Felix Trades

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Felix Trades

Felix Trades

@FelixWebX

Ex-Banker. 🏦 No fluff, just frameworks. Teaching the 3-Step Analysis method professional investors use. 🧠 Education & Mentorship. (Not a broker / NFA)

Katılım Ağustos 2010
1.8K Takip Edilen222 Takipçiler
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Felix Prehn 🐶
Felix Prehn 🐶@felixprehn·
The 3 wall street firms buying up every daycare, hospital, and dental office in america tripled in stock price. If you owned them in 2018 (like me), you made $30,000 on every $10,000 you put in. The next industry they're rolling up is hiding in plain sight… Most people have no idea what's happening with american institutions in 2026. KKR owns KinderCare. Bain Capital owns Bright Horizons. Apollo and Cerberus run hospital chains. Mars Inc and EQT own most vet clinics. Leonard Green owns Aspen Dental. KKR owns Heartland Dental. The pattern is the same every time. The fund borrows money to buy the chain. The chain takes on the debt. Workers get cut. Prices go up. Quality drops. Then the fund pays itself a "dividend recap" of $1-3 billion in cash. Meanwhile their stock keeps going up because everyone on wall street invests in their funds. You've been paying the higher prices at your kid's daycare, your dentist's office, and the vet. That money flows up to KKR's earnings. KKR is a public company. The fastest way to position on the same side as the firms extracting from your daily life is the 4-position fund stack. I built this with 2 of my old goldman sachs coworkers in 2022. We've run it across our family office accounts ever since. Move 1. Pick the 4 names. KKR (the parent of KinderCare and 23 other extraction targets). BX (Blackstone). APO (Apollo). PHM (PulteGroup, the home builder selling to families fleeing daycare costs). Move 2. Set the allocation. 35% KKR. 25% BX. 25% APO. 15% PHM. Move 3. Track the dividend recap announcements. Every 2-4 years each fund recaps a portfolio company for $1-3B in tax-favored cash. Use openinsider. com to see when KKR insiders sell into a recap. Move 4. Buy on the dip after a child-safety scandal. KKR sold off 14% in 4 days when a kindercare child died last november. Recovery time: 21 days. The cash flow is uncorrelated to the headline. Move 5. Set a google alert for "carried interest reform 2026." If congress moves the tax rate, KKR earnings drop 18% overnight. That's your trim signal. Move 6. Quarterly rebalance. 30 minutes. Done. The asymmetry nobody talks about. S&P 500 on $50K: $7,000 a year average. Healthcare ETF on $50K: $4,500 a year. Fund stack on $50K: KKR +29%, BX +24%, APO +18%, PHM +12%. Blended 22.6% = $11,300 a year. Plus 8-15% upside per quarterly dividend recap on top. i run 6 sub-portfolios across 6 account types. They print $1,800 a month combined while i sleep. They don't have feelings about the kindercare in arizona. Carry-tax reform is on the 2026 ballot. Window before tax changes hit: 12 months. I'll probably regret posting this. KKR investor relations will start emphasizing "ESG" within 60 days. Somehow they always do. (a private equity firm bought your kid's daycare. borrowed against the building. cut the staff. raised your tuition by $400 a month. paid themselves $4 billion in dividends. 23 children died. the regulators issued a fine equal to 4 hours of revenue. they're currently buying another chain.) This is my once in a lifetime FREE webinar. I'm walking through the exact 4-position fund stack live. Plus the dividend recap calendar and the openinsider tracking sheet. Things i learned at goldman that compliance would not let me share publicly. Limited spots. Link in comments: felixfriends.org/live
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Felix Trades retweetledi
Felix Prehn 🐶
Felix Prehn 🐶@felixprehn·
I'm hosting a 100% free webinar weekly where I go over new market events and how you can make money from them. felixfriends.org/live
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Felix Trades retweetledi
Felix Prehn 🐶
Felix Prehn 🐶@felixprehn·
