
The Block Research’s Analysts: 2024 Predictions
George Calle
Total crypto market cap, along with key large caps (BTC, ETH and SOL), will appreciate amid a generally risk-on environment in 2024. Crypto will broadly outperform broader equities and tech sector indices. A cash-settled BTC ETF happens in early Q1, but BTC dominance will falter through most of the year as investors turn to alternatives with greater potential upside.
The Dencun Upgrade, which introduces proto-danksharding, will occur in late Q1 or early Q2 2024. This will result in a fundamentals-driven rally across L2 tokens and their ecosystems as net profit margins grow. This will also drive a speculative cycle around platforms that service the broader modular blockchain stack.
The DeFi sector will benefit from both financial and technical innovation sowed in 2023. Regarding the former, the growth of liquid staking protocols in 2023 will allow for staking yields to permeate into broader types of DeFi products, such as interest-bearing stablecoins, pushing up ‘risk free rates’ across the sector. Regarding the latter, new yield-optimizing DeFi products will start to leverage account abstraction and multichain protocols to pass on multi-loop and cross-chain strategies to users.
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