LucidTalk

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LucidTalk

LucidTalk

@LucidTalk

A professionally accredited Polling and Market Research company operating in N. Ireland, Ireland, & the UK. Member of the British Polling Council & UK MRS.

Belfast, Northern Ireland Katılım Mart 2012
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LucidTalk
LucidTalk@LucidTalk·
✅JOIN THE LUCIDTALK(LT) online NI OPINION PANEL✅ - NI Lifestyle, Health, Politics, Business, & more.. Give your opinions (confidentially & securely), and win shopping voucher prizes at the same time! Not yet a member of our panel?, then join here: lucidtalk.co.uk/northern-irela…
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Suzanne Breen
Suzanne Breen@SuzyJourno·
EXCLUSIVE: Doug Beattie’s Upper Bann constituency office manager Kate Evan quits the Ulster Unionists to sit on council as an independent. The move comes amid growing speculation that the former UUP leader could be considering leaving the party. belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/politics/…
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Ireland Votes
Ireland Votes@Ireland_Votes·
Noel Thomas (INDIRL) leads Seán Kyne (FG) by 277 votes as we enter the eleventh and final count. Helen Ogbu’s 12,960 papers are being distributed. Sources at the count indicate that Kyne will overtake Thomas.
Ireland Votes@Ireland_Votes

Galway West, Count 10 (Redistribution of the votes of Nic Fhionnlaioch, Míde): The top 3 on this Count are Thomas (INDIRL), Kyne (FG), and Ogbu (LAB). Candidate eliminated on this Count is Helen Ogbu (LAB). LIVE results on irelandvotes.com/elections/irel…

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LucidTalk
LucidTalk@LucidTalk·
..Galway West is turning into a real nail-bitter between Fine Gael & Independent Ireland. This count is the Fianna Fail elimination so that should give a boost to FG, but they're currently 2,100+ votes behind Independent Ireland, - maybe too big a gap to make-up at this stage?
Ireland Votes@Ireland_Votes

Galway West, Count 8 (Redistribution of the votes of Cubbard, Mike): The top 3 on this Count are Thomas (INDIRL), Kyne (FG), and Ogbu (LAB). Candidate eliminated on this Count is Cillian Keane (FF). LIVE results: irelandvotes.com/elections/irel… #ByElections26

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Opinium
Opinium@OpiniumResearch·
🚨 Latest Opinium @ObserverUK poll 🚨 A third now prefer rejoining the EU (36%). But the least divisive option for public opinion is staying outside the EU while negotiating a closer relationship (only 24% find that unacceptable)
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LucidTalk
LucidTalk@LucidTalk·
1st count for Galway West is in - very much in-line with the tallies... This will be close in the end between Thomas and Kyne.
Ireland Votes@Ireland_Votes

Galway West, Count 1: Thomas (INDIRL): 10,007 (20.9%) Kyne (FG): 9,647 (20.1%) Ogbu (LAB): 5,462 (11.4%) Keane (FF): 4,192 (8.8%) Cubbard (IND): 3,396 (7.1%) Nic Fhionnlaoich (SD): 3,354 (7.0%) Lohan (SF): 3,208 (6.7%) Welby (IND): 3,138 (6.6%) ... Quota: 23,947 Total Valid Poll: 47,893 Spoilt: 283 Turnout: 48,176 (44.0%) LIVE results: irelandvotes.com/elections/irel… #ByElections26

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LucidTalk
LucidTalk@LucidTalk·
1st count for Dublin Central is in - very much in-line with the tallies...
Ireland Votes@Ireland_Votes

Dublin Central, Count 1: Ennis (SD): 4,903 (19.7%) Boylan (SF): 4,348 (17.5%) Horner (GP): 2,907 (11.7%) Hutch (IND): 2,817 (11.3%) McAdam (FG): 2,659 (10.7%) Steenson (IND): 2,342 (9.4%) Ó Ceannabháin (PBPS): 1,681 (6.8%) O'Dea (LAB): 1,454 (5.8%) Stephens (FF): 1,049 (4.2%) ... Quota: 12,435 Total Valid Poll: 24,869 Spoilt: 176 Turnout 25,045 LIVE results: irelandvotes.com/elections/irel… #ByElections26

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LucidTalk
LucidTalk@LucidTalk·
..Re. last night's @bbctheview - note that if the EU Referendum was run again, then 60%+ of NI would now vote to 'Re-join the EU' - see below... (up from the 56% Remain score in NI at the 2016 EURef)
LucidTalk@LucidTalk

With tonight's @bbctheview covering the 2016 UK EU Referendum 10-year anniversary - here again are the results from our @BelTel Spring26 poll Q 'How would NI vote now?'. The results show Remain (or 'Re-Join') would now be 63% - up 7% from the 56% Remain score at the 2016 EURef.:

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LucidTalk
LucidTalk@LucidTalk·
@AlanPeters1978 Yes, but the total split-vote across two candidates may add-up to more than what one candidate would get. Of course, how the transfers work after that is a different story!
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LucidTalk
LucidTalk@LucidTalk·
These Political Party decisions can be more of an 'art' than a science. Running 2 candidates could increase the total UUP vote (compared to running only 1) - its very candidate dependent e.g. do they complement each other, & appeal to different parts of the electorate etc.?
Suzanne Breen@SuzyJourno

EXCLUSIVE: Doug Beattie is on course to be reselected to run in next year's Assembly election. At a crunch meeting last night, the Upper Bann UUP association decided to run 2 candidates after the party centrally asked it to revisit its original decision. belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/politics/…

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LucidTalk@LucidTalk·
@JonTonge These decisions for political parties are more of an 'art' than a science. Running 2 candidates could increase the total UUP vote (compared to running only 1) - its very candidate dependent e.g. do they complement each other, & appeal to different parts of the electorate etc.?
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LucidTalk
LucidTalk@LucidTalk·
With tonight's @bbctheview covering the 2016 UK EU Referendum 10-year anniversary - here again are the results from our @BelTel Spring26 poll Q 'How would NI vote now?'. The results show Remain (or 'Re-Join') would now be 63% - up 7% from the 56% Remain score at the 2016 EURef.:
LucidTalk tweet mediaLucidTalk tweet media
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Ladbrokes Politics
Ladbrokes Politics@LadPolitics·
We're almost certainly now at a point where Labour will become the new favourites in the Most Seats market if they win in Makerfield, if not before
Ladbrokes Politics@LadPolitics

Reform UK are now 6/4 to win the most seats at the next General Election, with Labour and the Conservatives both shortening in recent days. Reform UK - 6/4 Labour - 2/1 Conservatives - 9/2 Restore Britain - 11/1 Greens - 16/1 200/1 bar ladbrokes.com/en/sports/even…

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ni4kids
ni4kids@ni4kids·
A NI wide attitudinal poll conducted by LucidTalk, commissioned by the @IEFNI , indicates wide public support for cross-community solutions within Northern Ireland’s school estate. Full story here: ni4kids.com/poll-shows-app…
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@ObserverUK @bbctheview @AlanPeters1978 @JonTonge @BelTel @elonmusk @BarackObama @taylorswift13