Grumpy grandpa 🇷🇴

❗️Hungary has systematically acted in Russia’s interests to weaken EU sanctions On August 30, 2024, Hungarian FM Péter Szijjártó received a call from Sergey Lavrov after arriving in Budapest from St. Petersburg. Lavrov reminded him that Russian oligarch Alisher Usmanov wanted his sister, Gulbahor Ismailova, removed from the EU sanctions list, and Szijjártó promised to help. 🔺Seven months later, she was removed from the EU sanctions list. ▪️ In 2025, Szijjártó discussed efforts to derail a new EU sanctions package with Russia’s Deputy Energy Minister Sorokin. Hungary managed to remove 72 out of 128 proposed items from the sanctions list. ▪️In other conversations, Szijjártó reportedly shared details of closed-door EU discussions with Lavrov. One European diplomat stated: “Hungary is clearly acting on Russia’s political instructions.” ▪️According to Szijjártó, the Slovak government is also assisting in these coordinated Russian-Hungarian efforts.

Oricum se vor sfârși aceste alegeri, cred că Ungaria e o țară compromisă pentru o vreme, iar imaginea lui Szijjártó va fi greu de șters din minte. Acest "Karla" plantat în sânul grupului comunitar. Toată povestea legăturilor dintre Moscova și Budapesta zici că e dintr-o carte de John le Carré. „Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy”. Mai jos, urmarea investigației jurnalistului Szabolcs Panyi, acuzat de spionaj de guvernul Orban. Este în engleză. Și e țuț. (Bianca Felseghi / FB)

🔥“Holy sh*t, it’s getting hot,” a Russian says, reacting to the strikes on the Ust-Luga port. Couldn’t have said it better. This is already the fifth attack on the port.

“I’m always at your service”: leaked calls between Lavrov and Hungary’s FM Recordings of conversations between Sergey Lavrov and Péter Szijjártó suggest the Hungarian minister was willing to advance Moscow’s interests within the EU. In one call, Lavrov asks for sanctions on oligarch Alisher Usmanov’s sister to be lifted — Szijjártó responds that Hungary, together with Slovakia, is already preparing a proposal. She was later removed from the EU sanctions list. Before ending the call, Szijjártó also mentioned visiting Gazprom’s new headquarters and added: “I’m always at your service.” According to European intelligence officials, the tone of the exchanges resembles that of a “handler and source” rather than two equal officials. There have also been previous reports that Hungary shared details of closed EU discussions with Moscow.

I have a friend who works in oil shipping logistics in the Baltic region. He told me yesterday: "We've never seen anything like this. Three strikes on the same terminal in seven days. Buyers are panicking. Tankers are sitting empty. Nobody knows when loadings resume." That's when I knew the headlines weren't telling the full story. Here's what you need to understand: → Ukraine hit Ust-Luga — Russia's 2nd largest oil export terminal — for the THIRD TIME this week → 700,000 barrels per day capacity — OFFLINE → Primorsk — Russia's LARGEST terminal — also suspended loadings → Combined: 40% of Russia's total oil export capacity GONE → Repair timeline: 18 to 24 MONTHS. Not weeks. Not months. YEARS. → Russia was making $270,000,000 PER DAY from oil exports — that money funds every missile hitting Ukraine → India gets 80% of its Russian crude from these two ports — global ripple effect is ALREADY starting Three days ago Russia dropped its budget cut plans because the money was pouring in. Today the ports that generate that money are on fire. 400 drones. That's all it took to cripple 40% of a superpower's oil exports. Most people won't see this. RT to change that. 🔥

