down over 80%+ max pain would be a move to the upside that catches everyone unprepared remember when the bottom is in BTC can reverse very quickly last time in april 2025 after the bottom BTC went from 74K to 84K in just 24 hours

the number #1 mistake i did in crypto when i started out was exactly following too many accounts and by doing that i missed the content from the ones i liked and valued the most. many of you im sure u do the same. it happens all the time here. if u spend 30 minutes scrolling and reading 50 different posts from 30 people you're just getting more confused. probably out of 30 influencers only 1-2 maybe are worth it and others will just confuse u more. its much better to spend 15 minutes consuming content from 1-2 influencers you trust. i see all the time happening with my posts too. a lot read 1 post i shared 5 days ago while they missed 15 posts from my side. during those 15 posts u might have missed valuable content that could change everything. this a pro tip in research process

@david_dafed how im not talking again ? whats your point ?

@cryptogitt A week ago you were still talking about a bull market???

most people who talk about tops and bottoms have never actually called 1 correctly even once i predicted the top of the last bull run at 58k per btc i predicted the bottom of the bear market in 2022 i told everyone to buy in 2023 when all the “financial experts” said crypto couldn’t go up because of high interest rates and qt anyone can verify ... just because i got those right doesn’t mean i’ll be right again but you should be selective about the advice you listen to online if you hear advice from someone who has never achieved anything versus someone with a proven track record over many years, who has a higher probability of being right? at the end of the day you should chase probability not possibility

you shouldn’t be surprised if in the next few weeks the US suddenly announces that it has been buying BTC as a strategic reserve China is betting heavily on gold and selling US treasuries i can’t see why the US wouldn’t support BTC if it wants to be number one in crypto i wouldn’t be surprised if the US even dumps some gold to buy BTC it all sounds ridiculous until it actually happens...