pointbob

@citrini Fake tits and a facelift does wonders to our former dumpster fire of a company.

It keeps happening! Did we timeline jump or something?

@afortunetrading Sap tomorrow morning fyi

#earnings tonight $TSLA $NOW $IBM $LRCX $TXN $STM - tomorrow AM

@Patrickwebb Lol

BREAKING: During an emergency White House meeting, President Trump reportedly attempted to access the nuclear codes but was blocked by General Dan Caine, according to former CIA analyst Larry Johnson.

@KobeissiLetter Kolbassa report

BREAKING: President Trump has convened a White House Situation Room meeting to discuss Iran's closure of the Strait of Hormuz as the ceasefire is set to expire in 3 days. Details include: 1. The situation with Iran is at a "critical point" and no final date has been set for a new meeting between the US and Iran 2. US officials say that if there is no breakthrough soon, the war could resume in the coming days 3. The renewed crisis in the Strait of Hormuz arose amid discussion regarding Iran's uranium enrichment 4. Trump says he will know by end of day if a deal is going to happen Trump concludes by saying Iran "can't blackmail us."

@AdamMancini4 Do you get money back for subscribing if targets not hit?

Work is done today in #ES_F all targets hit. As always, its same setup, given in advance here and in newsletter. 6793 reclaim was our long trigger given 6pm (or 6809 reclaim given 8am). Targets were 6818-22 (hit), 6832 (hit), 6848 (hit). Now ride runner. Bonus slate=6873, 6886

@AdamMancini4 Warned? So you predicted this 250 point rally. I missed that post. Can you provide a link of your prediction. Not "could happen warning" but "will happen warning'". Otherwise it's not as warning. Just a guess

As warned #ES_F is very generous - it gave us a 250 point long on the 6592 Failed Breakdown yesterday. The day after though, ES usually just gives chop, traps, poor quality as price builds structure 6793=support. 6809 must reclaim to scalp to 6819, 6833, 6853+. 6765-70 below 93

@citrini You got to pay to play.

Anyone who paid for and actually read this entire article was pretty much 100% prepared for everything that has happened tonight. Anyone who listened to people who didn’t and just opined on it cluelessly…probably didn’t.

@ALBACapMgmt @citrini Being Euro background does not prevent you to have the brains of self analysis. Actually what u are raising about citrini having some euro roots is the premise that all people must be a mindless nationalists. No one is allowed to be self critical. That's absence of intelligence.

@citrini Arent you Dutch ?

Framing it like this is probably not so much about trying to get Trump to actually do anything close to “surrender” and more about demonstrating that he doesn’t care about if Europe has to go back to burning peat for energy.

@citrini Hunter Thompson lives.

Strait of Hormuz: A CitriniResearch Field Trip The Field Report from Analyst #3 is live. citriniresearch.com/p/strait-of-ho…

@IranArmyStan Derka derka.

🚨🇮🇷🇺🇸🇮🇱 BREAKING: Just moments after Trump claims victory over Iran- Iran fires a barrage of missiles TOWARDS ISRAEL !

@citrini It's like reading raccoon entrails with that man.

Trump sticking to a script is actually more concerning than when he just says whatever he thinks…

@AdamMancini4 This is all about the q1jpm collar. You follow that. Right?

We went +134 points from last evenings 6360 Failed Breakdown in #ES_F, given in advance. 6360 was a shelf of lows from Sunday. We swept it, trapped bears, recovered. Targets were 6467 (hit), 6490 (hit), 6524 stretch target (not yet). Ride runner 6447 (weak), 6413-15=supports

@citrini Futz up 58 to 6446 as we speak. Damn jpm.

If SPX happens to close tomorrow at 6515, the JPM collar people will be so annoying it’s almost worth buying a call fly to hedge against.

@AdamMancini4 The mkt is a shitshow and you actually want to take credit for being right about your "targets". Newsflash. Any fool can post upper and lower target lines on a chart and claim how smart they are. You have been wrong so often by being bullish it's actually a shorting indicator.

Big Picture View: Since Feb 25, #ES_F is locked inside a perfect downtrend channel/flag. Resistance is now up at 6677, and support is 6412. We closed a little under Friday Plan next week: Bulls must recover 6412 to see 6454, 6524, 6575, 6677. If 6385 fails we sell 6334, 6291

@citrini 666 the number of the beast

Early Wednesday morning we shared a high conviction macro pair trade in our subscriber chat that probably still has upside from here, long SFRH7 @ 96.20, which we averaged down on Thursday, paired with short ES @ 6660. Here’s the reasoning:

@KobeissiLetter The boss.

BREAKING: The White House responds after Iran rejects President Trump’s “15-point” plan: “If Iran fails to accept reality that they have been defeated, Trump will hit harder.”

@AdamMancini4 Language like ath reinforces a bullish narrative. It's a bias. And u post upper/lower targets so u cya. You are creating the illusion that you are never wrong with this "rain/sun" forecast. It's all designed to pump subscriptions. Pick a side. Up or down. Not both.

@pointbob2020 Saying "then ATHs" is literally no different than me giving targets as I do every day. ATHs is the next target, its only 34 points above the final resistance at 7007

Absolutely monster follow through on what will probably be the best trade this year in #ES_F, now +212 from the Thursday 6773 macro Failed Breakdown. Todays targets were 6954, 6960, 6975 (all hit). Bonus slate were 6986 (hit), 6998 (almost), 7007. 7007 remains magnet. Then ATHs

@RonFilipkowski It's funny. Don't be so judgmental. You do know the japs sneaked attacked us eh? Are you an American?

Holy shit. Even for Trump this is bad.

@Citrini7 Warren buffet used to say that all the time. Save me from the experts.

So much of this game is just trying your best not to learn the same lesson over and over again. The most recent re-learned lesson for me… common sense is nearly always a better foundation for a trade than expert wisdom if you think there’s a large inflection or regime shift underway. A little more than a week ago, I called up a friend of mine that understands energy far better than I do and said something like “seems like the no brainer play here is to be long Brent and short WTI”. This seemed like common sense, after all it’s not like there’s a war in the continental US and if the government was willing to sell futures they’d probably be open to using regulation to increase domestic supply. Right? But I had it explained to me a laundry list of reasons why that wouldn’t work. That was when the K6 spread was at about $6. A week later, the spread is almost $12 and I didn’t put it on because I figured my tourist understanding of oil meant it wouldn’t work. This is nothing against the wisdom of experts, but in markets - sometimes - it pays to be an idiot tourist basing your views on a common sense thesis. Especially at inflection points…Like the blind men and the elephants, it’s possible to be too close up to something and miss the very straightforward big picture. It was true with natural gas and ags in early 2022, it was true with semis in 2023…it’ll probably keep being true whenever there’s a big phase shift happening.

@Citrini7 So oil to $200 now.

“Kharg Island” sounds like an orc stronghold.