
Marc
2.8K posts

Marc
@marc_garriga
Product at @StartaleGroup. Formerly @nansen_ai @coinhako @Visa @MaecenasArt @Microsoft @HP. @Reforge alumni. Exploring crypto and AI, one day at a time.





THIS GUY LOST $200 IN ONE DAY BECAUSE THE STRING "HERMES.md" WAS IN HIS GIT COMMITS HERMES.md is a real convention used in AI agent projects. it's a system prompt specification file. not some obscure edge case he's on claude max 20x at $200 a month. yesterday claude code hit him with "you're out of extra usage" out of nowhere his dashboard showed 13% weekly usage. 0% current session. 86% of his plan was sitting there untouched but $200.98 in extra usage already burned through what should have been covered by his subscription he tried logout & login, different models, fresh installs and nothing worked anthropic support sent the ai bot (four rounds of the same scripted response). eventually they just gave up on him so he started binary searching repos and commits manually on his own time until he found the trigger the string "HERMES.md" in a recent git commit message uppercase, with the .md extension, anywhere in your commit history that's it claude code includes recent commits in its system prompt and something server side flags HERMES.md and quietly routes you off your max plan onto API rate billing > AGENTS.md? fine > README.md? fine > HERMES without .md? fine > lowercase hermes.md? fine > uppercase HERMES.md? you're getting charged API rates he reported it. anthropic support acknowledged the bug three times, called it an "authentication routing issue", thanked him for finding it then refused to refund the $200 so the man pays $200 a month for max, lost another $200 to a billing bug they confirmed, did anthropic's QA work for free on his weekend, and got a "thank you for your patience" in return check your commit history before claude code quietly drains your account too



New essay on the economics of structural change and the post-commodity future of work. 1. Almost any question about the impact of advanced AI on the economy needs to start at the same place: what is still scarce? Answer that, and the analysis becomes pretty straightforward. This essay explores what becomes scarce if AI really can replicate most of what humans do in production, and what this mean for the future of jobs. 2. My conjecture, working through the economics: labor reallocates across sectors, and the sector it reallocates to has properties that keep labor a meaningful share of the economy. Ultimately this is about the structure of demand itself. For this, we have to go back to Girard, Augustine and Rousseau: once people's base needs are met, their preferences shift to comparative motives (e.g., status, exclusivity, social desirability). This motive is inherently non-satiated. 4. The key paper is Comin, Lashkari, and Mestieri (Econometrica 2021). As people get richer, they don't buy proportionally more of everything. They shift spending toward sectors with higher income elasticity. They estimate income effects account for 75%+ of observed structural change. 5. The ironic consequence: the sector that gets automated becomes a smaller share of the economy, not a larger one. Agriculture got massively more productive and its share of employment collapsed. Manufacturing too. The "stagnant" sectors absorb the spending and the jobs. 6. So the question is: which sectors have high income elasticity in a post-AGI world? I argue it's what I call the relational sector. Categories where the human isn't just an input into production, it is part of the value. 7. Why does the relational sector have high income elasticity? Because human desire has a mimetic, relational dimension. We don't just want things for their intrinsic properties. We want what others want, and we want it more when others can't have it. Girard, Rousseau, Augustine, and Hobbes all saw this. 8. In work with Kristóf Madarász, we showed this experimentally: WTP roughly doubles when a random subset of others is excluded from the good. And in new work with Graelin Mandel, AI involvement kills the premium. Human-made art gains 44% from exclusivity; AI-made art only 21%. 9. This all comes together for the core argument. The sector that absorbs spending as AI makes commodity production cheap is one where human provenance is part of the value, and demand for it grows faster than income. Exactly the profile that keeps labor meaningful. 10. To be clear about the claim: I'm NOT saying aggregate labor share must rise. It may fall. The claim is about sectoral composition, i.e., where expenditure and employment go once commodities get cheap, and the fact that the sector that will absorb reallocated labor maps to a substantial component of human preferences and desire. 11. If you're interested in the formal model, a linked companion technical note works out all the economics. Read the essay here: aleximas.substack.com/p/what-will-be…






Thrilled to announce the Monitor tool which lets Claude create background scripts that wake the agent up when needed. Big token saver and great way to move away from polling in the agent loop Claude can now: * Follow logs for errors * Poll PRs via script * and more!



Day 44: We're seeing insane levels of crime once again. Yesterday, Trump family's crypto project deposited 5% of $WLFI's total supply on Dolomite and borrowed $75 million in stablecoins against it. 5% of WLFI's token supply is worth roughly $500M. Then, just a few hours before Trump announced the Iran ceasefire, WorldLibertyFi sent $40M+ in stablecoins to Coinbase. (from the ones they borrowed) Did they use these stablecoins to long the markets, knowing what Trump would announce? No one knows, but I wouldn't be surprised. But this is what is very concerning: If that WLFI collateral position ever gets close to liquidation, it's basically unliquidatable without major losses for lenders. $WLFI has almost a $10 billion FDV, but it is not an extremely liquid asset. So imagine what would happen if 5% of WLFI's total supply would suddenly need to be sold to liquidate the position. If you have any USD1 or other stablecoins lent on Dolomite to pools that accept WLFI collateral, my advice is to withdraw it asap. Better to be safe than sorry.