Gold went from $1,200 to $4,800 in 8 years. That's 4x your money. Gold mining stocks did 5x in the same window. If you saw it coming (like me), you printed. A foreign government just placed the largest gold bet in history. The next leg just started… Most people have no idea what's happening with gold in 2026. Two months ago gold crashed from $5,600 to $4,200 in 14 days. Largest single-week sell-off in 4 decades. Cnbc ran 51 segments calling the bull market over. American retail dumped their gold ETFs. While retail was selling at the bottom, a sovereign wealth fund in singapore walked into the chicago options market and bought 11,000 contracts at the $20,000 strike for december expiration. That's $5.17 billion in premium. They're betting gold quadruples to $20,000 in 8 months. The world's biggest money is on one side of this trade. Your local financial advisor is telling you to add to QQQ on the other side. The fastest way to position on the same side as central banks is the 5-position gold stack. I run this for myself. It pulled 33% blended return over the last 30 days. Total time: 20 minutes a week. Move 1. Pick the 5 names. GDX (gold miners ETF, the core). GDXJ (junior miners, higher upside). FNV or WPM (royalty companies, capped downside). SLV (silver, the catch-up trade). Physical gold via apmex. com or kitco. com. Move 2. Set the allocation. 40% GDX. 20% GDXJ. 20% FNV. 10% SLV. 10% physical. Move 3. Watch central bank buying monthly. Free at gold. org. When central banks buy more than 80 tonnes a month, accumulate. Below 50, hold. Last 4 months: 92, 105, 88, 96 tonnes. Currently in accumulate mode. Move 4. Track the gold-silver ratio. Compressed from 90 to 60 in the last 6 months. Increase silver allocation when ratio above 75. Decrease when below 50. Move 5. Watch the COT report weekly at cftc. gov. When the smart money reduces their gold short by 20%+ in a week, that's the bullish signal. Add to GDX. Move 6. Block 20 minutes a week for the gold council pull plus 1 hour monthly for rebalance. The asymmetry nobody talks about. QQQ over last 30 days: down 8%. Down 14% in real (gold-denominated) terms. 60/40 portfolio over last 4 years: net real return -6%. Gold stack over last 30 days: +33%. Over 18 months: +89%. Annual delta on $50K (last 12 months): QQQ +9%, 60/40 +5%, gold stack +71%. i run 6 gold sub-portfolios across 6 account types. They print 38% in 30 days while i sleep. They don't panic when CNBC declares gold dead. The fed pivot is coming in q3. Gold targets $7,000-9,000 by 2027 per JP Morgan, citi, and ubs research. The window is closing. I'll probably regret posting this. Once retail figures out the central bank flow, the GDX discount closes within 90 days. Somehow it always does. (the cboe options floor saw $5 billion in gold premium bought by a sovereign wealth fund while your local financial advisor was telling you to add to QQQ. retail dumped GDX at the bottom. central banks loaded gold for the fourth straight year. the smartest money in the world is on one side of this trade. cnbc is on the other. nobody told you. they're not going to.) This is my once in a lifetime FREE webinar. I'm walking through the exact 5-position gold stack live. Plus the central bank flow tracker and the COT signal sheet. The smart money does not want retail to figure this out before the discount closes. Limited spots. Link in comments: felixfriends.org/live
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Felix Prehn 🐶
Felix Prehn 🐶@felixprehn·
I'm hosting a 100% free webinar weekly where I go over new market events and how you can make money from them. felixfriends.org/live
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Felix Trades retweetledi
Felix Prehn 🐶
Felix Prehn 🐶@felixprehn·
Trump told big tech in the beginning of the year to build their own power plants for data centers. AI data centers consume so much electricity that staying on the public grid means consumers will also pay the bill. The government wants tech companies generating their own power instead. Google, Meta, Amazon, and Microsoft are already doing it with fuel cells and mini nuclear reactors next to their data centers. This plus the executive order committing over $1 trillion to rebuild the grid is exactly why I'm bullish on this sector. The thread below reveals the 14 stocks positioned to benefit because of this:
Felix Prehn 🐶 tweet media
Felix Prehn 🐶@felixprehn

Trump just signed an executive order redirecting over $1 trillion into America's energy sector. The companies winning the government contracts are up 50-200% while the S&P did only 3% in the same time. Here's each stock and why they won:

