ZERO IKA 🗡️

Bear market targets full commentary. In this video you'll find all my thoughts, reasoning process, analysis and what to look for. I invite you to watch it till the end because there are some important nuances that should be not skipped. Of course, with my classic 🇮🇹 accent that adds some funny sauce. Hope you'll appreciate it and, as always, thanks to the ones who support my work.

The most sensible area as per the video has been touched, definitely one of the most important in terms of market structure for $BTC. We’ve fully filled the January 31 HTF LVN, as well as the CME gap around $81,000. From my perspective, this marks a key inflection point in terms of market structure, so I’ll be watching closely over the next few hours to see how price reacts. If we start to see acceptance below $80,000-$79,300, then continuation to the downside becomes likely, with one of the most important structural areas sitting around $74,000–$73,700. That’s the framework currently supporting price. If that breaks, then a rotation toward the mid-$60,000s becomes a realistic scenario, but at this stage it’s still a bit premature. So for now, I’d focus on these conditions when assessing the downside. On the other hand, if price shows further bullish aggression, I would pay very close attention to the $83,000–$84,000 zone, where the previous HTF demand has been flipped into supply.

Showcasing current $BTC price action, expectations and plan(s):

@francu_george I would go with a basket, personally speaking.

@IamZeroIka Hey man, what's your take on SXRS long term? Not for trading, just accumulating, do you prefer to isolate or a whole basket? Thanks.

@kittyfat101 Heard it in a song though. 😄

@IamZeroIka Heard this in the sermon at church today. Commonly attributed to C.S. Lewis though I don't think it's actually from him

Humility is not thinking less of yourself. It’s thinking of yourself less. Live by this.

@domvortx Follow the bright path. 🥂

@IamZeroIka So true brother. Life taught me this

How to create wealth over decades: (in my opinion) 1. Learn 1+ high-value skills + build something meaningful (business or career) → Focus on skills that compound: sales, finance, communication → Work for great companies or create value yourself → Stay obsessed with continuous improvement (humanly + technically) 2. Save aggressively (build your base to not get rekt) → Target 20–50% savings rate early on → First goal: 6–12 months of expenses → Capital = optionality (at the moment) 3. Invest consistently (to create an habit) → Weekly/monthly investing (DCA) → Automate the process 4. Build a Core ETF portfolio (60–80%) → Global, diversified, low-cost (MSCI World/ACWI for example) → This is your long-term compounding "engine" + Add Satellites ETF (20–40%) -> Understand seasonality/rotation → Tech, crypto, emerging markets, commodities, etc → Boost returns (% to be split into core ETF + % in cash) + Add individual picking (for extra boost) 5. Build a trading strategy that fits with your life → HTF: less screen time, more "life time" (Swing + AMT/Wyckoff/SMC/ORB-IVB) → MTF/LTF (Refinement of the ones mentioned above) → Be more active (A % to be split into core ETF, a % to be split into satellites + a % to enjoy your life as reward for your hard work) 6. Control costs + taxes → Low TER, efficient ETF structure → Avoid unnecessary trading (ask yourself: "Do I want to trade or do I want to make money?") 7. Reinvest the majority → Dividends + gains → back into the system → Compounding only works if you don't quit it → Small amounts scale massively over time 8. Stay consistent through cycles → Crashes are part of the game → Discipline > intelligence → Most wealth is built during boring years 9. Avoid common "life traps" → Lifestyle (don't waste money to impress other people) → Comparing yourself to others (everyone got different paths) → Changing strategy every year → Forgetting to remain humble (don't follow narcissistic gurus/social media arrogance) 10. Think in decades → Wealth = (income → savings → investments) × time × discipline → Time is main multiplier, everything else is secondary → The longer you stay in the game, the easier it gets 11. Enjoy the journey + share → Be happy about the process, both setabacks and wins (50 cent: -> "Sunny days wouldn't be special if it wasn't for rain, joy wouldn't feel so good if it wasn't for pain) → Help others doing the same when possible → Never forget to enjoy your life as well (take breaks, spend time with family & friends)

@Mblu08 Walking on this path, will never leave it.

@IamZeroIka God blesses a kind heart with peace.. Choosing love over hate builds a strength that leads to genuine, effortless happiness... Proud of what you have become brother! 🫡

Do yourself a favor. When someone attacks or criticizes you, don’t react..respond with kindness. People who provoke expect resistance. They feed off conflict but when they’re met with calm and respect, the script breaks. There’s nothing left to push against. Kindness gives no foothold and without one, most people don’t know what to say next. Your life will transform for the better, trust me.

@Tomoloo9 For real!

