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My 2026 Forecasts: Jason Pizzino, The Investor Accelerator (31-Dec-2025)
Let’s begin with a history fact from W.D. Gann: “Years ending in “5” are most likely bullish years.”
Turns out 2025 was no exception!
This will be my 4th year of posting my annual forecasts for the markets. I posted my forecast in December 2022 when the conditions were extremely bearish and every man and his dog believed a recession was guaranteed. We now know how that played out!
Previous years have been relatively straightforward, in my opinion, as the 18-year cycle has been in a bull market.
So, when the masses were calling for a recession in 2022, 2023 and 2024, all we had to do was do the opposite to them.
The positioning and sentiment was easier to see.
Now, with no heavy positioning for either bullish or bearish sentiment, I think 2026 will be more difficult to forecast.
The benefit of the doubt continues with the macro trend and the macro trend is still up at the time of this post.
The outliers are metals that have been extremely bullish. So, that bull market is running out of time, but it is not confirmed 'done' as of this post.
Finally, a reminder that I’m referring to the 18-year cycle, not the Bitcoin cycle, or commodities cycle, or some other cycle that is popular at the time of reading this post. Just the 18-Year US Real Estate and Economic Cycle as per the attached image.
Here are the previous year's forecasts in order:
2023 Forecasts
x.com/jasonpizzino/s…
2024 Forecasts
x.com/jasonpizzino/s…
2025 Forecasts
x.com/jasonpizzino/s…
Here are my forecasts for 2026 with headings:
US Real Estate
- High chance the US national average house price tops in 2025/26
- No collapse in 2026, just the peak as we’ve been saying for many years
Australian Real Estate
- Huge National average gains begin to slow (<1% MoM). Currently, >1% MoM
- No major downturn in 2026
US Stock Markets & USD
Today’s prices:
#SP500 6900
#Nasdaq 25,600
#DJI 48,600
#USD 98
$MSTR 155
- S&P500, Nasdaq and DJI will have a volatile 1H of 2026, major trading range before Q4
- Indexes rally in Q4
- USD trades between 90-103
- MSTR finds a low 2H, then rally
- MSTR will hit a new low before a new ATH
Bitcoin (current price $88,000)
- Will trade under $70k
- Will trade under $50k *only* if the 50% level is broken
- Watching for a low in Q3/Oct 2026, then rally Q4
- If 50% ($70k) holds, then good chance of a new ATH
Altcoins (in 2026 or end of bear market)
- 7DMA Exchange volume will continue to fall, leading to further downside pressure
- There will be relief rallies and short-lived narratives
- TOTAL3ES will trade below $400B (possibly below $300B)
- OTHERS.D will trade below 5% (today 7%)
- SOL to trade under $80 (today $125)
- XRP to trade under $1.40 (today $1.90)
- ETH to trade under $2500 (today $3000)
Crypto Market
- Watching for a low in Q3/Oct 2026
- USDT Dominance will trade above 7%
- USDT+C will trade above 12%
Metals
- Silver possibly a new ATH in Q1, then close red
- Silver will not hit $200 per ounce this cycle
- Gold new all time high in 2026
- Gold will not hit $10k per ounce this cycle
- Gold/Silver ratio will bottom and bounce
Although these are my forecasts for my trading in 2025, it doesn’t mean I will follow them until death. That would be a portfolio suicide mission. First and foremost, it’s vital to remain fluid with the markets.
I will continue to post market updates on YouTube and Email.
YouTube: https://
@JasonPizzinoO" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">youtube.com/@JasonPizzinoO
fficial/videos
Email: tiainvestor.com/free-report/
I will explain how I am navigating my investment portfolio, which consists of metals, crypto, stocks and real estate, during the final years of the 18.6-year real estate and economic cycle with TIA Members here tiainvestor.com
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