Three men launched the most expensive American military operation since Iraq. None of them asked Congress for permission. Donald Trump approved the strikes after a February 23 phone call in which Benjamin Netanyahu argued for joint action against Khamenei. Marco Rubio, whom Netanyahu has repeatedly called “my dear friend” across multiple Jerusalem visits and who speaks with the Israeli prime minister multiple times per 48-hour window, publicly admitted that Israel “was going to attack anyway,” effectively confirming that a foreign prime minister’s war plans set the timeline for American military action. Congress was notified under the War Powers Act. Congress was not asked to authorise. Congress has not declared war. Congress has not passed an AUMF. The only votes Congress has taken were votes to NOT stop the war, and even those passed by the thinnest margins: 219 to 212 in the House, 53 to 47 in the Senate, with a single Republican defector in each chamber. The United States has now fired 2,400 Patriot interceptors, consumed 40 percent of its global THAAD inventory, lost an irreplaceable E-3 Sentry AWACS, deployed 3,500 Marines, surged 120 aircraft, bypassed Congress for $662 million in emergency munitions sales, drawn down pre-positioned war reserves worth $3.4 billion, and is preparing a $50 billion supplemental request to replenish what has been expended. Total US military aid to Israel since October 2023 exceeds $21.7 billion. Cumulative lifetime aid exceeds $174 billion. All of it flows through a constitutional architecture in which the legislature’s role has been reduced to declining to exercise the powers the Constitution explicitly grants it. And the political cost is already arriving. Trump’s net approval has collapsed to minus 17, the worst for any second-term president at this stage. Working-class approval has cratered to minus 24. Independent economic approval sits at minus 48. CNN’s Harry Enten calls it “historic.” Forecasters project Democrats gaining 11 to 19 House seats in November. The war that Trump launched to project strength is producing the political conditions for the loss of his congressional majority. Netanyahu’s position is no better. Seventy-four percent of Jewish Israelis trust him to manage the war, but that trust has not translated into a single additional Knesset seat. Coalition support remains frozen at 40 percent. War support has already declined from 93 to 78 percent. Opposition among Jewish Israelis has more than doubled. Netanyahu is pushing through a budget specifically to avoid the snap election he would lose if forced to call one. The rally-around-the-flag effect is fading before the flag has been lowered. The third member of the triumvirate is the only one whose trajectory is ascending. Trump is privately polling “JD or Marco?” with advisers, and Rubio is drawing more positive feedback than Vance. He surged to 35 percent at CPAC behind Vance’s 53. The war that is destroying Trump’s approval is building Rubio’s profile as the man who coordinated it. The Secretary of State is being elevated by the same operation that is sinking the President who appointed him. Three men. No authorisation. Two thousand four hundred interceptors. A $50 billion tab. An approval rating in free fall. A coalition frozen. And a succession race accelerating inside the wreckage. The triumvirate that started the war is being consumed by it, and the only exit, the grand bargain with China that trades rare earth access for Hormuz stability, requires the cooperation of the country that supplied the missiles on both sides. The war has no constitutional foundation, no exit strategy, and no replacement parts. What it has is arithmetic. And the arithmetic is unforgiving. open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…

More people need to dump CHATGPT. Start thinking for yourselves. Stop asking Grok about shit and look it up, do some fucking research. Work your brain out before it turns to mush.

Islanda și Norvegia iau în calcul aderarea la UE. "Țările nu mai vor să adere la Uniunea Europeană pentru că le va face mai bogate. Acum o fac pentru că le va face mai sigure. Acum două decenii, când guvernele din fostul Est comunist se apropiau de Bruxelles, atractivitatea economică era clară: Occidentul mai bogat putea contribui la creșterea salariilor și a nivelului de trai. Dar, pe măsură ce ordinea postbelică se destramă și politicienii pun sub semnul întrebării fiabilitatea Statelor Unite, state mai prospere, precum Islanda și Norvegia - care au analizat în trecut aderarea la UE și au decis împotrivă - sunt atrase acum în brațele Europei pentru securitatea pe care aceasta o oferă." politico.eu/article/defens…

Orban's betrayal knows no bounds. There is clear evidence of how Hungary collaborated with Russia to prevent EU sanctions against Russian individuals or organizations. The Hungarian foreign minister not only carried out Russian instructions but also regularly briefed Lavrov on details of confidential conversations between European diplomats. Hungary is clearly implementing political orders from Russia.

Risk of severe instability inside Russia is very high in 2026 - it could turn into a perfect storm of converging circumstances. Events could culminate into another military rebellion. Turning off Telegram for Russian troops only makes sense if you're afraid of them organizing.

