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overton window recap: quantum computing is fictional tech quantum might be real but it's 20-30 years away. no urgency to do anything quantum is not a problem, but investors worried about quantum are a problem, so we might think about an upgrade someday quantum might be a problem but we will just adapt when it gets closer <--- YOU ARE HERE preparing for quantum will take years, and time to Q-day seems to be decreasing. we should start considering an upgrade quantum progress is nonlinear, private, and unknowable, but Q-day is likely within a decade so we have to bite the bullet and upgrade immediately under conditions of uncertainty despite the costs --- when we started, most of you were at the very top. now most of you are three or four notches down. most of you who were claiming QC is fictional or poses no risk have relented and grudgingly acknowledged it's a real concern. there are only a few holdouts in that camp. you can complain about me all you like, but i've seen you all move down the notches quite predictably. the overton window has shifted already. in a month or two you'll be at the bottom with me.

Finally figured out how to monetize my love for NYC Introducing...

This is wild. Google Research demonstrates a ~20x more efficient implementation of Shor's algorithm that could break ECDSA keys within minutes with ~500K physical qubits. Google is now are more confident on a 2029 post-quantum transition. We are no longer looking at mid 2030s, we could have quantum computers of this scale by the end of the decade. They believe this result is so severe that they are not publishing the actual circuits. They instead published a ZKP proving that they know of the quantum circuit with these properties. This is very atypical, showing Google thinks this is serious shit. All blockchains need a transition plan ASAP. Post-quantum is no longer a drill.