CSPTrading.eth

My current prediction market tier list, explanations in reply

@a_kane47 They shouldn't be netted but there are sites that net them

Warn others…about how taxes work? Again: there is no such thing as “profit” when using a sweepstakes site. There’s purchases, and then there’s redemptions. The two cannot be netted. Fliff is issuing 1099s correctly. Any sweeps sponsor not issuing 1099s based on gross redemptions is misleading their own users into incorrectly filing taxes. This is one of the reasons @sporttrade_app did not launch a sweeps product.

What the fuck did you just fucking say about me, you little bitch? I'll have you know I graduated top of my class in the Navy Seals, and I've been involved in numerous secret raids on Al-Quaeda, and I have over 300 confirmed kills. I am trained in gorilla warfare and I'm the top sniper in the entire US armed forces. You are nothing to me but just another target. I will wipe you the fuck out with precision the likes of which has never been seen before on this Earth, mark my fucking words. You think you can get away with saying that shit to me over the Internet? Think again, fucker. As we speak I am contacting my secret network of spies across the USA and your IP is being traced right now so you better prepare for the storm, maggot. The storm that wipes out the pathetic little thing you call your life. You're fucking dead, kid. I can be anywhere, anytime, and I can kill you in over seven hundred ways, and that's just with my bare hands. Not only am I extensively trained in unarmed combat, but I have access to the entire arsenal of the United States Marine Corps and I will use it to its full extent to wipe your miserable ass off the face of the continent, you little shit. If only you could have known what unholy retribution your little "clever" comment was about to bring down upon you, maybe you would have held your fucking tongue. But you couldn't, you didn't, and now you're paying the price, you goddamn idiot. I will shit fury all over you and you will drown in it. You're fucking dead, kiddo.

@CSP_Trading @ctboosts @fliff Does your boyfriend work at polymarket?

Not only did @fliff wait until mid-March to send out tax forms, but they also confirmed those forms are based on total prize redemptions—not actual profit. So despite being down $11K on the year, I still received a tax form showing over $40K in winnings. Posting to warn others!

I also ran the simulations on ace-9. On 2-6, any bust card, it's always more positive ev to double for less even if you only have a single penny because no matter what you get you aren't going to hit anyway. The math gets a little more complicated for ace, depends on house rules

As someone who plays a lot of blackjack and seen a lot of people playing suboptimally, I was curious about the EV of those who 'double for less.' If the player has a 11 and the dealer has a 10, obviously theres opportunity cost to doubling for less, if you get a 12 you cant hit again. So I simulated 20,000 hands where you have a 11 and the dealer has a 10 to see what ratio of your bet where its still positive EV to double instead of just hitting. The sweet spot seems to be about 33% of your bet, if you bet 100 dollars and you have 0-32 dollars in your wallet to 'double for less,' youre better off just hitting

@TheRealWBG Lol, a coach for a game where you have no control over your ability to hit or stand

My friend made a baccarat coaching app to help you learn the rules and understand when the player and banker draw or stand.

@mackan99 Right ur projected payout if you would win them all

@CSP_Trading I just saw this. Which is a wild assumption in itself. And also assumes the customer doesn't have enough brainpower to shop for prices.

Kalshi thinks a casino will ban you if you bet on 25 favorites and make 85 dollars. Meanwhile if you bet that on poly you'd win 96 dollars

@mackan99 The video didn't even mention anything about winning it said you'd win that much, aka a higher payout. So no, a casino won't ban you for betting 25 favorites

@CSP_Trading They aren't wrong. Maybe not for $10 stakes but a regular sportsbook will absolutely ban you for winning. Doesn't even matter if you're a sharp or just lucky. You win, you're not welcome.

$6 MILLION. 🚨 Announcing $100,000 in liquidity rewards for every Men's CBB Tournament game on Polymarket US. Let the madness begin. Get started 👇 docs.polymarket.us/incentives/liq…

Exclusive prediction market partner of the MLB Top of the 1st, bases loaded

@frankiemuniz Nigga it's not even noon

Terrible, terrible day. Maybe my worst yet.

@AZAGMayes Worse then that they steal from their users kalshisteals.wtf

Kalshi is running an illegal gambling operation and taking bets on Arizona elections, both of which violate Arizona law. No company gets to decide for itself which laws to follow. azcentral.com/story/news/pol…

@MoneylineMafia_ YOU FUCKING SUCK

PLAY OF THE YEAR Barcelona/New Castle under 3.5 Gonna get cooking early for a big play in today’s NCAA games. Trust me here. You won’t regret it ❤️ if tailing

@evenstevengg just say ur gay fam no need to hide it, its 2026 and it saves a lotta time

yes, a bar takes priority over having a functional app for US customers with more futures markets on the biggest tournament of the year 😔

@DougPolkVids cute kid, sorry hes gona grow up without a dad cause ur going to prison for partnering with the enemy

Welcome to the world, Georgia Ann Polk! Proud to officially be on Team Girl Dad

@helloitslynne you an escort?

I’m back in LA! hmu if we know each other and you wanna grab lunch, get drinks, play tennis, go rock climbing, or play poker

@BlondiePredicts @luanalopeslara @mansourtarek_ @Domahhhh @cobybets1 @catboyautist @PredMTrader @Foster @GaetenD @TheGrandeTop10 @gigiialc wow wtf why did you leave me off your list of top traders

Who's missing?

We're excited to announce 'The Situation Room' by Polymarket is coming to Washington, D.C. The world's first bar dedicated to monitoring the situation. 🧵

@yanksjoeys please let the IRS know that someones using polymarket, thats definitly the right team to notify

@CSP_Trading how do you trade on poly if you're in the US? irs.gov/help/report-fr…

Polymarket is giving away $2 MILLION DOLLARS to anyone who puts up limit orders for March Madness games. Unlike some sites who do fake billion dollar prizes they know theyll never have to pay out, Polymarket is giving away cold straight cash to anyone who bids. Details in reply