JUST IN: The United States has fired 2,400 Patriot interceptors in 31 days. It manufactures 650 per year. Replenishment at current production takes three and a half years. It has consumed 40 percent of its global THAAD inventory. It produces fewer than 100 THAAD interceptors annually. Full replenishment takes four to five years. Each interceptor contains neodymium and samarium-cobalt magnets sourced from Chinese-controlled supply chains. The US defence rare earth stockpile has approximately two months remaining. Read those numbers again. The US military has consumed more precision weapons in one month than it can manufacture in three years, using materials it can only source from the country it may need to fight next. Every Patriot fired at an Iranian Fattah-2 over Riyadh is a Patriot that does not exist for a Chinese DF-21 over the Taiwan Strait. Every rare earth magnet consumed in Gulf interceptors is a magnet that cannot be installed in a replacement built for the Pacific. The Iran war is not just depleting American arsenals. It is depleting American deterrence against China. And the country counting the interceptors from both sides of the table, as supplier and as future adversary, is the same country hosting peace talks in Beijing right now. China controls 90 percent of rare earth refining. China produces 90 percent of the world’s high-performance magnets. China buys 80 to 91 percent of Iran’s oil exports. China provides BeiDou navigation and ammonium perchlorate propellant to the Iranian missiles that are forcing the US to burn through its interceptor stockpile. China is simultaneously the supplier of the weapons America is using, the supplier of the weapons Iran is using, the primary customer of the oil the war is disrupting, and the only country with the leverage to end the disruption. The arithmetic of the grand bargain is not complicated. The US needs Chinese rare earths to rebuild its interceptor inventory. China needs Hormuz open to receive Iranian oil. The US needs the war to end before its stockpiles hit zero. China needs tariff relief, semiconductor export control rollbacks, and Taiwan arms-sale restraint. Both sides need something only the other can provide. The question is not whether a deal happens. The question is how much of America’s strategic position in the Pacific gets traded for the minerals needed to survive the Gulf. RAND estimated that 78 percent of US defence contractors would face production shutdowns within 90 days of a Chinese rare earth cutoff. The 2027 deadline to ban Chinese-sourced magnets from Pentagon procurement is nine months away with no domestic alternative at scale. MP Materials operates the only US rare earth mine and ships its concentrate to China for processing. The mine-to-magnet supply chain that the Pentagon needs to survive a Taiwan contingency runs through the country the Taiwan contingency is designed to deter. This is not a supply chain problem. This is a civilisational dependency. The United States built the most advanced military in human history on materials processed by its principal strategic competitor. It is now fighting a war that burns through those materials at a rate that makes replenishment impossible without the competitor’s cooperation. And the competitor is sitting in a conference room in Beijing today, across the table from Pakistan’s foreign minister, calculating exactly how much of America’s future it can extract in exchange for the minerals America needs to have a future at all. The deal of the century is not a choice. It is arithmetic. And the arithmetic leads to Beijing. open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…

🚨BREAKING: Orban mafia removed EU sanctions on Putin's mafia members. Alisher Usmanov's sister was delisted by the EU 7 months after this call. FULL STORY - Kremlin hotline: Hungary colluded with Russia to delist sanctioned oligarchs, companies and banks theins.press/en/inv/290911

Hey Belgium, now would be a good time to seize the $200 billion in Russian assets you're holding and use it to fund Ukraine to defeat Russia.

Someone is scared of Ukrainian interceptor drones. Good.

