Charlie Bilello

New video is up: 📈The Week in Charts - breaking down the most important charts and themes in markets... youtube.com/watch?v=Nk1CcJ…

"The one thing you can be quite sure of: if we went into some very major war, the value of money would go down. You’re going to be a lot better off owning productive assets over the next fifty years than you will be owning pieces of paper.” - Warren Buffett

Every correction is different, but investor behavior doesn’t change. Bad investors panic and sell. Good investors get nervous but hold. The Best investors get excited about potential opportunities.

2026 YTD: -International Stocks > US Stocks -Small & Mid Caps > Large Caps -Value Stocks > Growth Stocks -Mag 7 names all in the Red The Reversal of Everything...

Gas prices in the US have moved up to $4.12 per gallon, their highest level since August 2022. The 38% spike over the last 5 weeks ($2.98/gallon to $4.12/gallon) is the biggest we've seen in the past 30 years. Video: youtube.com/watch?v=Nk1CcJ…

Every week I send a letter to tens of thousands of investors covering the most important charts and themes in markets. Join here: bilello.blog/newsletter

Gas prices in the US have moved up to $4.10 per gallon, their highest level since August 2022. The 38% spike over the last 5 weeks ($2.98/gallon to $4.10/gallon) is the biggest we've seen in the past 30 years. Video: youtube.com/watch?v=Nk1CcJ…

Fertilizer prices have moved up to their highest levels since May 2022, rising 52% YoY. About a third of global fertilizer supply passes through the Strait of Hormuz. This will drive food price inflation higher in the coming weeks/months. Video: youtube.com/watch?v=Nk1CcJ…

All 7 members of the Magnificent Seven are down on the year (-5% for Nvidia to -23% for Microsoft) and underperforming the average stock in the S&P 500 (which is up 1%). $MAGS

Bitcoin Returns since 2010... $BTC bilello.blog/newsletter

Price increases since the start of the Iran war... Jet Fuel: +95% Sulfur: +73% Heating Oil: +68% WTI Crude Oil: +66% European Natural Gas: +57% Brent Crude Oil: +50% Diesel: +49% Urea: +48% Gasoline: +43% Fertilizer: +31% Palm Oil: +20% Video: youtube.com/watch?v=Nk1CcJ…

Oil is the spark, but inflation is the fire. And once it spreads, it’s much harder to contain.

Tesla delivered 358k vehicles in Q1, up 6% from a year ago (337k) but down 15% from the record Q1 deliveries back in 2023 (423k). $TSLA

“We are going to see a very, very strong economy this year. We could see between 4 and 5% real growth." - Scott Bessent, Jan 2026