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Felix Trades retweetledi
Felix Prehn 🐶
Felix Prehn 🐶@felixprehn·
I'm hosting a 100% free webinar weekly where I go over new market events and how you can make money from them. felixfriends.org/live
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Felix Trades retweetledi
Felix Prehn 🐶
Felix Prehn 🐶@felixprehn·
I'm hosting a 100% free webinar weekly where I go over new market events and how you can make money from them. felixfriends.org/live
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Felix Trades retweetledi
Felix Prehn 🐶
Felix Prehn 🐶@felixprehn·
I'm hosting a 100% free webinar weekly where I go over new market events and how you can make money from them. felixfriends.org/live
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Felix Trades retweetledi
Felix Prehn 🐶
Felix Prehn 🐶@felixprehn·
The global monetary reset explained in 60 seconds:🧵
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Felix Trades retweetledi
Felix Prehn 🐶
Felix Prehn 🐶@felixprehn·
This thread explained what's happening and why. Saturday I teach you how to position for it. 3 lessons from my Wall Street experience on tracking where institutional money flows and how to follow it. Reserve your spot: felixfriends.org/live-y
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Felix Prehn 🐶
Felix Prehn 🐶@felixprehn·
If this thread changed how you think about your cash and your portfolio, give me a follow. I break down where institutional money is moving and what shifts like this mean for people managing their own retirement money. More threads like this coming next week.
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Felix Trades retweetledi
Felix Prehn 🐶
Felix Prehn 🐶@felixprehn·
Mario Nawfal asked me what happens to the US dollar after this war. Here's what I think. Short term, the dollar stays artificially strong. War creates uncertainty and uncertainty pushes global capital into dollars. Oil is still priced in dollars, so higher oil means more demand. Long term, the dollar weakens. A weaker dollar is I believe US policy because it helps American exporters and supports bringing manufacturing home. When this conflict ends, I believe they cut rates and keep printing even with inflation running hot, further weakening it. This was one of 10 topics I covered on Mario Nawfal's (@MarioNawfal) podcast. Full thread below.
Felix Prehn 🐶@felixprehn

I just went on my first interview in over 8 months. I joined Mario Nawfal (@marionawfal) on his podcast and shared 10 insights about the Iran war, the global economy, and where I believe markets are heading next. 1) The stock market was an early indicator of the Iran war

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Felix Trades retweetledi
Felix Prehn 🐶
Felix Prehn 🐶@felixprehn·
In the last five months, stocks building the infrastructure behind AI and data centers went up 30-200% while the S&P did 3%. These companies are WINNING government contracts to rebuild America's power grid. - A nuclear startup is building mini reactors for Meta - The largest grid contractor in North America has a $44 billion backlog of signed deals - A fuel cell company just signed a contract to power Oracle's data centers with the electricity of 2 million homes - The only US company producing uranium from two active mines is up 30% The executive orders, contracts, and backlogs were all public. Institutional money saw it and positioned then. I posted a thread breaking down all 14 companies - what each company does, why they're most likely to win the contracts and the framework behind finding them. Read the full thread below.
Felix Prehn 🐶@felixprehn

Trump just signed an executive order redirecting over $1 trillion into America's energy sector. The companies winning the government contracts are up 50-200% while the S&P did only 3% in the same time. Here's each stock and why they won:

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Felix Trades retweetledi
Felix Prehn 🐶
Felix Prehn 🐶@felixprehn·
I'm hosting a 100% free webinar weekly where I go over new market events and how you can make money from them. felixfriends.org/live
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Felix Prehn 🐶
Felix Prehn 🐶@felixprehn·
If You Missed Palantir $PLTR or Nvidia $NVDA This is Even Bigger.
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Felix Trades retweetledi
Felix Prehn 🐶
Felix Prehn 🐶@felixprehn·
I'm hosting a 100% free webinar weekly where I go over new market events and how you can make money from them. felixfriends.org/live
English
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Felix Trades retweetledi
Felix Prehn 🐶
Felix Prehn 🐶@felixprehn·
Trump just signed an executive order redirecting over $1 trillion into America's energy sector. The companies winning the government contracts are up 50-200% while the S&P did only 3% in the same time. Here's each stock and why they won:
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