JUST IN: Two hundred helium containers are stranded in the Persian Gulf right now. Each one holds 41,000 litres of liquid helium cooled to minus 269 degrees Celsius. They have 35 to 48 days before the cryogenic systems fail, the helium boils off, and the gas vents into the atmosphere and is lost forever. Those containers were heading to semiconductor fabrication plants in Taiwan and South Korea that manufacture 90 percent of the world’s advanced chips. The helium inside them cools the extreme ultraviolet lithography machines that print transistors at two nanometres. Without it, the machines cannot operate. Without the machines, the chips do not exist. Without the chips, the AI models that are currently selecting targets in this war stop running. This is the connection that nobody has made. The same Strait of Hormuz that carries 20 percent of the world’s oil also carries the helium that cools the machines that make the chips that power the artificial intelligence that the Pentagon is using to prosecute Operation Epic Fury. Maven, the AI targeting system that compressed 2,000 analysts to 20 and selected over 1,000 targets in the first 24 hours, runs on processors manufactured by TSMC using helium sourced from Qatar. Qatar’s Ras Laffan facility, which produced 33 percent of the world’s helium as a byproduct of LNG processing, was struck by Iranian missiles on March 18 and 19 and declared force majeure. The supply is offline. The containers are stranded. The clock is ticking at minus 269 degrees. TSMC says it has 6.2 weeks of inventory and 68 to 95 percent on-site recycling. Samsung holds roughly six months but depends on Qatar for 65 percent of its supply. Both are rationing toward AI and high-bandwidth memory production, starving consumer chips to keep the advanced nodes alive. The calculus is explicit: the war gets priority over your next phone. But here is the paradox that should terrify every strategist in Washington. The AI that selects the targets requires chips that require helium that transits the chokepoint that the war has closed. The cognitive infrastructure of the air campaign depends on a supply chain that the air campaign is destroying. Every strike on Iranian naval assets that keeps Hormuz closed for another day is another day of helium inventory burned at TSMC. Every week the strait stays shut brings the fab closer to rationing. Every month of war brings the AI targeting system closer to the moment when the chips it runs on cannot be replaced because the gas that made them evaporated in a container floating off Fujairah. The Pentagon is fighting a war with artificial intelligence manufactured in Taiwan using helium from Qatar transported through the strait the war has closed. The war is eating its own brain. Taiwan imports 95 percent of its energy. Seventy percent of its oil came through Hormuz. TSMC alone consumes 10 percent of Taiwan’s electricity. The island that makes 90 percent of the world’s advanced semiconductors is powered by fuel from the chokepoint that is shut, cooled by gas from the facility that is offline, and defended by interceptors depleting faster than they can be replaced. And the country that controls the rare earth magnets, the BeiDou navigation, the helium alternative sources, and the peace talks is the same country: China. The war will end when the helium runs out, when the interceptors run out, or when Beijing decides it should. All three clocks are ticking. All three lead to the same room. Read the full analysis - open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…

Cam aşa arată "suveranismul" în varianta regimului Orban: lachei şi servili ca Szijjarto care se căciulesc în faţa ruşilor şi fac pe dracu în patru să le îndeplinească dorinţele. Asta ar vrea şi AUR şi George Simion pentru România. Nu mai zic nimic de faptul că băieţii au fost interceptaţi ca ultimii fraeri. Sunt curios ce alte înregistrări mai zac împrăştiate pe ici, pe colo...

L-am întrebat pe profesorul Dumitru Borțun ce părere are despre campaniile oribile purtate de propaganda pro-rusă, AUR și PSD împotriva femeilor, mai ales împotriva a celor care au ajuns în poziții vizibile. Spre surprinderea mea, profesorul Borțun - care știe foarte bine cum funcționează pe interior statul român și ce se ascunde prin instituții - mi-a răspuns că în cazul Oanei Țoiu e vorba de o reacție viscerală a serviciilor secrete, care au umplut MAE-ul cu securiști și care acum se simt deranjați. În general, în spatele acestor campanii susținute în online și la televiziuni sunt oligarhii, mi-a mai spus fostul consilier prezidențial. În cazul Dianei Buzoianu e vorba de perturbarea afacerilor a mai multor mafii care acționau până acum sub acoperirea Ministerului Mediului. În cazul Mirabelei Grădinaru e vorba pur și simplu de un atac ca la biliard, cu manta, care-l vizează de fapt pe președintele Nicușor Dan. Profesorul Borțun: "Sunt campanii jegoase! Pentru că se coboară la cele mai joase și triviale obiceiuri omenești. Să râzi de altul că e urât, să râzi de numele lui. Adică nu te uiți la lucrurile pentru care ar trebui să-l lauzi pe merit, că sunt meritele lui personale. Noi ne uităm la lucruri pentru care nu are nicio vină. Și muți discuția la nivel de scară de bloc, în loc să o ridici la nivelul unei analize. Ce contează cum arată și cum e îmbrăcată Prima Doamnă și ce contează cum arată ministra? Numai că ministra de Externe s-a dus acolo deranjând un cuib de viespi! Pentru că ministerul de Externe este plin de pile și de ofițeri de informații și de contrainformații! E plin! E un stup de securiști acolo, traditional, rămas de pe vremea lui Ceaușescu! Și nimeni n-a reușit să facă reformă. Vorbeam cu cineva care a încercat să facă reformă, era într-o poziție destul de mare. Și mi-a spus: „Să știi că este foarte greu! Dai unul afară, se duce la fund și, dintr-o dată, îl vezi bâldâbâc, iese în altă parte a bazinului! El tot acolo e! Parcă au o plasă sub ei care-i ține și-i împinge înapoi, în altă poziție. Și e foarte greu de scăpat de ei”. De fapt, plasa aia, da, sunt serviciile secrete! SRI și SIE! De aceea este foarte greu să te duci și să schimbi ceva. Pe urmă, ministra Mediului. A deranjat mafia pădurilor, a deranjat mafia de la Apele Române, a mai deranjat nu știu ce mafie. Trei mafii mari a deranjat. Au pus tunurile pe ea!". (Matei Udrea / FB)

