IanAndyP

Good news, all of us using AI tools day-to-day, we are early and well ahead! Bad news…portrayed here. x.com/mattshumer_/st… Most important article you will read this month.

Woooooow, US dominating AI compute power by a mile. Nvidia printing money, Microsoft and Google locking in the lead while China battles export bans. Moat expanding fast for American tech. Competitors left choking in the dust. History loves patient stackers who bet on this kind of dominance and laugh to the bank later 🔥 $NVDA $MSFT $GOOG

The United States 🇺🇸 has more AI computer power than any other country … and it’s not close

Elon's meme is golden. 😄 All that fancy AI optimization and blue sky vision 2040 stuff balanced on one narrow waterway moving a fifth of global crude. Another three or four weeks closed and oil shocks ripple straight into already strained sovereign ledgers plus maxed out consumer credit. The late seventies taught us these supply squeezes have a habit of overstaying their welcome and flipping growth narratives overnight. Smart move to stress test those portfolios right now.

If Hormuz stays closed another 3-4 weeks, it all begins to crumble...into an already-teetering global sovereign debt problem & consumer credit problem. Based on what I'm hearing, it is highly likely Hormuz will remain closed for at least another 3-4 weeks. Let's watch.

🚨EVERYONE IS FOCUSED ON OIL PRICES, BUT SOMETHING WORSE IS HAPPENING BEHIND THE SCENES. Ever since the US-Iran war started, global bond yields have been soaring. ● UK 10Y Yield: 4.93%, highest since 2008 crisis ● Australia 10Y Yield: 5.06%, highest since 2011 ● Japan 10Y Yield: 2.26%, almost at a new ATH ● Europe 10Y Yield: 2.97%, highest level in 2.5 years ● France 10Y Yield: 3.66%, highest level in 14 years ● US 10Y Yield: 4.29%, highest in 8 months But why is this bad? Historically, rising bond yields have been a leading indicator of recession. And other economic data are also pointing out the same thing. Inflation is spiking. GDP is trending down. Geopolitical tensions are rising. Energy crisis is looming. Layoffs are rising. Credit defaults are rising. Home sales are declining. Mortgage rates are going up. And all these mean only one thing: WE ARE IN ENDGAME NOW.

Those global bond yields exploding higher since the US Iran flare up hit levels that scream caution. UK 10 year back to 2008 territory, Australia over five percent, and even the US pushing eight month highs. Rising rates like this have a nasty habit of slamming the brakes on everything from home sales to corporate borrowing. We saw the exact script play out in 2022. Yields spiked on inflation fears, crushed multiples in growth stocks and crypto, and forced a full reset before any relief came. This round adds geopolitical fuel to the inflation fire which could drag the pain out longer for rate sensitive sectors. The endgame talk might feel dramatic yet when bonds and data align history rarely lets investors ignore it. Classic setup where patience and selective positioning win out over chasing the headlines.

Tesla hitting fresh lows since September hits different when you zoom out on the numbers. Deliveries tanked 16 percent in Q4 alone, full year auto revenue slipped double digits, and that post tax credit EV chill is still biting hard across the board. Yet peel back the layers and the energy storage machine keeps humming. Fresh $4.3 billion LG battery pact for Megapacks, deployments up over 25 percent last year. If the Optimus line actually scales by year end like the whispers suggest, this pullback starts smelling like the 2023 replay. Back then deliveries slowed, stock got crushed 65 percent, then the AI narrative flipped the script and sent it parabolic. Rivian and legacy EV players get a short term breather on pricing pressure, but Tesla’s real edge sits in the non car bets. Smart money rotating here knows the valuation only sticks if autonomy delivers. Classic hedge fund playbook. Stack the dips that history keeps rewarding. ⤴️$TSLA ⚡️⚡️⚡️

Tesla $TSLA falls to lowest price since September 📉📉

China just vacuumed up nearly 800 tonnes of silver in January and February alone setting an eight-year import record. Solar factories and local investors are burning through domestic stockpiles at warp speed while Shanghai premiums scream for more supply. Same script that fueled one of silver's strongest rallies throughout 2025. The miners who stayed disciplined on costs and output are lined up for some serious tailwinds while gold continues to steal the show.