@IamZeroIka Very true. Practiced it many times and it's amazing how you can turn situations around.

@HardingeTapp 100%.

@IamZeroIka Wise words my friend. Everything that happens is a reflection of our inner world. And this world needs a lot more compassion, that's for sure.

@Hopium47 Skip, you did your job. You can't change people..be focused on the positive things in your life!:)

@IamZeroIka I did but they still criticize me.

@melovemoney1 🫶

@IamZeroIka You’re a smart man Zero

Very amusing, I’d say! But it’s actually true. It’s both incredibly simple and incredibly difficult to respond with kindness, that’s why most people end up getting pulled into negativity. You know, every time I think about it, it makes me smile. It’s genuinely a powerful strategy, if we want to call it that.

@IamZeroIka "Kill em with kindness" I once saw this "road rage" video on youtube. Some guy was mad at another guy, and the guy just yelled back "you're not coming to my birthday party!". Thought it was pretty funny :D

@thiagoknight79 Glad to have improved your day!🫶

@IamZeroIka Bro, I really needed to hear this message today. Thank you, Zero 🙏

I completely agree, you know? My life has literally changed since I started applying this approach, if we want to call it that, a few years ago. And keep in mind, people often need kindness the most when they’re simply projecting their negativity or something that’s not going well in their lives onto others. So when they’re faced with someone who doesn’t react, but instead treats them with kindness… everything changes. It changes because they no longer have anything to hold onto. They were expecting a harsh reaction, but instead they find someone so rare someone who makes them think, “wow,” and even shifts their perspective a bit, bringing some positivity into the situation. I’ve applied this myself, and honestly, my life couldn’t be better in terms of relationships or in moments when someone decides to attack me. It’s simply amazing, I think.

Not to mention these are usually the people with the most problems. It’s like the story of the orange…when you squeeze an orange, orange juice comes out because that’s what’s inside. When a person reacts with anger or jealousy or anything else, it’s not because of you. It’s because life is squeezing them and that’s what’s inside them. I’ve learned to have compassion for these people as much as possible.

@g_lamprog Absolutely!🥂

@IamZeroIka Agree. Anything below 50 is good for long term. Even 50 to ATH it’s a very decent move. Low 40s up to 140 is even better, but no need for greed

The nature of a Bitcoin bottom typically involves a phase of compression, followed by a violent counter-move (liquidation move) and then a structural shift that prints the start of a new cycle. Intermediate phases of a bottom usually set an initial low, then produce a significant recovery (often in the range of 20–80%), followed by internal lower highs, and eventually a final expansion to the downside. In the current bearish cycle, this full sequence has not yet occurred. If you’ve watched the video I pinned on my profile, you’ll have noticed how the $60,000 fair value zone has behaved very well, expanding and producing roughly a 30% move. However, from my perspective, I still cannot identify a completed cycle bottom. I would be more than happy to be proven wrong by Bitcoin pushing toward a new ATH but as of now, I don’t see that as the most likely scenario. I still interpret the current structure as a macro bearish retracement. Looking back at the levels I outlined, the 29–30k region stands out as a major point of interest because that’s where we have the full structure’s POC, and it would represent an exceptional long-term entry. That said, there is no certainty the market will revisit that level. From a macro standpoint, a more realistic area would be around $45,000. This aligns with the previous low set around 49k in August 2024. From that zone, I would begin reassessing the potential for an accumulation schematic. Take not that an accumulation structure may imply several moves higher followed by pullbacks, possibly multiple downside springs and overall range development before expansion. That zone could be highly attractive from a long-term perspective. If both the February 2 low and the January 12 high continue to hold as structural references, a Fibonacci extension projects a range between approximately 50k and 36k. For me, that entire range represents an accumulation box where I would progressively build a long-term Bitcoin position.

@HPhilophy Hey! I'm just sharing my opinion in a respectful way, why we don't create positive discussions instead of making jokes at each other? 🥂

@IamZeroIka Ok wait for ATH before your "bearish thesis" is invalidated. Better yet, wait for a 5-10x, then you can give the green light for everyone to enter. 🙄

@Vassilis_Tsi As stated, more than happy to be wrong, but honestly I don't see any reason at the moment..

@IamZeroIka Couldn’t agree more. The market isn’t healthy enough for a new ATH right now—Trump is the only unpredictable factor.

@11ANK86 I never say things with absolute certainties, but in my opinion there’s quite a good chance.

@IamZeroIka Absolutely correct. No macro pivot from the lows has ever stemmed from a single naked low. We need to accumulate at the lows which means taking the 60k level again without question.