De aia îi disprețuiesc pe politicienii ăștia așa ziși suveraniști și naționaliști trompetiști. Mint cu nesimțire și inventează crize acolo unde nu există. Gazul nu lipsește, lipsește doar voința lui Claudiu Târziu de a citi un comunicat oficial până la capăt. Romgaz a anunțat că nu are gaze disponibile pentru contractare directă, pentru că întreaga producție e deja rezervată prin lege pentru consumul casnic și termocentrale. Resursele se duc exact în sobele românilor, dar prin furnizorii actuali.

CO₂, probabil. Așa la prima vedere pare o replică de Daniel Defense DDM4 care nu are nimic pe ea, e cheală, probabil proprietarul de drept nu a echipat-o complet ca să nu se împuște oligofrenu' ăla singur cu ea. Doar show off. Iar după cum arată împrejurimile poza pare să fie făcută în Cartierul Latin din Ghencea, așa că șansele ca chestia aia să fie o armă reală scad și mai mult.

@darkzone_RO @cri_mun Replica electrica nu e, ca nu are motor. hpa? sau ce boala e?

Ca sa fie mai clar cine sunt cei cu care se-nconjoara Simion, uitati-va bine la insul din imagine. "Suveranistii" nostri chiar cred ca nu ar pati nimic daca fasc!stii astia pe care-i sustin ar prelua puterea?

Există un bărbat în costum în spatele unui birou de mahon. Spune că luptă pentru libertate, dar nu sunt impresionat. Are un steag pe rever și sânge pe mâini. Face promisiuni pe care nicio mamă nu le înțelege. Nu a ținut niciodată o pușcă, n-a evitat niciodată un obuz, dar este foarte bun la a trimite alți băieți în iad. Bătrânii încep războaiele, tinerii luptă și mor. Bogații își numără profiturile în timp ce săracii plâng. Când ne vom trezi? Când vom vedea prin ce trece? Singurul război care merită luptat este cel pentru mine și tine. În sălile puterii, unde se întâlnesc umbrele, îmi desenează hărțile în timp ce numărătoarea cadavrelor este completă. De pe malurile râului Nero până la zidul Ierusalimului, ei își joacă jocurile în timp ce cei puternici cad. Dar fiecare bombă care cade, pentru fiecare viață pierdută, cineva plătește costul suprem. Bătrânii încep războaiele. Tinerii luptă și mor. Bogații își numără profiturile în timp ce săracii plâng. Când ne vom trezi? Când vom vedea ce se întâmplă? Singurul război care merită luptat este cel pentru mine și tine. Există o mamă în Myanmar care plânge singură. Satul ei arde. Familia ei a dispărut. Există un tată în Haiti care nu-și poate găsi drumul prin haos și violență zi de zi. În timp ce undeva un general țintește un metal pentru că transformă pământul în propriul ceaun al iadului. Ne împart după culoare, după crez și după clan. Dar suntem cu toții doar oameni care încearcă să ia apărarea copiilor noștri, viitorul nostru, pacea noastră din cer. De ce ar trebui vreunul dintre noi să-și ia rămas bun de la cei pe care îi iubim în numele unei cauze scrise de alții în legile lor sângeroase. Așa că, cânt acest cântec pentru cei rămași în urmă. Pentru cei strămutați, uitați, surzi, muți și orbi. Până la nebunia care ne cuprinde, care nu ne lasă să plecăm. Există o modalitate mai bună de a trăi. Și știm cu toții că pământul are suficient pentru nevoile fiecărui om, dar niciodată suficient pentru lăcomia unui ”om”. Bătrânii încep războaiele. Tinerii luptă și mor. Bogații își numără profiturile în timp ce săracii plâng. Dar ne putem trezi. Da, putem vedea prin ele. Singurul război care merită purtat este cel pentru mine și tine. Singura pace care merită avută este cea pe care o facem să devină realitate.