China silver imports hit record high – nearly 800 tonnes – in January and February China's silver imports hit an eight-year high in the first two months of 2026 as burgeoning demand from the industrial and investment sectors boosted local price premiums, drained domestic silver stockpiles, and drove unprecedented foreign purchases, according to the latest customs data released Friday. In January and February, #China imported over 790 tonnes of #silver, the data showed, with February alone accounting for a year-over-year record of 470 tonnes in imports... Full story at Kitco: kitco.com/news/article/2…

kobeissiletter flagging the Nasdaq 100 falling over 1 percent as 2,500 more Marines head to the Middle East. Classic risk off reaction hitting the tech heavy index first. Defense and energy stocks pick up bids while growth names take the hit. Similar episodes in 2019 and 2022 proved short lived as markets quickly refocused on fundamentals. Crazy how these geopolitical flare ups routinely create solid dip buying opportunities for those who keep a cool head.

BREAKING: The Nasdaq 100 falls over -1% as the US announces up to 2,500 additional Marines are being deployed to the Middle East.

Elon is backing up the truck on $TSLA with that 389 average buy straight from the Form 4 filings. When the founder stacks hundreds of thousands of shares at these levels it usually means the robotaxi economics and Optimus production ramp are tracking ahead of Wall Street models in his eyes. We have watched this pattern ignite some of the strongest multi year rallies in Tesla history while legacy auto keeps fumbling the software transition. The founder alignment edge just widened again.

Elon’s recent average purchase price for $TSLA stock is $389.281.

$SPY on track for its fourth consecutive red week and the longest losing streak in more than a year. Healthy shakeout that tends to hand the best entries to the patient crowd while AI capex pipelines and hyperscaler budgets remain unfazed. Saw the exact same script unfold after the 2023 volatility waves with a sharp rebound into fresh highs. This market is simply catching its breath before the next sprint. ⏳

JUST IN 🚨: S&P 500 $SPY on track for its 4th consecutive red week, its longest losing streak in more than 1 year 📉📉

Markets are staring down the barrel of the biggest triple witching in decades with 5.7 trillion expiring today and the Iran headlines only pouring gasoline on the fire. History repeats with these setups often delivering sharp reversals once the dust settles just like the 2023 March madness that pinned everything before ripping higher. Volatility chasers in the hedge fund world are loving every second while the rest scramble for cover. This kind of reset has paved the way for some monster rallies in the past once the options crowd clears out.

⚠️Brace for an extremely VOLATILE trading session: ~$5.7 trillion in options tied to US stocks, indexes, and ETFs are set to expire on Friday in what is known as "triple-witching," the largest March expiration since at least 1996. This is the quarterly event where stock, index, and ETF options all expire on the same day, forcing traders to close, roll, or rebalance massive positions, often triggering sharp and sudden price swings. The expiration includes $4.1 trillion in index contracts, $772 billion in ETFs, and $875 billion in single-stock options. To put this into perspective, the expiration represents 8.4% of the Russell 3000 market cap, well above historical norms, increasing the risk of sharp and sudden price swings. This also comes at one of the most uncertain moments for markets in 2026, with the Iran War escalating and Fed rate cut expectations fading. Friday could be one of the most turbulent trading sessions of the year.

Tesla lining up a 2.9 billion dollar solar equipment order from Chinese suppliers. This directly fuels the push to 100GW annual US solar capacity by 2028 and locks in major IRA tax credits. Tesla Energy keeps executing the same vertical integration playbook that scaled Megapack into a margin powerhouse. It builds a full stack moat while pure play solar names grind through razor thin margins and supply headaches. Funny how these under the radar infrastructure bets routinely turn into the biggest compounding surprises once volumes hit. $TSLA

$TSLA is reportedly in talks to purchase ~$2.9B of solar manufacturing equipment from Chinese suppliers. The move supports Tesla’s push toward ~100GW of U.S. solar capacity by the end of 2028.

CBO just unleashed the 150 trillion debt chart for 2055 and the bond market is pretending to ignore it. That relentless climb from 39 trillion today means interest payments will swallow the federal budget whole long before we hit the date. History has shown us this movie multiple times since the financial crisis and the winners were always hard assets along with companies that thrive when money gets debased. The rest of the supply chain gets left chasing inflation shadows. Fiscal dominance is now the only game in town.

🚨 CBO just projected U.S. debt hits $150 trillion by 2055 That’s $150,000,000,000,000.00